Duplex
246 Soundview Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$690,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Discover This Well-Maintained Two-Family Home! Ideal for investors or those seeking to live in one unit while generating rental income, this property features: Lower Level: A spacious one-bedroom apartment. Upper Duplex: A spacious three-bedroom unit with ample living space for families. Both units come with modern amenities and thoughtful updates, ensuring comfort for all residents. The property also includes a generous two-car (plus one car in the driveway) garage for parking and storage. Enjoy a large backyard that offers endless possibilities for outdoor enjoyment, from gardening to entertaining. Conveniently located near Clason Point on Soundview Avenue, you'll find shops, schools, c
Key facts
- Beautiful view
- Plenty of closets
- Large backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $690k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $543/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $687k (0.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $669k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,872/mo this rent would consume 157% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 3913% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($669k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $387k; list at $690k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.75%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $819,930
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 Gildersleeve Ave | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 | 1,400 (-7%) | 22mo | $690,000 | $493 | 59 |
| 421 Leland Ave | 0.31mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,326 (-12%) | 12mo | $720,000 | $543 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-42,786
- Equity at exit
- $102,881
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $51,183
- Equity at exit
- $59,659
Cash invested: $193,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10473
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 17.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,872 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,618
- Tax from tax record
- −$437 /mo · $5,241/yr
- Insurance
- −$288
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,443
- Net cashflow
- $1,086
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,477 | -5% $1,282 | +0% $1,086 | +5% $891 | +10% $696 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $543 | -5% $815 | +0% $1,086 | +5% $1,358 | +10% $1,629 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,434 | -0.5pp $1,262 | base $1,086 | +0.5pp $907 | +1.0pp $726 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $3,300 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $3,572 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,872 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $172,500
- Closing costs
- $20,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dune Ct Unit 1 Bronx, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $4,300 | $2.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 620 Rosedale Ave Bronx, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $3,643 | $3.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2024-11-14status Pending
-
2024-09-30status Active
-
2024-09-28status Active
-
2024-09-28status Active
-
2024-09-27$690,000 Active
-
2022-08-09historical
-
2022-06-27$699,000 Active
-
2022-06-25historical
-
2007-01-18soldstatus $386,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,241 · $437/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,451 · $704/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,210/yr (+$268/mo · 61.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $82,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$38,651
- − Property taxes
- −$5,241
- − Insurance
- −$3,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,597
- − Management
- −$6,597
- − Depreciation
- −$20,073
- Taxable income
- $1,856
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$445
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,589/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,855
- Household income
- $52,462
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3913.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% Black 34% Two or more races 12% Asian 2% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 31% Dominican 20%
- Common ancestry
- British 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 45% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.70%
- Current HPI
- 276.2941
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+78.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2024-11-14 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-30 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-28 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-28 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-27 Listed $690,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-09 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-27 Listed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-25 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $386,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,241 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…