11 Hoff Ct · Hempstead, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 57.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A fixer upper that requires significant renovations and repairs.
Key facts
- 5,544 sq ft lot
- Built 1954
- Listed 4 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $350k).
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 5.1% in Hempstead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#123 in NY, #2,002 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, cost of living F.
- Hempstead Union Free School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #567 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Alverta B Gray Schultz Middle School (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #688 of 729 statewide, top 94%, 938 students, 73% FRL); Hempstead High School (math 50% / reading 69%, grade C+, #851 of 1,100 statewide, top 80%, 1,866 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools at 68% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,594/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 2535% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.14%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $593,300
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Angevine Ave | 0.40mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,734 (+2%) | 4mo | $780,000 | $450 | 70 |
| 33 Thorne Ave | 0.22mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,619 (-5%) | 9mo | $550,000 | $340 | 69 |
| 22 Hudson Pl | 0.58mi | 6/2.0 | 1,790 (+5%) | 5mo | $635,000 | $355 | 60 |
| 141 Oak Ave | 0.53mi | 6/3.0 | 1,719 (+1%) | 13mo | $600,000 | $349 | 58 |
| 79 Grove St | 0.34mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,904 (+12%) | 5mo | $442,000 | $232 | 55 |
| 80 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.48mi | 6/2.0 | 1,941 (+14%) | 15mo | $650,000 | $335 | 42 |
| 16 Teresa | 0.63mi | 6/1.5 | 1,500 (-12%) | 18mo | $582,000 | $388 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $48,368
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $178,270
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11550
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,594 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$793 /mo · $9,517/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,175
- Net cashflow
- $1,645
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 Kane Ave Hempstead, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $4,800 | $2.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 363 Clarendon Rd Uniondale, NY | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1434 | $5,500 | $3.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 67 W Marshall St Hempstead, NY | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,800 | $3.43 | 10d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 168 Lenox Ave Uniondale, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $5,900 | $3.21 | 1d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1077 Gerald St Uniondale, NY | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1680 | $5,950 | $3.54 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2025-01-02status Pending
-
2025-01-02status Active
-
2024-06-10$350,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,517 · $793/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,517 · $793/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $67,132
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$9,517
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,371
- − Management
- −$5,371
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable income
- $15,336
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,681
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,061/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hempstead Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3614130
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,774
- Composite
- 28.12/100
- National rank
- #6821
- State rank
- #567 of 590 in NY
Livability — Hempstead
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #2002
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hempstead, NY
- County
- Nassau County · 653,051 people
- City population
- 60,960
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,960
- Household income
- $92,677
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2535.0
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,409,302 people
- By 2030
- 1,431,482 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 1,471,607 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,502,845 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 1,575,403 · +11.8%
- By 2100
- 1,554,356 · +10.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% Black 43% Two or more races 14% White 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4%
- Foreign-born
- 37% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 40% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -297.72%
- Current HPI
- 339.055
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2025-01-02 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-02 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-10 Listed $350,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+25.9%/yrLatest (2024): $9,517 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…