717 Royal Heights Rd · Belleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Turnkey All-Brick Duplex | Strong Cash Flow Potential | Prime Visibility Well-maintained all-brick duplex offering immediate income with upside potential. Ideally positioned with direct frontage on Royal Heights Rd, this property benefits from excellent visibility and strong rental appeal for long-term occupancy. Each unit features a functional 2-bedroom layout with in-unit laundry, private patio space, and covered carport parking plus additional off-street pad parking—amenities that consistently attract and retain quality tenants. Both units are currently leased to long-term tenants who wish to remain, providing stable, reliable income from day one. Current rents are below market va
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1959
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.25 acre (per public records)
- Financial info: Gross rental income reported: $20,400; Seller may consider concessions
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Carport for 2 vehicles; Total of 4 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Single-phase electric
- Home design: Duplex; One-story; Private ownership; Residential income property (2–4 units)
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Built area above grade: 2,140 (per public records)
- Exterior features: Patio; Carport(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchens in each unit (appliance details not provided)
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (each unit has 2 bedrooms)
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Aluminum frame windows; No basement
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Belleville High School-East (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #241 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 2,568 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $175k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.93%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,280
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 Columbus | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,212 (+3%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $106 | 57 |
| 230 N 44th St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,165 (+1%) | 11mo | $147,000 | $68 | 56 |
| 5 High Forest Dr | 0.54mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,209 (+3%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $102 | 55 |
| 9 Columbus Dr | 0.32mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,356 (+10%) | 9mo | $199,900 | $85 | 54 |
| 6 Lancelot Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,908 (-11%) | 4mo | $197,000 | $103 | 52 |
| 1712 Shade Tree Ct | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 2,068 (-3%) | 5mo | $278,000 | $134 | 50 |
| 25 Blackburn Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,969 (-8%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $114 | 50 |
| 1900 N 17th St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,131 (-0%) | 3mo | $119,900 | $56 | 49 |
| 20 Chaucer Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,920 (-10%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $89 | 48 |
| 42 Bedford Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,980 (-8%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $63 | 47 |
| 10 N Cape Ct | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,186 (+2%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $82 | 44 |
| 305 N 35th St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,200 (+3%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $102 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-9,699
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $25,112
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62226
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,972 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$325 /mo · $3,902/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $242
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $341 | -5% $292 | +0% $242 | +5% $193 | +10% $143 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $86 | -5% $164 | +0% $242 | +5% $320 | +10% $398 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $330 | -0.5pp $287 | base $242 | +0.5pp $197 | +1.0pp $151 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2725 Timberline Dr Belleville, IL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2890 | $3,100 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-04-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-01$175,000 Active
-
2001-06-19soldstatus $85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,902 · $325/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,937 · $328/mo
- Expected delta
- +$36/yr (+$3/mo · 0.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,664
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$3,902
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,893
- − Management
- −$1,893
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $208
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$50
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,856/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belleville, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,255
- Household income
- $70,797
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 824.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.57%
- Current HPI
- 133.9028
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.56%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+105.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $175,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2024): $3,902 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…