608 Margaret St · Ebensburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 608 Margaret Street in Ebensburg--a warm, inviting home in a highly desirable location just minutes from the Ghost Town Trail, perfect for enjoying the outdoors while staying close to town. Set on a spacious half-acre corner lot, this 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home offers character, space, and potential. Hardwood floors add timeless appeal, while a cozy wood burner, electric fireplace, and gas forced air heat provide year-round comfort. Enjoy easy access to the shops and dining along North Center Street, all within the sought-after Central Cambria and Bishop Carroll school districts. With solid bones and the ability to customize to your taste, this home is a true blank canvas--ideal
Key facts
- Cozy wood burner
- Electric fireplace
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (0.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $170k (0.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#53 in PA, #310 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
- Central Cambria SD (rural): math 40% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #225 of 539 in PA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.38%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $193,300
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 E Highland Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,926 (-0%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $78 | 89 |
| 313 E Highland Ave | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,695 (-12%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $55 | 74 |
| 609 E Ogle St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,916 (-1%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $104 | 73 |
| 306 W Horner St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,870 (-3%) | 4mo | $168,000 | $90 | 72 |
| 316 W Crawford St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,031 (+5%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $98 | 66 |
| 101 Tanner St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,732 (-10%) | 14mo | $260,000 | $150 | 55 |
| 500 Randolph St | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,037 (+5%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $106 | 52 |
| 116 S Julian St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,654 (-14%) | 6mo | $119,900 | $72 | 50 |
| 205 N Marian St | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 | 2,161 (+12%) | 9mo | $229,900 | $106 | 48 |
| 309 W Ogle St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 2,200 (+14%) | 8mo | $199,900 | $91 | 46 |
| 411 W Lloyd St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,696 (-12%) | 10mo | $206,000 | $121 | 45 |
| 701 W High St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,143 (+11%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $100 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-16,459
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-17
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15931
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,696 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,451/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $174
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $270 | -5% $222 | +0% $174 | +5% $125 | +10% $77 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $40 | -5% $107 | +0% $174 | +5% $241 | +10% $307 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $259 | -0.5pp $217 | base $174 | +0.5pp $129 | +1.0pp $85 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-12status Pending
-
2026-04-06$169,900 Active
-
2025-08-08price $189,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,451 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,568 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- +$117/yr (+$10/mo · 4.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,348
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$2,451
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,628
- − Management
- −$1,628
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$668
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$160
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Cambria SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205340
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,276
- Composite
- 40.68/100
- National rank
- #3674
- State rank
- #225 of 539 in PA
Livability — Ebensburg
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #310
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ebensburg, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,852
Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,754 people
- By 2030
- 115,827 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 101,309 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 88,379 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 65,237 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 46,909 · -61.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Black 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cambria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.99%
- Current HPI
- 131.3961
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-10.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $169,900 AHARMLS
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $189,900 AHARMLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2026): $2,451 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…