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1221 E Chestnut St
C+ Composite 61.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.1/15.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,585

1221 E Chestnut St · Kankakee, IL 60901
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,950 sqft · Other · 52 Days on market
Built 1972 5,625 sqft lot $41/sqft · 14% above area Est $70k · 14% over ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

I am pleased to share a new listing for a move-in ready 1.5-story gem. This property boasts 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and 1,950 sq. ft. of living space with a full unfinished basement waiting for the right imagination. The home features a spacious living room, dining area, and den, plus an opportunity that is perfect for customization. An expansive 2.5-car garage completes this ideal home. Please note that the property is being sold as-is where is. Handyman special, move in and start the TLC. Don't miss out on this!!!

Key facts

  • 5,625 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1972

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel number on file
  • Financial info: Special service area not required
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached owned garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Estimated age 51–60 years
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 45 x 125; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; School bus service and commuter transit access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (Master on main; one bedroom on main; one bedroom on second level)
  • Flooring: Carpet in family room
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $711 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 5.8% in Kankakee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Kankakee SD 111 (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #584 of 620 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 145 units permitted in Kankakee County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $550 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kankakee County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $77,197 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.00%
Cap rate
17.01%
Cash-on-cash
38.26%
DSCR
2.70
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$69,627
List price
$79,585
Delta
14.30%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.9%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$34,630
Equity at exit
$11,866
10-year hold
IRR
43.3%
Equity multiple
5.40×
Total profit
$98,006
Equity at exit
$6,881

Cash invested: $22,284 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60901

Home prices YoY
-32.5%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,596 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$417
Tax est. 1.5%
$99 /mo · $1,194/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$711

Break-even live

Break-even rent $696
Max offer price $79,585
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,896
Closing costs
$2,388
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
932 S Washington Ave Kankakee, IL 4.0 1.5 2000 $1,500 $0.75 43d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $79,585 Pending 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,585 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,585 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,585 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,585 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,585 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,585 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,585 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,585 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,585 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,585 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,585 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-05-15
    status Active 528-char remark
  14. 2026-05-15
    price $79,585 528-char remark
  15. 2026-05-07
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show 528-char remark
  16. 2026-04-23
    listed $89,585 Active 528-char remark
  17. 2026-04-21
    historical
  18. 2026-03-29
    price
  19. 2026-01-13
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,148
− Mortgage interest
−$4,458
− Property taxes
−$1,194
− Insurance
−$398
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,532
− Management
−$1,532
− Depreciation
−$2,315
Taxable income
$7,719
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,853
After-tax cash flow
$6,674/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kankakee SD 111
NCES district ID
1720760
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,968
Composite
8.03/100
National rank
#9921
State rank
#584 of 620 in IL

Livability — Kankakee

Score
62/100
State rank
#832
US rank
#16432

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kankakee, IL
County
Kankakee County · 61,801 people
City population
33,128
Metro
Kankakee, IL
Population (ZIP)
33,128
Household income
$58,309
Rent vs Own
38.6% rent · 61.4% own
Severe rent burden
1317.0

Population outlook (Kankakee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,479 people
By 2030
101,792 · -3.5%
By 2040
93,479 · -11.4%
By 2050
85,061 · -19.4%
By 2075
67,314 · -36.2%
By 2100
52,439 · -50.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 16%

Political lean MEDSL · Kankakee

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.7% · R 59.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+13.3 2012: R+3.4 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.12%
Current HPI
190.8755
Rent YoY
▲ 4.38%
Metro
Kankakee, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $79,585 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $89,585 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-29 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-13 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+20.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,253 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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