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31 Ross Ave Duplex
B Composite 71.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

31 Ross Ave · Buffalo, NY 14207
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1914 3,000 sqft lot $80/sqft · 57% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Awesome 2 family home. Perfect for an investor or owner occupant looking for passive income to add to an investment portfolio. Full basement. Off street parking with 2 car garage.

Key facts

  • 3,000 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1914

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two separate gas meters; Two separate electric meters; Owner pays water and trash collection; Rent includes water and trash collection; Operating expense details: see remarks; Unit 1 actual rent $950 (leased through Nov 1, 2026); Unit 2 actual rent $1,200 (month-to-month)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Paved parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected with circuit breakers; Sewer connected; Public water connected
  • Home design: Two-story building; Residential 2-unit property; Resale condition; Wood siding construction; Rectangular lot near public transit on a city street (30 x 100)
  • Construction: Wood siding; Existing (previously built)
  • Exterior features: Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen (unit 1); Dining area with kitchen or living room
  • Bedrooms: One unit with 2 bedrooms; One unit with 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (each unit has 1 full bathroom)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Natural woodwork
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $533/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,344/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $135k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $134,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
15.77%
Cash-on-cash
33.85%
DSCR
2.51
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$311,728
List price
$134,900
Delta
-56.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
151 Crowley Ave 0.23mi 4/2.0 1,565 (-7%) 10mo $89,000 $57 70
29 Philadelphia St 0.34mi 4/2.0 1,584 (-6%) 11mo $209,000 $132 65
15 Blum Ave 0.58mi 4/2.0 1,600 (-5%) 1mo $212,000 $133 64
14 Collaton St 0.56mi 4/2.0 1,708 (+2%) 9mo $105,000 $61 64
395 Ontario St 0.06mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,908 (+14%) 8mo $270,000 $142 63
138 Ross Ave 0.20mi 4/2.0 1,896 (+13%) 8mo $170,000 $90 63
77 Eckhert St 0.50mi 4/2.0 1,584 (-6%) 6mo $211,000 $133 62
227 Crowley Ave 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,909 (+14%) 6mo $155,000 $81 62
108 Eckhert St 0.55mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,629 (-3%) 6mo $230,000 $141 59
23 Wyandotte Ave 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,496 (-11%) 6mo $150,000 $100 58
1176 Tonawanda St 0.68mi 4/2.0 1,792 (+7%) 2mo $205,000 $114 56
315 Roesch Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,498 (-11%) 6mo $167,000 $111 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.3%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$58,339
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
43.6%
Equity multiple
6.15×
Total profit
$194,349
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14207

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,344 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $271/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$492
Net cashflow
$1,066

Break-even live

Break-even rent $995
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 50%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,344

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
158 Chadduck Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 24d 1 0.30mi
118 Rano St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 21d 1 0.38mi
61 Baxter St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2014 $1,400 $0.70 2d 1 0.50mi
62 Seabrook St Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 2d 1 0.68mi
78 Germain St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2030 $1,300 $0.64 14d 1 1.12mi
62 Germain St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,250 $0.95 24d 1 1.15mi
172 Tremont Ave Kenmore, NY 3.0 1.5 1569 $2,500 $1.59 10d 1 1.38mi
139 Fordham Dr Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1453 $1,700 $1.17 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 292-char remark
  2. 2026-05-05
    listed $134,900 Active 292-char remark
  3. 2020-11-02
    soldstatus $63,000
  4. 2020-10-23
    soldstatus $63,000 Closed Sale or Rented 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Awesome 2 family home. Perfect for an investor or owner occupant looking for passive income to add to an investment portfolio. Full basement. Off street parking with 2 car garage.

  5. 2020-07-27
    status Pending Sale 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Awesome 2 family home. Perfect for an investor or owner occupant looking for passive income to add to an investment portfolio. Full basement. Off street parking with 2 car garage.

  6. 2020-07-18
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Awesome 2 family home. Perfect for an investor or owner occupant looking for passive income to add to an investment portfolio. Full basement. Off street parking with 2 car garage.

  7. 2020-07-16
    price $65,900 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Awesome 2 family home. Perfect for an investor or owner occupant looking for passive income to add to an investment portfolio. Full basement. Off street parking with 2 car garage.

  8. 2020-05-22
    price $80,000 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Awesome 2 family home. Perfect for an investor or owner occupant looking for passive income to add to an investment portfolio. Full basement. Off street parking with 2 car garage.

  9. 2020-03-06
    price $89,900 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Awesome 2 family home. Perfect for an investor or owner occupant looking for passive income to add to an investment portfolio. Full basement. Off street parking with 2 car garage.

  10. 2020-02-18
    listed $99,900 Active 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Awesome 2 family home. Perfect for an investor or owner occupant looking for passive income to add to an investment portfolio. Full basement. Off street parking with 2 car garage.

  11. 2005-11-02
    soldstatus $40,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$271 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,275 · $106/mo
Expected delta
+$1,005/yr (+$84/mo · 371.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,128
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$271
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,250
− Management
−$2,250
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$11,201
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,688
After-tax cash flow
$10,098/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
26,327
Household income
$39,753
Rent vs Own
65.0% rent · 35.0% own
Severe rent burden
2177.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.42%
Current HPI
233.0902
Rent YoY
▲ 8.19%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+229.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $134,900 WNYREIS
  • 2020-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 2020-10-23 Sold (MLS) $63,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-07-27 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2020-07-18 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2020-07-16 Price Changed $65,900 WNYREIS
  • 2020-05-22 Price Changed $80,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-03-06 Price Changed $89,900 WNYREIS
  • 2020-02-18 Listed $99,900 WNYREIS
  • 2005-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $40,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $271 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…