221 S Krouth St · Mooreland, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A very neat older home that has been updated in a quiet neighborhood. A 2 bedroom, one bath home with a detached two car garage with Central H/A. The home has a covered back patio and a large fenced back yard. Lots of character in affordable real estate!
Key facts
- Covered patio
- Large back yard
- Quiet neighborhood
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces east
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; unfinished areas in basement; Dishwasher
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $293 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#85 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools F.
- Mooreland (rural): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #103 of 270 in OK (top 38%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Woodward County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- Woodward County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $81k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.21%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $112,312
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 742 Cynthia Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,222 (+10%) | 14mo | $123,000 | $101 | 51 |
| 121 S Krouth St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+13%) | 23mo | $100,000 | $79 | 50 |
| 410 N Elm St | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,168 (+5%) | 22mo | $52,000 | $45 | 50 |
| 517 SW 7th St | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,265 (+14%) | 13mo | $150,000 | $119 | 48 |
| 415 N Main St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-10%) | 16mo | $65,000 | $65 | 44 |
| 911 S Santa Fe St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,190 (+7%) | 23mo | $132,200 | $111 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.77% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $34,000
- Equity at exit
- $46,922
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.39×
- Total profit
- $90,123
- Equity at exit
- $75,768
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73852
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,075 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $222/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $293
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17status $95,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active Under Contract 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active Under Contract 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09status $95,000 Active Under Contract 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 361-char remark
-
2026-06-02$95,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $222 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $855 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$633/yr (+$53/mo · 285.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,897
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$222
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,032
- − Management
- −$1,032
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $2,052
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$492
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,021/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mooreland
- NCES district ID
- 4020280
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,605
- Composite
- 21.77/100
- National rank
- #8254
- State rank
- #103 of 270 in OK
Livability — Mooreland
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #85
- US rank
- #10554
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mooreland, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,509
Population outlook (Woodward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,787 people
- By 2030
- 26,517 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 30,299 · +22.2%
- By 2050
- 34,449 · +39.0%
- By 2075
- 46,083 · +85.9%
- By 2100
- 54,639 · +120.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Woodward
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.0) · D 13.2% · R 85.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.8pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -72.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.0 2020: R+72.0 2016: R+72.1 2012: R+68.0 2008: R+65.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.77%
- Current HPI
- 220.5065
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+1257.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $95,000 NWOAR
- 2023-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2023-10-12 Sold (MLS) $81,000 NWOAR
- 2023-06-26 Listed $89,500 NWOAR
- 1994-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $222 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…