102 Beaver Run Ct · Ridgeland, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ADORABLE & AFFORDABLE! Updated 3 BR/2 BA w/2 car garage in convenient Ridgeland area. MOVE-IN READY! Great room w/cathedral vault & fireplace. Kitchen w/ceramic tile counters, electric range w/vent hood, & dishwasher. All flooring is ceramic tile. NO carpet. Recently repainted. Covered patio w/fenced-in backyard & storage shed. Has security system w/cameras. Located close to everything.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1984
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-34/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (0.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (19.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.8% in Ridgeland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#57 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Ann Smith Elementary (746 students, 100% FRL); Old Town Middle (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #84 of 179 statewide, top 47%, 707 students, 100% FRL); Ridgeland High School (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #85 of 197 statewide, top 43%, 968 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 29% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 54% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Madison County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $146k; list at $220k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.05%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $235,764
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Beaver Run Ct | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (0%) | 1mo | $219,900 | $165 | 95 |
| 405 Beaver Creek Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (+3%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $156 | 85 |
| 108 Fox Run Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,367 (+3%) | 12mo | $228,000 | $167 | 75 |
| 557 Brookstone Cir | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+4%) | 15mo | $260,000 | $187 | 63 |
| 512 Brookstone Cir | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,437 (+8%) | 16mo | $269,000 | $187 | 55 |
| 313 Brookwoods Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,387 (+4%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $162 | 47 |
| 470 Brookstone Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+13%) | 20mo | $275,000 | $183 | 45 |
| 215 Cobblestone Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (+14%) | 10mo | $279,900 | $184 | 45 |
| 551 Brookstone Cir | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,497 (+12%) | 20mo | $265,000 | $177 | 44 |
| 511 Chelsea Way | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,467 (+10%) | 11mo | $269,000 | $183 | 43 |
| 204 Sagewood Cv | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (+14%) | 21mo | $245,000 | $162 | 41 |
| 512 Chelsea Way | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,489 (+12%) | 20mo | $249,900 | $168 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-31,014
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-6,436
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39157
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,770 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $-3
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $122 | -5% $59 | +0% $-3 | +5% $-65 | +10% $-127 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-143 | -5% $-73 | +0% $-3 | +5% $67 | +10% $137 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $108 | -0.5pp $53 | base $-3 | +0.5pp $-60 | +1.0pp $-118 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 Rice Rd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,551 | $1.59 | 15d | 16 | 1.19mi |
| 205 Pecan Park Dr Ridgeland, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,850 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 320 Southridge Dr Ridgeland, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $1,856 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-24$219,900 Active
-
2024-03-14historical $1,730
-
2024-02-24$1,730
-
2023-09-04historical $1,730
-
2023-08-31price $1,730
-
2023-08-03$1,785
-
2020-02-07soldstatus $146,000
-
2020-01-30soldstatus 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
ADORABLE & AFFORDABLE! Updated 3 BR/2 BA w/2 car garage in convenient Ridgeland area. MOVE-IN READY! Great room w/cathedral vault & fireplace. Kitchen w/ceramic tile counters, electric range w/vent hood, & dishwasher. All flooring is ceramic tile. NO carpet. Recently repainted. Covered patio w/fenced-in backyard & storage shed. Has security system w/cameras. Located close to everything.
-
2019-12-31$155,000 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
ADORABLE & AFFORDABLE! Updated 3 BR/2 BA w/2 car garage in convenient Ridgeland area. MOVE-IN READY! Great room w/cathedral vault & fireplace. Kitchen w/ceramic tile counters, electric range w/vent hood, & dishwasher. All flooring is ceramic tile. NO carpet. Recently repainted. Covered patio w/fenced-in backyard & storage shed. Has security system w/cameras. Located close to everything.
-
2018-07-24soldstatus
-
2002-11-01soldstatus
-
2002-10-04soldstatus 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Not many homes in this condition available in Ridgeland for under $100,000- neutral floor in kitchen and neutral carpets, den with vaulted ceiling & FP, separate diningroom, spacious kitchen and BIG utility room. Fenced back yard, cul-de-sac = less traffic, new garage door, nice curb appeal. Covered patio, large doghouse remains.
-
2002-08-16$98,600 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Not many homes in this condition available in Ridgeland for under $100,000- neutral floor in kitchen and neutral carpets, den with vaulted ceiling & FP, separate diningroom, spacious kitchen and BIG utility room. Fenced back yard, cul-de-sac = less traffic, new garage door, nice curb appeal. Covered patio, large doghouse remains.
-
1999-03-15soldstatus
-
1995-05-03soldstatus
-
1987-06-15soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,875 · $156/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,875 · $156/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,240
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,699
- − Management
- −$1,699
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$3,848
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$924
- After-tax cash flow
- $890/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802790
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,579
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2188
- State rank
- #3 of 130 in MS
Livability — Ridgeland
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #9276
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ridgeland, MS
- County
- Madison County · 75,005 people
- City population
- 24,562
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,562
- Household income
- $66,068
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1370.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,509 people
- By 2030
- 131,737 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 148,930 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 164,300 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 197,495 · +61.2%
- By 2100
- 211,429 · +72.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 43% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.34%
- Current HPI
- 153.1826
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.65%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+123.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-24 Listed $219,900 MLSU
- 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $1,730 RENTLY
- 2024-02-24 Listed for Rent $1,730 RENTLY
- 2023-09-04 Rental Removed $1,730 RENTLY
- 2023-08-31 Price Changed $1,730 RENTLY
- 2023-08-03 Listed for Rent $1,785 RENTLY
- 2020-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
- 2020-01-30 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2019-12-31 Listed $155,000 MLSU
- 2018-07-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-11-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-10-04 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2002-08-16 Listed $98,600 MLSU
- 1999-03-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-05-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1987-06-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,875 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…