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14909 Griggs St
C+ Composite 64.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,700

14909 Griggs St · Detroit, MI 48238
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 839 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1947 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful Brick Bungalow perfect for first-time homebuyers or investors. Step inside and be welcomed by a stunning floor-to-ceiling stone fireplace and beautiful hardwood floors throughout the main living area. The updated kitchen comes complete with a refrigerator, microwave, and oven. The main floor features two spacious bedrooms, while the large upper-level primary bedroom includes a convenient half bath. Major updates completed in 2021 include the roof, plumbing, electrical, furnace, central AC, and hot water tank, providing peace of mind for years to come.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1947
  • Listed 13 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas; Forced air heating
  • Home design: Residential property; 2-story structure; Built in 1947; Facing/entry level information not specified
  • Construction: Brick construction; Basement foundation; Built in 1947
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Paved street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen at entry level (approximately 7 x 5); Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 on second level (approximately 11 x 8); Bedroom 2 on entry level (approximately 8 x 8); Bedroom 3 on entry level (approximately 8 wide)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 2 total baths/lavatories; 1 lavatory
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Fireplace in family room (natural fireplace); Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement present (unfinished) — typical utility/storage space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $689 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 7876% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $100k implies a 750% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,700

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
10.28%
Cash-on-cash
14.25%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$57,891
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14611 Washburn St 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 790 (-6%) 10mo $34,900 $44 67
15856 Monte Vista St 0.67mi 3/1.0 848 (+1%) 3mo $59,900 $71 64
14811 Northlawn St 0.49mi 3/1.0 851 (+1%) 16mo $79,000 $93 62
14284 Kentucky St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 825 (-2%) 8mo $27,000 $33 61
14677 Cloverlawn Ave 0.55mi 3/1.5 900 (+7%) 1mo $20,000 $22 59
14014 Washburn St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 876 (+4%) 3mo $17,000 $19 55
15732 Manor St 0.55mi 3/1.0 930 (+11%) 3mo $50,000 $54 53
14619 Greenlawn St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 804 (-4%) 5mo $52,000 $65 53
14871 NE Cheyenne St NW 0.61mi 3/1.0 878 (+5%) 13mo $69,000 $79 53
15756 Meyers Rd 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 946 (+13%) 4mo $65,000 $69 42
15754 Meyers Rd 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 946 (+13%) 4mo $65,000 $69 42
14595 Littlefield St 0.69mi 3/1.0 916 (+9%) 16mo $68,000 $74 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$8,814
Equity at exit
$14,866
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.85×
Total profit
$51,771
Equity at exit
$8,620

Cash invested: $27,916 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48238

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
348
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,194 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$523
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $573/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$331

Break-even live

Break-even rent $775
Max offer price $99,700
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $388 -5% $360 +0% $331 +5% $303 +10% $275
Rent -10% $237 -5% $284 +0% $331 +5% $379 +10% $426
Rate -1.0pp $382 -0.5pp $357 base $331 +0.5pp $306 +1.0pp $279

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,925
Closing costs
$2,991
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,100 $1.07 25d 1 0.11mi
15512 Mendota St Apt 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 45d 1 0.48mi
15512 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 931 $1,200 $1.29 6d 1 0.48mi
14570 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 840 $1,250 $1.49 13d 1 0.49mi
15388 Appoline St #203 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 45d 1 0.50mi
14550 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 18d 1 0.55mi
15765 Washburn St Unit 15767 Washburn Upper Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1093 $950 $0.87 0d 1 0.56mi
15760 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 45d 1 0.59mi
14847 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 849 $1,150 $1.35 19d 1 0.61mi
14656 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 0.62mi
15777 Wisconsin St Unit 77 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 6d 1 0.66mi
15839 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 18d 1 0.69mi
15738 Sorrento Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 762 $1,175 $1.54 45d 1 0.71mi
15878 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 45d 1 0.73mi
14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 45d 1 0.77mi
15340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 18d 1 0.80mi
14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1004 $1,100 $1.10 18d 1 0.88mi
16230 Indiana St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 19d 1 0.92mi
15771 Turner St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,049 $1.05 45d 1 0.92mi
16204 Steel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,150 $1.19 45d 1 0.94mi
15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 13d 1 1.00mi
15517 Lesure St Unit BDRM1A Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 25d 1 1.06mi
16503 Ward Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 45d 1 1.07mi
7350 Globe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 5d 1 1.09mi
14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,150 $1.03 18d 1 1.11mi
14950 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $900 $1.50 25d 1 1.13mi
13620 Tuller St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1064 $1,374 $1.29 13d 1 1.14mi
2926 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 18d 1 1.18mi
2690 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 25d 4 1.20mi
15073 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 860 $1,350 $1.57 18d 1 1.28mi
14559 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1033 $1,150 $1.11 21d 1 1.29mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 1.31mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 25d 1 1.31mi
17150 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 775 $975 $1.26 45d 2 1.34mi
16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 12d 1 1.35mi
16722 Tuller St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 18d 1 1.37mi
17159 Northlawn St Unit 17161 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1122 $975 $0.87 6d 1 1.39mi
15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1080 $1,475 $1.37 18d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,700 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,700 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,700 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,700 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,700 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,700 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,700 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,700 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on marketlisting id $99,700 Active 1 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,700 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,700 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 567-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listed $99,700 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$573 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,054 · $88/mo
Expected delta
+$481/yr (+$40/mo · 84.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,332
− Mortgage interest
−$5,585
− Property taxes
−$573
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,147
− Management
−$1,147
− Depreciation
−$2,900
Taxable income
$2,482
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$596
After-tax cash flow
$3,381/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,731
Household income
$33,315
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.96%
Current HPI
189.6227
Rent YoY
▲ 6.14%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+750.1% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Coming Soon $99,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $90,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-15 Price Changed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-15 Price Changed $100,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $115,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-11-16 Rental Removed $1,250 SWMMLS
  • 2025-11-01 Listed for Rent $1,250 SWMMLS
  • 2025-10-11 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-10 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-05 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1993-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $11,728 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $573 · +58.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…