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26402 Nash Ln
D- Composite 37.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,000

26402 Nash Ln · Athens, AL 35613
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,884 sqft · SingleFamily · 99 Days on market
Built 2023 7,840 sqft lot $159/sqft · at area comps Est $306k · at est. $21/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lovely home, move-in ready and PRICED TO SELL. This is the popular DR Horton 4 bedroom/2 bath Cali floor plan. Open concept with ample living areas. Spacious kitchen has large granite top island with plenty of counter space. En-suite primary bedroom with double sinks and separate soaking tub. Ceiling fans with remotes in all bedrooms, gutters and large back yard with privacy fence & gate.

Key facts

  • Open concept
  • Ceiling fans
  • Privacy fence

Tags

OPEN CONCEPTLARGE GRANITE TOP ISLANDCEILING FANSPRIVACY FENCE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-99 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $281k (5.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (28.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $213k (28.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.6% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
  • Limestone County (rural): math 21% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #52 of 129 in AL (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 806 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $212,979 (28.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.42%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$305,510
List price
$299,000
Delta
-2.13%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
26462 Riparian Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,683 (-11%) 0mo $260,000 $154 71
26469 Old Town Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,075 (+10%) 2mo $393,900 $190 69
26425 Old Town Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,075 (+10%) 5mo $393,900 $190 68
26640 Kyle Ln 0.42mi 4/2.5 2,022 (+7%) 0mo $315,000 $156 66
26823 Kyle Ln 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,964 (+4%) 2mo $306,262 $156 65
26797 Kyle Ln 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,964 (+4%) 4mo $307,074 $156 64
16504 Eden Dr 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,994 (+6%) 4mo $339,000 $170 60
26594 Pepper Rd 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,625 (-14%) 2mo $320,000 $197 60
16702 Ted Childs Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,848 (-2%) 3mo $301,062 $163 57
16678 Ted Childs Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,765 (-6%) 5mo $291,569 $165 49
26809 Kyle Ln 0.56mi 4/3.0 2,136 (+13%) 3mo $307,045 $144 45
16694 Ted Childs Dr 0.69mi 4/3.0 2,092 (+11%) 2mo $318,565 $152 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-54,904
Equity at exit
$44,582
10-year hold
IRR
-11.3%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-56,514
Equity at exit
$25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35613

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Active inventory
806
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,130 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $816/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$21
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$447
Net cashflow
$-99

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,255
Max offer price $281,499
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
26491 Riparian Dr Athens, AL 3.0 2.0 1497 $2,200 $1.47 14d 1 0.17mi
16702 Ted Childs Dr Athens, AL 3.0 2.0 1848 $1,950 $1.06 14d 1 0.71mi
16656 Bellewood Dr Athens, AL 3.0 2.0 1830 $1,900 $1.04 44d 1 0.77mi
26333 Kennesaw Bluff Dr Athens, AL 3.0 2.0 1745 $2,000 $1.15 23d 1 0.89mi
15270 Tyler Mill Dr Athens, AL 3.0 2.0 1452 $1,481 $1.02 44d 1 1.00mi
15355 Tyler Mill Dr Athens, AL 3.0 2.5 2558 $1,850 $0.72 44d 1 1.07mi
15395 Mill Valley Dr Athens, AL 3.0 2.0 1480 $1,550 $1.05 14d 1 1.09mi
16774 Mulberry Ln Athens, AL 4.0 3.0 2421 $2,150 $0.89 23d 1 1.15mi
15589 Ruthie Lynn Dr Athens, AL 4.0 3.0 1942 $1,995 $1.03 23d 1 1.25mi
15581 Ruthie Lynn Dr Athens, AL 4.0 2.0 2106 $1,870 $0.89 14d 1 1.26mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$21 · $252/yr

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,000 Active 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,000 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,000 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $299,000 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,000 Active 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,000 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,000 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $299,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-03-12
    price $299,000 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Lovely home, move-in ready and PRICED TO SELL. This is the popular DR Horton 4 bedroom/2 bath Cali floor plan. Open concept with ample living areas. Spacious kitchen has large granite top island with plenty of counter space. En-suite primary bedroom with double sinks and separate soaking tub. Ceiling fans with remotes in all bedrooms, gutters and large back yard with privacy fence & gate.

  11. 2026-03-02
    listed $300,000 Active 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Lovely home, move-in ready and PRICED TO SELL. This is the popular DR Horton 4 bedroom/2 bath Cali floor plan. Open concept with ample living areas. Spacious kitchen has large granite top island with plenty of counter space. En-suite primary bedroom with double sinks and separate soaking tub. Ceiling fans with remotes in all bedrooms, gutters and large back yard with privacy fence & gate.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$816 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,226 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$410/yr (+$34/mo · 50.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,557
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$816
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,045
− Management
−$2,045
− HOA
−$252
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable loss
−$6,542
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,570
After-tax cash flow
$381/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Limestone County
NCES district ID
0102100
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$48,972
Composite
28.09/100
National rank
#6829
State rank
#52 of 129 in AL

Livability — Athens

Score
75/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#4019

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Limestone County · 80,439 people
City population
55,492
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
25,523
Household income
$100,845
Rent vs Own
13.3% rent · 86.7% own
Severe rent burden
118.0

Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,441 people
By 2030
121,272 · +8.8%
By 2040
140,705 · +26.3%
By 2050
159,069 · +42.7%
By 2075
202,231 · +81.5%
By 2100
230,608 · +106.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Limestone

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.56%
Current HPI
173.0763
Rent YoY
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $299,000 VMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $300,000 VMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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