🏷️ Likely Rental
15096 Heyden St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very well maintained, three bedroom, 1.5 bathroom, brick colonial located near Stoepel Park, shops and food establishments. Basement and large, fenced in yard for additional storage. Immediate rental income with a reliable, long term tenant in place and paying all utilities, Tenant will be staying in property. DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS. BATVAI.
Key facts
- Brick colonial
- Fenced in yard
- 4,792 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 40 x 116 (0.11 acres)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Six total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $460 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.67%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,710
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15751 Vaughan St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,244 (+2%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $88 | 74 |
| 15452 Stout St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,110 (-9%) | 8mo | $152,000 | $137 | 65 |
| 15776 Vaughan St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,255 (+3%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $131 | 65 |
| 15776 Evergreen Rd | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,122 (-8%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $53 | 62 |
| 15518 Kentfield St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (-10%) | 4mo | $165,500 | $152 | 62 |
| 19400 Lyndon St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,169 (-4%) | 9mo | $70,000 | $60 | 58 |
| 15836 Patton St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,122 (-8%) | 6mo | $42,500 | $38 | 57 |
| 14598 Heyden St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (+15%) | 5mo | $132,500 | $95 | 56 |
| 15754 Evergreen Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,091 (-10%) | 9mo | $67,000 | $61 | 55 |
| 14840 Artesian St | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,300 (+7%) | 0mo | $289,000 | $222 | 52 |
| 14392 Warwick St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,333 (+9%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $109 | 40 |
| 14171 Plainview Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-15%) | 7mo | $41,000 | $39 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $16,394
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $52,177
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48223
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,329 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,654/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $460
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15318 Kentfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 15340 Braile St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 883 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 14541 Kentfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,300 | $1.63 | 17d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 15519 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,396 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 15712 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 15712 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 19431 Lyndon St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 15815 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,300 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 15829 Minock St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 14258 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,200 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 14347 Westwood St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,200 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 14177 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1101 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 13500 Heyden St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 22241 Lyndon St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 19050 W Davison St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 14716 Archdale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 16823 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 18d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 13514 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 13591 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 12950 Glastonbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 12867 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,050 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 13581 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 17238 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,325 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 12941 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 12875 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,200 | $1.63 | 5d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 17255 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 11d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 15065 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 12880 Dolson St Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 44d | 6 | 1.41mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $838 | $1.20 | 24d | 2 | 1.43mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 2 | 1.43mi |
| 12944 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 13600 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,100 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 14280 Bramell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-17statusdays on market $79,900 Pending 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-05-15historical Accepting Backup Offers 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Very well maintained, three bedroom, 1.5 bathroom, brick colonial located near Stoepel Park, shops and food establishments. Basement and large, fenced in yard for additional storage. Immediate rental income with a reliable, long term tenant in place and paying all utilities, Tenant will be staying in property. DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS. BATVAI.
-
2026-05-15historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Very well maintained, three bedroom, 1.5 bathroom, brick colonial located near Stoepel Park, shops and food establishments. Basement and large, fenced in yard for additional storage. Immediate rental income with a reliable, long term tenant in place and paying all utilities, Tenant will be staying in property. DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS. BATVAI.
-
2026-05-12$79,900 Active 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Very well maintained, three bedroom, 1.5 bathroom, brick colonial located near Stoepel Park, shops and food establishments. Basement and large, fenced in yard for additional storage. Immediate rental income with a reliable, long term tenant in place and paying all utilities, Tenant will be staying in property. DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS. BATVAI.
-
2026-05-12$79,900 Active
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Very well maintained, three bedroom, 1.5 bathroom, brick colonial located near Stoepel Park, shops and food establishments. Basement and large, fenced in yard for additional storage. Immediate rental income with a reliable, long term tenant in place and paying all utilities, Tenant will be staying in property. DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS. BATVAI.
-
2026-01-21historical
-
2026-01-21historical
-
2025-10-01price $89,000
-
2025-09-30price $89,000
-
2025-07-28$95,900 Active
-
2025-07-28$95,900 Active
-
2019-06-07soldstatus $128,984
-
2019-06-07soldstatus $128,984
-
2018-09-28soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,654 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,654 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,951
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,654
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,276
- − Management
- −$1,276
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $4,546
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,091
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,429/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,622
- Household income
- $44,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1151.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -303.41%
- Current HPI
- 138.2779
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+66.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-12 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-12 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $89,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-28 Listed $95,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-28 Listed $95,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $128,984 Public Records
- 2019-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $128,984 Public Records
- 2018-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,654 · -54.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…