203 Demorgan Acres Ln · Alba, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$72,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2022 single wide home is located in a park on a rented lot and offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with a modern, updated interior. The home features dark wood cabinetry, wood-style flooring, and a contemporary design throughout. Recent improvements include newly constructed wooden porches at both the front and rear entrances, providing convenient outdoor access and additional living space. A great opportunity for buyers seeking a newer, move-in ready home with modern finishes and low-maintenance living. 1 dog lives there and will be in kennel during showings. Lot rent is $350 water and sewer included.
Key facts
- Modern finishes
- Dark wood cabinetry
- Wood style flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $72k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,570 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools F.
- Canton Area SD (rural): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #361 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Bradford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($498 loan paydown + $999 appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Bradford County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.50%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $169,494
- List price
- $72,000
- Delta
- -57.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $27,853
- Equity at exit
- $26,043
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.56×
- Total profit
- $71,817
- Equity at exit
- $35,771
Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17724
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,068 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$378
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $497/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $395
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,000
- Closing costs
- $2,160
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $72,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $72,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $72,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $72,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $72,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $72,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $72,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $72,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $72,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $72,000 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
This 2022 single wide home is located in a park on a rented lot and offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with a modern, updated interior. The home features dark wood cabinetry, wood-style flooring, and a contemporary design throughout. Recent improvements include newly constructed wooden porches at both the front and rear entrances, providing convenient outdoor access and additional living space. A great opportunity for buyers seeking a newer, move-in ready home with modern finishes and low-maintenance living. 1 dog lives there and will be in kennel during showings. Lot rent is $350 water and sewer included.
-
2026-01-13$77,900 Active 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
This 2022 single wide home is located in a park on a rented lot and offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with a modern, updated interior. The home features dark wood cabinetry, wood-style flooring, and a contemporary design throughout. Recent improvements include newly constructed wooden porches at both the front and rear entrances, providing convenient outdoor access and additional living space. A great opportunity for buyers seeking a newer, move-in ready home with modern finishes and low-maintenance living. 1 dog lives there and will be in kennel during showings. Lot rent is $350 water and sewer included.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $497 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $817 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$320/yr (+$27/mo · 64.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,817
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,033
- − Property taxes
- −$497
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,025
- − Management
- −$1,025
- − Depreciation
- −$2,095
- Taxable income
- $3,781
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$908
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2022 single-wide manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates and a move-in-ready appearance. It offers a modern interior and is located in a park setting with low maintenance requirements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace worn-out flooring — Improves aesthetics and functionality
- Both Update kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace worn-out flooring — Improves aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Both Update kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204920
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,208
- Composite
- 33.68/100
- National rank
- #5387
- State rank
- #361 of 539 in PA
Livability — Alba
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1570
- US rank
- #20961
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 66
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,721
Population outlook (Bradford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,236 people
- By 2030
- 54,660 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 49,502 · -13.5%
- By 2050
- 44,277 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 33,420 · -41.6%
- By 2100
- 22,919 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bradford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.6% · R 73.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.5pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -47.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.9 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+24.6 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.39%
- Current HPI
- 180.8366
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
-7.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $72,000 NMPA
- 2026-01-13 Listed $77,900 NMPA
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2026): $497 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…