19310 Strasburg St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Bed Brick property with lots of potential. Solid house that needs some updates. Not wrecked by any means. Has a good roof, maintained windows, intact foundation and a 1-car garage. Nice hardwood floors in bedrooms. Will need furnace. Full, dry, spacious and partially finished basement. There's opportunity here for the right investor.
Key facts
- Maintained windows
- Good roof
- Full dry basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $800 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $40k implies a 307% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 85.95%
- DSCR
- 4.82
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $55,565
- List price
- $39,900
- Delta
- -28.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19161 Hamburg St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+3%) | 2mo | $116,000 | $121 | 90 |
| 18982 Hamburg St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (+2%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $47 | 85 |
| 19633 Barlow St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 962 (+3%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $75 | 78 |
| 19730 Goulburn St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 977 (+5%) | 1mo | $114,000 | $117 | 71 |
| 18488 Waltham St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 902 (-3%) | 4mo | $56,000 | $62 | 70 |
| 19591 Strasburg St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,034 (+11%) | 3mo | $89,000 | $86 | 68 |
| 19361 Beland St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 901 (-3%) | 2mo | $47,500 | $53 | 67 |
| 13452 Tacoma St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-3%) | 1mo | $69,072 | $77 | 62 |
| 13424 Tacoma St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-3%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $80 | 62 |
| 20218 Goulburn St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 965 (+4%) | 1mo | $12,000 | $12 | 61 |
| 19140 Algonac St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 892 (-4%) | 1mo | $46,000 | $52 | 59 |
| 19170 Schoenherr St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 797 (-14%) | 0mo | $25,500 | $32 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 84.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.79×
- Total profit
- $42,305
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 87.4%
- Equity multiple
- 9.39×
- Total profit
- $93,753
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $316/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $800
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,225 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 17d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 19170 Joann St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 22d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 18119 Joann St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,349 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 986 | $1,300 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,374 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 20553 Hamburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,300 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $1,300 | $1.74 | 11d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,300 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 13501 Vernon Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,225 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 989 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 12d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 13050 Couwlier Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 12110 Christy St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 8285 Rivard Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,549 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 8242 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,198 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $39,900 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
3 Bed Brick property with lots of potential. Solid house that needs some updates. Not wrecked by any means. Has a good roof, maintained windows, intact foundation and a 1-car garage. Nice hardwood floors in bedrooms. Will need furnace. Full, dry, spacious and partially finished basement. There's opportunity here for the right investor.
-
2026-05-04price $39,900 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
3 Bed Brick property with lots of potential. Solid house that needs some updates. Not wrecked by any means. Has a good roof, maintained windows, intact foundation and a 1-car garage. Nice hardwood floors in bedrooms. Will need furnace. Full, dry, spacious and partially finished basement. There's opportunity here for the right investor.
-
2026-04-22$42,000 Active 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
3 Bed Brick property with lots of potential. Solid house that needs some updates. Not wrecked by any means. Has a good roof, maintained windows, intact foundation and a 1-car garage. Nice hardwood floors in bedrooms. Will need furnace. Full, dry, spacious and partially finished basement. There's opportunity here for the right investor.
-
2026-04-22$42,000 Active 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
3 Bed Brick property with lots of potential. Solid house that needs some updates. Not wrecked by any means. Has a good roof, maintained windows, intact foundation and a 1-car garage. Nice hardwood floors in bedrooms. Will need furnace. Full, dry, spacious and partially finished basement. There's opportunity here for the right investor.
-
2008-12-01soldstatus $9,800
-
2008-12-01soldstatus $9,800
-
2008-10-29historical
-
2008-10-08$7,900
-
2008-10-08historical
-
2008-10-08historical
-
2008-10-07$7,900
-
2008-09-18$9,900
-
2008-09-18$9,900
-
2005-09-26soldstatus $83,500
-
2005-07-11soldstatus $83,500
-
2005-07-11soldstatus $83,500
-
2005-05-27historical
-
2005-02-01$82,000
-
2005-02-01$82,000
-
2005-01-31historical
-
2005-01-31historical
-
2004-12-07$89,993
-
2004-12-07$89,993
-
2004-11-21historical
-
2004-11-21historical
-
2004-05-21$89,994
-
2004-05-21$89,994
-
1992-12-07soldstatus $14,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $316 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $465 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$149/yr (+$12/mo · 47.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,986
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$316
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,279
- − Management
- −$1,279
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $9,517
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,284
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,319/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+179.0% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-22 Listed $42,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-22 Listed $42,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-12-01 Sold (MLS) $9,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-12-01 Sold (MLS) $9,800 REALCOMP
- 2008-10-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-10-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-10-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-10-08 Listed $7,900 REALCOMP
- 2008-10-07 Listed $7,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-09-18 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
- 2008-09-18 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records
- 2005-07-11 Sold (MLS) $83,500 REALCOMP
- 2005-07-11 Sold (MLS) $83,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-05-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-02-01 Listed $82,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-02-01 Listed $82,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-01-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-01-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-12-07 Listed $89,993 REALCOMP
- 2004-12-07 Listed $89,993 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-11-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-11-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-05-21 Listed $89,994 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-05-21 Listed $89,994 REALCOMP
- 1992-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $14,300 Public Records
Property tax history
-13.0%/yrLatest (2025): $316 · -54.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…