11540 Philadelphia Rd Unit 5A · Honeygo, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this affordable and beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in the desirable Sylvania Mobile Park off Old Philadelphia Road in Rosedale. Designed for easy, low-maintenance living, this spacious home features vaulted ceilings, new flooring, and a brand-new bathrooms. The modern kitchen has been fully renovated with sleek countertops and stainless steel appliances, making it both stylish and functional. The open floor plan offers a bright living area and three comfortable bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private full bath. Sylvania Mobile Park provides a welcoming community feel while being just minutes from local conveniences. Enjoy close proximity to White Marsh Mall, shopping centers, grocery stores, and a variety of dining options. Outdoor recreation is nearby with easy access to local parks and trails, and commuters will appreciate quick connections to I-95, I-695, and downtown Baltimore. Move right in and enjoy the perfect blend of value, comfort, and location!
Key facts
- 1,306 sq ft lot
- Built 1996
- Listed 71 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 32.6% vs local median 2.7% in Honeygo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 93.90%
- DSCR
- 5.18
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $281,069
- List price
- $69,990
- Delta
- -75.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5706 Allender Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (+12%) | 3mo | $451,000 | $330 | 61 |
| 11500 Philadelphia Rd | 0.18mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,080 (-11%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $204 | 60 |
| 11608 Bonaparte Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,338 (+10%) | 13mo | $250,000 | $187 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 94.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $86,366
- Equity at exit
- $10,436
- IRR
- 97.5%
- Equity multiple
- 11.26×
- Total profit
- $201,126
- Equity at exit
- $6,051
Cash invested: $19,597 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21162
- Home prices YoY
- -20.4%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,553 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$536
- Net cashflow
- $1,533
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,582 | -5% $1,558 | +0% $1,533 | +5% $1,509 | +10% $1,485 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,332 | -5% $1,433 | +0% $1,533 | +5% $1,634 | +10% $1,735 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,569 | -0.5pp $1,551 | base $1,533 | +0.5pp $1,515 | +1.0pp $1,497 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,498
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
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2026-06-21days on market $69,990 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $69,990 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $69,990 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-16pricedays on market $69,990 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $74,999 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $74,999 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $74,999 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $74,999 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $74,999 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $74,999 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $74,999 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $74,999 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $74,999 Active 52 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $74,999 Active 51 DOM
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2026-04-10$74,999 Active 1016-char remark
Show marketing remark (1016 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in the desirable Sylvania Mobile Park off Old Philadelphia Road in Rosedale. Designed for easy, low-maintenance living, this spacious home features vaulted ceilings, new flooring, and a brand-new bathrooms. The modern kitchen has been fully renovated with sleek countertops and stainless steel appliances, making it both stylish and functional. The open floor plan offers a bright living area and three comfortable bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private full bath. Sylvania Mobile Park provides a welcoming community feel while being just minutes from local conveniences. Enjoy close proximity to White Marsh Mall, shopping centers, grocery stores, and a variety of dining options. Outdoor recreation is nearby with easy access to local parks and trails, and commuters will appreciate quick connections to I-95, I-695, and downtown Baltimore. Move right in and enjoy the perfect blend of value, comfort, and location!
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2026-03-31historical
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2026-01-12status Active
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2025-12-31historical
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2025-08-27status Active
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2025-08-26$79,990 Active
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2025-08-26historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,641
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,451
- − Management
- −$2,451
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $18,382
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,412
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,990/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is move-in ready with new flooring, kitchens, and bathrooms. It offers a spacious and modern living space with vaulted ceilings and a welcoming community feel.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value
- Both Add a small garden — Enhances curb appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Add a small garden — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Honeygo
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Honeygo, MD
- City population
- 14,954
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,511
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 17% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.58%
- Current HPI
- 244.7163
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-6.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $74,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-12 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-27 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-26 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-26 Listed $79,990 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…