700 Glacier Rd #12 · Big Pine, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 27 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a handyman special with lots of potential. This 1-bedroom mobile home is located in an adult park 55 years or older. Cozy Living room, vaulted ceiling in kitchen, dining area. Enclosed patio room and fully fenced yard. There are two parking spaces. Buyer must be park approved. This mobile is being sold as is. Located close to hiking trails, off road access and spectacular views surround the park.
Key facts
- Built 1968
- Listed 42 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Shared well water; Sewer connected
- Home design: Mobile home; Single-story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Fenced yard; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wood stove heating
- Interior features: Disposal; Range; Oven; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $590 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($965 rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#529 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A, crime A-, commute A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Big Pine Unified (rural): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #1,086 of 1,400 in CA (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Inyo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Inyo County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 101.58%
- DSCR
- 5.52
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.81×
- Total profit
- $33,569
- Equity at exit
- $3,713
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.14×
- Total profit
- $77,692
- Equity at exit
- $2,153
Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93513
- Home prices YoY
- -5.8%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $965 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $374/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $590
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $607 | -5% $599 | +0% $590 | +5% $582 | +10% $573 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $514 | -5% $552 | +0% $590 | +5% $628 | +10% $666 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $603 | -0.5pp $597 | base $590 | +0.5pp $584 | +1.0pp $577 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,225
- Closing costs
- $747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $24,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $24,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $24,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $24,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $24,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $24,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $24,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $24,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $24,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $24,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $24,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $24,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-12status Pending 407-char remark
-
2026-04-27$29,900 Active 407-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 28 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,395
- − Property taxes
- −$374
- − Insurance
- −$124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$926
- − Management
- −$926
- − Depreciation
- −$724
- Taxable income
- $7,109
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,706
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,376/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This mobile home requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, including repainting and roof replacement, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Significant wear and tear
- Major roof — Aged appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value
- Both repair roof — Fixing the roof addresses a major issue and improves safety
- Both repair siding — Reconditioning the siding improves aesthetics and durability
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Significant wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · Aged appearance | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both repair roof — Fixing the roof addresses a major issue and improves safety ↑
- Both repair siding — Reconditioning the siding improves aesthetics and durability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Big Pine Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0604950
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,682
- Composite
- 27.41/100
- National rank
- #12395
- State rank
- #1086 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Big Pine
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #529
- US rank
- #17742
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Big Pine, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,525
Population outlook (Inyo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,399 people
- By 2030
- 16,824 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 15,543 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 14,332 · -17.6%
- By 2075
- 12,213 · -29.8%
- By 2100
- 9,997 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Native American 20% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Inyo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 49.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.2pp toward D · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+0.1 2016: R+13.7 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.49%
- Current HPI
- 316.75
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-16.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $24,900 IMLS
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $249,900 IMLS
- 2026-05-20 Relisted — IMLS
- 2026-05-12 Pending — IMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $29,900 IMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…