2312 Axtell St · Clovis, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SPACIOUS HOME on a HUGE lot! Bring your vision to life with this spacious home, full of potential and original character! Located on a generous lot, this 3 bed, 2 bath property features beautiful original hardwood floors, a huge front driveway, and a 2-car garage—ideal for extra parking, storage, or a workshop. Inside, you'll find a large utility room along the back of the home that could serve as a kitchen for a guest suite or multi-generational living. There’s also a designated spot for a wood-burning stove, perfect for cozy evenings and rustic charm. The fenced yard provides plenty of room for pets, gardening, or entertaining. Whether you’re a savvy investor or someone looking to create their dream home, this is a rare opportunity to own a home with great bones, ample space, and classic details ready to be restored. Don’t miss your chance to unlock the potential of this rare find - call your favorite broker today for a tour!
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Huge front driveway
- Large utility room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $653 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#171 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Clovis Municipal Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #13 of 29 in NM (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Curry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Curry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 406 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 406 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.41%
- DSCR
- 2.58
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $234,086
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -66.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $32,703
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 42.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.48×
- Total profit
- $98,994
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88101
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 464
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,495 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $973/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $653
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1621 N Lea St Clovis, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3520 Adenmor Ct Clovis, NM | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1230 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 37 Paseo Vlg Clovis, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $1,600 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,000 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $79,000 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
SPACIOUS HOME on a HUGE lot! Bring your vision to life with this spacious home, full of potential and original character! Located on a generous lot, this 3 bed, 2 bath property features beautiful original hardwood floors, a huge front driveway, and a 2-car garage—ideal for extra parking, storage, or a workshop. Inside, you'll find a large utility room along the back of the home that could serve as a kitchen for a guest suite or multi-generational living. There’s also a designated spot for a wood-burning stove, perfect for cozy evenings and rustic charm. The fenced yard provides plenty of room for pets, gardening, or entertaining. Whether you’re a savvy investor or someone looking to create their dream home, this is a rare opportunity to own a home with great bones, ample space, and classic details ready to be restored. Don’t miss your chance to unlock the potential of this rare find - call your favorite broker today for a tour!
-
2025-12-22price $84,900 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
SPACIOUS HOME on a HUGE lot! Bring your vision to life with this spacious home, full of potential and original character! Located on a generous lot, this 3 bed, 2 bath property features beautiful original hardwood floors, a huge front driveway, and a 2-car garage—ideal for extra parking, storage, or a workshop. Inside, you'll find a large utility room along the back of the home that could serve as a kitchen for a guest suite or multi-generational living. There’s also a designated spot for a wood-burning stove, perfect for cozy evenings and rustic charm. The fenced yard provides plenty of room for pets, gardening, or entertaining. Whether you’re a savvy investor or someone looking to create their dream home, this is a rare opportunity to own a home with great bones, ample space, and classic details ready to be restored. Don’t miss your chance to unlock the potential of this rare find - call your favorite broker today for a tour!
-
2025-12-17status Active 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
SPACIOUS HOME on a HUGE lot! Bring your vision to life with this spacious home, full of potential and original character! Located on a generous lot, this 3 bed, 2 bath property features beautiful original hardwood floors, a huge front driveway, and a 2-car garage—ideal for extra parking, storage, or a workshop. Inside, you'll find a large utility room along the back of the home that could serve as a kitchen for a guest suite or multi-generational living. There’s also a designated spot for a wood-burning stove, perfect for cozy evenings and rustic charm. The fenced yard provides plenty of room for pets, gardening, or entertaining. Whether you’re a savvy investor or someone looking to create their dream home, this is a rare opportunity to own a home with great bones, ample space, and classic details ready to be restored. Don’t miss your chance to unlock the potential of this rare find - call your favorite broker today for a tour!
-
2025-11-18status Pending 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
SPACIOUS HOME on a HUGE lot! Bring your vision to life with this spacious home, full of potential and original character! Located on a generous lot, this 3 bed, 2 bath property features beautiful original hardwood floors, a huge front driveway, and a 2-car garage—ideal for extra parking, storage, or a workshop. Inside, you'll find a large utility room along the back of the home that could serve as a kitchen for a guest suite or multi-generational living. There’s also a designated spot for a wood-burning stove, perfect for cozy evenings and rustic charm. The fenced yard provides plenty of room for pets, gardening, or entertaining. Whether you’re a savvy investor or someone looking to create their dream home, this is a rare opportunity to own a home with great bones, ample space, and classic details ready to be restored. Don’t miss your chance to unlock the potential of this rare find - call your favorite broker today for a tour!
