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102 Beaver Run Ct
D+ Composite 45.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

102 Beaver Run Ct · Ridgeland, MS 39157
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,332 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1984 0.26 ac lot Est $236k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ADORABLE & AFFORDABLE! Updated 3 BR/2 BA w/2 car garage in convenient Ridgeland area. MOVE-IN READY! Great room w/cathedral vault & fireplace. Kitchen w/ceramic tile counters, electric range w/vent hood, & dishwasher. All flooring is ceramic tile. NO carpet. Recently repainted. Covered patio w/fenced-in backyard & storage shed. Has security system w/cameras. Located close to everything.

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1984

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-34/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (0.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (19.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.8% in Ridgeland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#57 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Ann Smith Elementary (746 students, 100% FRL); Old Town Middle (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #84 of 179 statewide, top 47%, 707 students, 100% FRL); Ridgeland High School (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #85 of 197 statewide, top 43%, 968 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 29% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 54% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Madison County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $146k; list at $220k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $176,996 (19.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.05%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$235,764
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
102 Beaver Run Ct 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,332 (0%) 1mo $219,900 $165 95
405 Beaver Creek Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,375 (+3%) 3mo $215,000 $156 85
108 Fox Run Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,367 (+3%) 12mo $228,000 $167 75
557 Brookstone Cir 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,392 (+4%) 15mo $260,000 $187 63
512 Brookstone Cir 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,437 (+8%) 16mo $269,000 $187 55
313 Brookwoods Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,387 (+4%) 10mo $225,000 $162 47
470 Brookstone Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+13%) 20mo $275,000 $183 45
215 Cobblestone Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,524 (+14%) 10mo $279,900 $184 45
551 Brookstone Cir 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,497 (+12%) 20mo $265,000 $177 44
511 Chelsea Way 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,467 (+10%) 11mo $269,000 $183 43
204 Sagewood Cv 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,517 (+14%) 21mo $245,000 $162 41
512 Chelsea Way 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,489 (+12%) 20mo $249,900 $168 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-31,014
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-6,436
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39157

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,770 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$372
Net cashflow
$-3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,774
Max offer price $219,404
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $122 -5% $59 +0% $-3 +5% $-65 +10% $-127
Rent -10% $-143 -5% $-73 +0% $-3 +5% $67 +10% $137
Rate -1.0pp $108 -0.5pp $53 base $-3 +0.5pp $-60 +1.0pp $-118

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
715 Rice Rd Ridgeland, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,551 $1.59 15d 16 1.19mi
205 Pecan Park Dr Ridgeland, MS 3.0 2.0 1066 $1,850 $1.74 45d 1 1.37mi
320 Southridge Dr Ridgeland, MS 3.0 2.0 1467 $1,856 $1.27 45d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-24
    listed $219,900 Active
  3. 2024-03-14
    historical $1,730
  4. 2024-02-24
    listed $1,730
  5. 2023-09-04
    historical $1,730
  6. 2023-08-31
    price $1,730
  7. 2023-08-03
    listed $1,785
  8. 2020-02-07
    soldstatus $146,000
  9. 2020-01-30
    soldstatus 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    ADORABLE & AFFORDABLE! Updated 3 BR/2 BA w/2 car garage in convenient Ridgeland area. MOVE-IN READY! Great room w/cathedral vault & fireplace. Kitchen w/ceramic tile counters, electric range w/vent hood, & dishwasher. All flooring is ceramic tile. NO carpet. Recently repainted. Covered patio w/fenced-in backyard & storage shed. Has security system w/cameras. Located close to everything.

  10. 2019-12-31
    listed $155,000 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    ADORABLE & AFFORDABLE! Updated 3 BR/2 BA w/2 car garage in convenient Ridgeland area. MOVE-IN READY! Great room w/cathedral vault & fireplace. Kitchen w/ceramic tile counters, electric range w/vent hood, & dishwasher. All flooring is ceramic tile. NO carpet. Recently repainted. Covered patio w/fenced-in backyard & storage shed. Has security system w/cameras. Located close to everything.

  11. 2018-07-24
    soldstatus
  12. 2002-11-01
    soldstatus
  13. 2002-10-04
    soldstatus 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Not many homes in this condition available in Ridgeland for under $100,000- neutral floor in kitchen and neutral carpets, den with vaulted ceiling & FP, separate diningroom, spacious kitchen and BIG utility room. Fenced back yard, cul-de-sac = less traffic, new garage door, nice curb appeal. Covered patio, large doghouse remains.

  14. 2002-08-16
    listed $98,600 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Not many homes in this condition available in Ridgeland for under $100,000- neutral floor in kitchen and neutral carpets, den with vaulted ceiling & FP, separate diningroom, spacious kitchen and BIG utility room. Fenced back yard, cul-de-sac = less traffic, new garage door, nice curb appeal. Covered patio, large doghouse remains.

  15. 1999-03-15
    soldstatus
  16. 1995-05-03
    soldstatus
  17. 1987-06-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,875 · $156/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,875 · $156/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,240
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,699
− Management
−$1,699
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$3,848
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$924
After-tax cash flow
$890/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County School District
NCES district ID
2802790
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$70,579
Composite
48.08/100
National rank
#2188
State rank
#3 of 130 in MS

Livability — Ridgeland

Score
68/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#9276

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ridgeland, MS
County
Madison County · 75,005 people
City population
24,562
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
24,562
Household income
$66,068
Rent vs Own
52.7% rent · 47.3% own
Severe rent burden
1370.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,509 people
By 2030
131,737 · +7.5%
By 2040
148,930 · +21.6%
By 2050
164,300 · +34.1%
By 2075
197,495 · +61.2%
By 2100
211,429 · +72.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 43% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.34%
Current HPI
153.1826
Rent YoY
▲ 5.65%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+123.0% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $219,900 MLSU
  • 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $1,730 RENTLY
  • 2024-02-24 Listed for Rent $1,730 RENTLY
  • 2023-09-04 Rental Removed $1,730 RENTLY
  • 2023-08-31 Price Changed $1,730 RENTLY
  • 2023-08-03 Listed for Rent $1,785 RENTLY
  • 2020-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
  • 2020-01-30 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2019-12-31 Listed $155,000 MLSU
  • 2018-07-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-11-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-10-04 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2002-08-16 Listed $98,600 MLSU
  • 1999-03-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-05-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1987-06-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,875 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…