1311 E Hines St · Muncie, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Two-story home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a primary suite with its own en suite bath. Numerous updates completed in 2024/2025, including furnace, some electrical, kitchen, bathrooms, and carpeting. Additional features include a durable metal roof, back deck for outdoor enjoyment, and an enclosed front porch.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Primary suite
- Back deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $614 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 6.0% in Muncie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#18 in IN, #1,654 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Muncie Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #275 of 301 in IN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 171 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delaware County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $5k; list at $50k implies a 860% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.73%
- DSCR
- 3.35
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $103,690
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- -51.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1924 E Hines St | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,976 (-12%) | 1mo | $129,000 | $65 | 54 |
| 1606 N Turner St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 2,065 (-8%) | 20mo | $123,000 | $60 | 52 |
| 807 N Elm St | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 2,064 (-8%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $24 | 46 |
| 1014 N Macedonia Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 2,000 (-11%) | 23mo | $99,000 | $50 | 44 |
| 1212 N Granville Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 2,075 (-7%) | 22mo | $99,900 | $48 | 38 |
| 509 E Streeter Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 2,466 (+10%) | 24mo | $175,000 | $71 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $37,174
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 62.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.92×
- Total profit
- $110,631
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47303
- Home prices YoY
- -18.0%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,213 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $744/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $614
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3001 N Westwood Rd Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1837 | $1,200 | $0.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 609 N Waldemere Ave Muncie, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $1,300 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $49,900 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-03-27$49,900 Active 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Two-story home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a primary suite with its own en suite bath. Numerous updates completed in 2024/2025, including furnace, some electrical, kitchen, bathrooms, and carpeting. Additional features include a durable metal roof, back deck for outdoor enjoyment, and an enclosed front porch.
-
2026-03-27$49,900 Active 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Two-story home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a primary suite with its own en suite bath. Numerous updates completed in 2024/2025, including furnace, some electrical, kitchen, bathrooms, and carpeting. Additional features include a durable metal roof, back deck for outdoor enjoyment, and an enclosed front porch.
-
2025-05-07historical
-
2025-03-14price $95,000
-
2025-03-14price $95,000
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2025-03-06$89,900 Active
-
2025-03-06$89,900 Active
-
2010-04-22soldstatus $5,200
-
2010-01-07$6,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $744 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $744 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,558
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$744
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,165
- − Management
- −$1,165
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $6,988
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,677
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muncie Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1807320
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,052
- Composite
- 17.22/100
- National rank
- #9099
- State rank
- #275 of 301 in IN
Livability — Muncie
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #1654
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muncie, IN
- County
- Delaware County · 84,658 people
- City population
- 84,658
- Metro
- Muncie, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,392
- Household income
- $47,674
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1434.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 113,036 people
- By 2030
- 111,313 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 106,432 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 100,747 · -10.9%
- By 2075
- 91,000 · -19.5%
- By 2100
- 80,687 · -28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.8) · D 41.2% · R 57.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.8pp toward R · 2008: 15.0pp · 2024: -15.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.8 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+15.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.45%
- Current HPI
- 229.8654
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.80%
- Metro
- Muncie, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+623.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $49,900 IRMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $49,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-07 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-14 Price Changed $95,000 IRMLS
- 2025-03-14 Price Changed $95,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-06 Listed $89,900 IRMLS
- 2025-03-06 Listed $89,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-04-22 Sold (MLS) $5,200 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-07 Listed $6,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-6.2%/yrLatest (2024): $744 · -57.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…