-
2025-10-02price $94,900 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
SPACIOUS HOME on a HUGE lot! Bring your vision to life with this spacious home, full of potential and original character! Located on a generous lot, this 3 bed, 2 bath property features beautiful original hardwood floors, a huge front driveway, and a 2-car garage—ideal for extra parking, storage, or a workshop. Inside, you'll find a large utility room along the back of the home that could serve as a kitchen for a guest suite or multi-generational living. There’s also a designated spot for a wood-burning stove, perfect for cozy evenings and rustic charm. The fenced yard provides plenty of room for pets, gardening, or entertaining. Whether you’re a savvy investor or someone looking to create their dream home, this is a rare opportunity to own a home with great bones, ample space, and classic details ready to be restored. Don’t miss your chance to unlock the potential of this rare find - call your favorite broker today for a tour!
-
2025-04-30price $99,000 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
SPACIOUS HOME on a HUGE lot! Bring your vision to life with this spacious home, full of potential and original character! Located on a generous lot, this 3 bed, 2 bath property features beautiful original hardwood floors, a huge front driveway, and a 2-car garage—ideal for extra parking, storage, or a workshop. Inside, you'll find a large utility room along the back of the home that could serve as a kitchen for a guest suite or multi-generational living. There’s also a designated spot for a wood-burning stove, perfect for cozy evenings and rustic charm. The fenced yard provides plenty of room for pets, gardening, or entertaining. Whether you’re a savvy investor or someone looking to create their dream home, this is a rare opportunity to own a home with great bones, ample space, and classic details ready to be restored. Don’t miss your chance to unlock the potential of this rare find - call your favorite broker today for a tour!
-
2025-04-10$110,000 Active 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
SPACIOUS HOME on a HUGE lot! Bring your vision to life with this spacious home, full of potential and original character! Located on a generous lot, this 3 bed, 2 bath property features beautiful original hardwood floors, a huge front driveway, and a 2-car garage—ideal for extra parking, storage, or a workshop. Inside, you'll find a large utility room along the back of the home that could serve as a kitchen for a guest suite or multi-generational living. There’s also a designated spot for a wood-burning stove, perfect for cozy evenings and rustic charm. The fenced yard provides plenty of room for pets, gardening, or entertaining. Whether you’re a savvy investor or someone looking to create their dream home, this is a rare opportunity to own a home with great bones, ample space, and classic details ready to be restored. Don’t miss your chance to unlock the potential of this rare find - call your favorite broker today for a tour!
-
2024-09-23soldstatus
-
2013-08-30soldstatus 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Spacious piece of work! This property will make a fine home for someone who can finish the rehabilitation project started by the previous owner. Spacious rooms, two living areas and a sun porch, three bedrooms, 2 baths. Carport plus a garage. Storm shelter has been added in the back. Large fenced yard too, in a great location of established custom built homes. See it today.
-
2013-07-29$20,000 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Spacious piece of work! This property will make a fine home for someone who can finish the rehabilitation project started by the previous owner. Spacious rooms, two living areas and a sun porch, three bedrooms, 2 baths. Carport plus a garage. Storm shelter has been added in the back. Large fenced yard too, in a great location of established custom built homes. See it today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $973 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $973 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$973
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,435
- − Management
- −$1,435
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $6,978
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,675
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,158/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clovis Municipal Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500570
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,532
- Composite
- 33.52/100
- National rank
- #5435
- State rank
- #13 of 29 in NM
Livability — Clovis
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #22374
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clovis, NM
- County
- Curry County · 44,846 people
- City population
- 44,846
- Metro
- Clovis, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,846
- Household income
- $56,587
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1724.0
Population outlook (Curry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,742 people
- By 2030
- 47,759 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 45,444 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 42,403 · -13.0%
- By 2075
- 33,878 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 22,414 · -54.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 42% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 25%
Political lean MEDSL · Curry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.6) · D 27.8% · R 70.4% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.6 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+34.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.79%
- Current HPI
- 121.1877
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.54%
- Metro
- Clovis, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+295.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $79,000 NMMLS
- 2025-12-22 Price Changed $84,900 NMMLS
- 2025-12-17 Relisted — NMMLS
- 2025-11-18 Pending — NMMLS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $94,900 NMMLS
- 2025-04-30 Price Changed $99,000 NMMLS
- 2025-04-10 Listed $110,000 NMMLS
- 2024-09-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-08-30 Sold (MLS) — NMMLS
- 2013-07-29 Listed $20,000 NMMLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $973 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…