34 Cr 423 · Tula, MS 38655

$149,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,408 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market

Built 1974 1.50 ac lot ↓ 3% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.1/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +3.7/5.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Nice fixer upper, with 1.5 acres, Priced to sell!!! only 10 minutes to town.

Key facts

• 1.5 acre lot
• Built 1974
• Listed 34 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Lafayette County School District (town): math 47% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #29 of 130 in MS (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 855 active listings in the ZIP; 503 units permitted in Lafayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lafayette County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $145,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.41% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.33%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.99%
• DSCR: 1.80
• GRM: 5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 11.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.47×
• Total profit: $19,819
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.05×
• Total profit: $86,027
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 38655

• Rents YoY: 4.8%
• Active inventory: 855
• Price-to-rent: 5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,108 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$443
• Net cashflow: $629

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-06
   status Pending 77-char remark

   Show marketing remark (77 chars)

   Nice fixer upper, with 1.5 acres, Priced to sell!!! only 10 minutes to town.

2. 2026-04-17
   price $149,900 77-char remark

   Show marketing remark (77 chars)

   Nice fixer upper, with 1.5 acres, Priced to sell!!! only 10 minutes to town.

3. 2026-04-03
   listed $154,900 Active 77-char remark

   Show marketing remark (77 chars)

   Nice fixer upper, with 1.5 acres, Priced to sell!!! only 10 minutes to town.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,295
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$2,248
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,024
• − Management: −$2,024
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable income: $5,492
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,318
• After-tax cash flow: $6,234/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lafayette County School District
• NCES district ID: 2802370
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▼ -12.00%
• Median HH income: $46,476
• Composite: 37.09/100
• National rank: #4498
• State rank: #29 of 130 in MS

Livability — Tula

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Lafayette County · 46,156 people
• Metro: Oxford, MS
• Population (ZIP): 46,156
• Household income: $68,235
• Rent vs Own: 39.6% rent · 60.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1892.0

Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 66,984 people
• By 2030: 74,726 · +11.6%
• By 2040: 90,806 · +35.6%
• By 2050: 108,114 · +61.4%
• By 2075: 151,215 · +125.7%
• By 2100: 187,997 · +180.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 68% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.3% · R 60.0% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -9.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.4pp · 2024: -21.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+12.3 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+15.6 2008: R+12.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -204.86%
• Current HPI: 211.5486
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.85%
• Metro: Oxford, MS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-3.2% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-06 Pending — NCMBR
• 2026-04-17 Price Changed $149,900 NCMBR
• 2026-04-03 Listed $154,900 NCMBR