521 E Williams St · Barstow, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$234,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.
Key facts
- Private driveway
- Drive-through gate
- 0.41 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (9.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.6% in Barstow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#444 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Barstow Unified (town): math 11% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #482 of 517 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 343 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $235k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.20%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $259,528
- List price
- $234,900
- Delta
- -9.49%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 820 Lillian Dr | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 | 2,300 (+4%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $76 | 58 |
| 928 Kelly Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,994 (-10%) | 2mo | $292,000 | $146 | 47 |
| 20 Hill Top | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 | 2,501 (+13%) | 24mo | $280,000 | $112 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-21,450
- Equity at exit
- $35,024
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,581
- Equity at exit
- $20,310
Cash invested: $65,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92311
- Home prices YoY
- -30.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 343
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,138 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $890/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $285
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,725
- Closing costs
- $7,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 W Buena Vista St Barstow, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 433 Highland Ave Barstow, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $2,350 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 937 E Elizabeth St Barstow, CA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1422 | $2,195 | $1.54 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 810 Starlight St Barstow, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,895 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $234,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $234,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $234,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $234,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $249,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-07status Active 1229-char remark
Show marketing remark (1229 chars)
Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.
-
2026-05-05status Active 1229-char remark
Show marketing remark (1229 chars)
Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.
-
2026-04-22status Pending Sale 1229-char remark
Show marketing remark (1229 chars)
Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.
-
2026-04-22status Pending Sale 1229-char remark
Show marketing remark (1229 chars)
Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.
-
2026-03-18price $249,900 1229-char remark
Show marketing remark (1229 chars)
Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.
-
2026-01-15$299,900 Active 1229-char remark
Show marketing remark (1229 chars)
Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.
-
2026-01-09$299,900 Active 1229-char remark
Show marketing remark (1229 chars)
Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.
-
2003-07-07soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $890 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,785 · $149/mo
- Expected delta
- +$895/yr (+$75/mo · 100.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,659
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,158
- − Property taxes
- −$890
- − Insurance
- −$1,174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,053
- − Management
- −$2,053
- − Depreciation
- −$6,833
- Taxable loss
- −$503
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$121
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,544/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Barstow Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0604020
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,505
- Composite
- 14.44/100
- National rank
- #9430
- State rank
- #482 of 517 in CA
Livability — Barstow
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #444
- US rank
- #15099
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Barstow, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 33,954
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,954
- Household income
- $61,862
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 29% Two or more races 22% Black 15% Native American 3% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 39% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 20% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.26%
- Current HPI
- 316.4858
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.32%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+149.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-04-22 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-04-22 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $249,900 CRMLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $299,900 CRMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $299,900 CRMLS
- 2003-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $890 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…