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521 E Williams St
C- Composite 52.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$234,900

521 E Williams St · Barstow, CA 92311
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,208 sqft · SingleFamily · 139 Days on market
Built 1918 0.41 ac lot $106/sqft · 9% below area Est $260k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.

Key facts

  • Private driveway
  • Drive-through gate
  • 0.41 acre lot

Tags

ONE BLOCK FROM ROUTE 66TWO SEPARATE STRUCTURESSTREET-LEVEL ACCESS RAMPPRIVATE DRIVEWAYDRIVE-THROUGH GATEMULTIPLE INCOME POSSIBILITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (9.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.6% in Barstow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#444 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Barstow Unified (town): math 11% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #482 of 517 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 343 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $235k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $206,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.75%
Cash-on-cash
5.20%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$259,528
List price
$234,900
Delta
-9.49%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
820 Lillian Dr 0.61mi 4/1.5 2,300 (+4%) 0mo $175,000 $76 58
928 Kelly Dr 0.68mi 4/2.0 1,994 (-10%) 2mo $292,000 $146 47
20 Hill Top 0.65mi 4/2.5 2,501 (+13%) 24mo $280,000 $112 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-21,450
Equity at exit
$35,024
10-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-1,581
Equity at exit
$20,310

Cash invested: $65,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92311

Home prices YoY
-30.6%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
343
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,138 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $890/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$285

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,777
Max offer price $234,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,725
Closing costs
$7,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
211 W Buena Vista St Barstow, CA 3.0 2.0 1434 $2,000 $1.39 24d 1 0.50mi
433 Highland Ave Barstow, CA 4.0 3.0 1800 $2,350 $1.31 4d 1 0.71mi
937 E Elizabeth St Barstow, CA 4.0 1.0 1422 $2,195 $1.54 4d 1 0.79mi
810 Starlight St Barstow, CA 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,895 $1.33 43d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $234,900 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $234,900 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $234,900 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $234,900 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,900 Active 136 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,900 Active 134 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,900 Active 133 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,900 Active 130 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,900 Active 129 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,900 Active 128 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,900 Active 125 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,900 Active 124 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,900 Active 123 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,900 Active 122 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Active 121 DOM
  16. 2026-05-07
    status Active 1229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1229 chars)

    Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.

  17. 2026-05-05
    status Active 1229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1229 chars)

    Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.

  18. 2026-04-22
    status Pending Sale 1229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1229 chars)

    Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.

  19. 2026-04-22
    status Pending Sale 1229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1229 chars)

    Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.

  20. 2026-03-18
    price $249,900 1229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1229 chars)

    Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.

  21. 2026-01-15
    listed $299,900 Active 1229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1229 chars)

    Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.

  22. 2026-01-09
    listed $299,900 Active 1229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1229 chars)

    Unique Downtown Barstow Opportunity – Just One Block from Historic Route 66! Located in the heart of downtown Barstow, just one block from iconic Route 66 / Main Street, this versatile property offers a rare blend of residential and commercial potential. Situated on a single parcel are two separate structures, making it ideal for investors, business owners, or multi-use living. The front structure is currently used as a business and was originally built as a small home featuring two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a basement. Once the business vacates, the space can be easily converted back into a residential unit. A street-level access ramp provides convenient and accessible entry from the sidewalk. The rear structure includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home with an attached studio-style apartment on the backside—perfect for extended family, rental income, or live-work flexibility. The property also features a private driveway leading to the rear unit and a drive-through gate accessible from the alley, offering excellent access and parking options. With its prime downtown location, proximity to Route 66, and multiple income or use possibilities, this property is a standout opportunity with endless potential.

  23. 2003-07-07
    soldstatus $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$890 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,785 · $149/mo
Expected delta
+$895/yr (+$75/mo · 100.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,659
− Mortgage interest
−$13,158
− Property taxes
−$890
− Insurance
−$1,174
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,053
− Management
−$2,053
− Depreciation
−$6,833
Taxable loss
−$503
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$121
After-tax cash flow
$3,544/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Barstow Unified
NCES district ID
0604020
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,505
Composite
14.44/100
National rank
#9430
State rank
#482 of 517 in CA

Livability — Barstow

Score
63/100
State rank
#444
US rank
#15099

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Barstow, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
33,954
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,954
Household income
$61,862
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 29% Two or more races 22% Black 15% Native American 3% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 39% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 20% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.26%
Current HPI
316.4858
Rent YoY
▲ 2.32%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+149.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $249,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $299,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $299,900 CRMLS
  • 2003-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $890 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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