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816 County Highway 11
C+ Composite 61.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$150,000

816 County Highway 11 · Laurens, NY 13820
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1780 0.56 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located within the vicinity of multiple baseball parks, a 3-bedroom home on half an acre located at the edge of the Village of Laurens. Updates and renovations were done over the years including a 200-amp service and newer furnace. There are two driveways, one on each side of the house. The basement can be entered through Bilko doors on the outside of the home or from inside the home. A spacious attached garage has an automatic garage opener and there is an extra room before entering the home. There is plenty of storage space throughout including a large storage area the length of the house on the second floor. Laundry room and pantry on the first floor. There is also a walk-in closet on th

Key facts

  • Two driveways
  • Newer furnace
  • Attached garage

Tags

HALF AN ACRE200 AMP SERVICENEWER FURNACETWO DRIVEWAYSBILKO DOORSATTACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Resale property; Irregular residential lot about 0.56 acres (dimensions 291 x 159) with city street frontage

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Septic tank
  • Home design: 2 stories; Existing construction
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Has full dirt-floor basement
  • Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Propane tank (leased); See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven and range; Gas oven and range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (includes living, laundry, storage and other spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Pantry; Storage; See remarks
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Propane water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,003 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Laurens Central School District (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #423 of 755 in NY (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Otsego County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Otsego County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $91k; list at $150k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1780 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1780 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.88%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$305,280
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
705 County Highway 11 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 4mo $285,000 $212 59
1561 State Highway 205 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,432 (-1%) 12mo $245,000 $171 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
3.21×
Total profit
$92,652
Equity at exit
$135,132
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
7.30×
Total profit
$264,470
Equity at exit
$291,417

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13820

Home prices YoY
22.7%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,657 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$289 /mo · $3,469/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,441
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $150,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,469 · $289/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,469 · $289/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,882
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$3,469
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,591
− Management
−$1,591
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$284
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$68
After-tax cash flow
$2,116/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Laurens Central School District
NCES district ID
3616800
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$46,144
Composite
46.42/100
National rank
#5346
State rank
#423 of 755 in NY

Livability — Laurens

Score
60/100
State rank
#1003
US rank
#19540

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Otsego County · 23,056 people
Metro
Oneonta, NY
Population (ZIP)
23,056
Household income
$65,953
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
662.0

Population outlook (Otsego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,987 people
By 2030
55,403 · -4.5%
By 2040
50,336 · -13.2%
By 2050
45,715 · -21.2%
By 2075
38,769 · -33.1%
By 2100
33,468 · -42.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Otsego

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.9) · D 46.1% · R 53.9%
2008→2024 swing
-13.8pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -7.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.9 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+13.0 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 67.86%
Current HPI
366.3391
Rent YoY
Metro
Oneonta, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+64.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $150,000 UNYREIS
  • 2007-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,469 · +18.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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