CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
303 Mohegan Park Rd Lot 122
D Composite 42.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

303 Mohegan Park Rd Lot 122 · Norwich, CT 06360
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 954 sqft · Manufactured public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1980 $120/sqft · at area comps Est $112k · at est. $570/mo HOA · 37% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully remodeled home located in a quiet, established neighborhood near Mohegan Park. This property features a brandnew roof, updated interior finishes, modern flooring, refreshed kitchen and baths, and a bright, open layout. The renovation provides a moveinready feel with quality updates throughout. Enjoy close proximity to Mohegan Park's walking trails, playgrounds, and recreational areas, along with convenient access to local schools, shopping, and amenities. A great opportunity to own a fully updated home in Norwich. Park application link in agent comments.

Key facts

  • Modern flooring
  • Refreshed baths
  • Refreshed kitchen

Tags

REMODELED HOMEBRANDNEW ROOFUPDATED INTERIOR FINISHESMODERN FLOORINGREFRESHED KITCHENREFRESHED BATHS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-430/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (5.5% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.1% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in CT, #1,391 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-.
  • Norwich School District (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #139 of 153 in CT (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Moriarty Magnet School (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #396 of 553 statewide, top 72%, 368 students, 62% FRL); Kelly Steam Magnet Middle School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 175 statewide, top 90%, 556 students, 72% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
Recommended offer $104,559 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
5.92%
Cash-on-cash
-1.34%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$111,557
List price
$114,900
Delta
3.00%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.0%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-14,709
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$11,521
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06360

Home prices YoY
-19.9%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
243
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,558 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $552/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$570
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$-36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,603
Max offer price $108,566
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $29 -5% $-3 +0% $-36 +5% $-68 +10% $-101
Rent -10% $-159 -5% $-97 +0% $-36 +5% $26 +10% $87
Rate -1.0pp $22 -0.5pp $-7 base $-36 +0.5pp $-66 +1.0pp $-96

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
70 Sandy Ln Norwich, CT 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 900 $1,225 $1.36 3d 6 0.68mi
9 Hunters Rd Apt 1 Norwich, CT 2.0 1.0 720 $1,850 $2.57 15d 1 0.76mi
17 Sylvester St Norwich, CT 1.0 1.0 592 $1,350 $2.28 15d 1 0.89mi
79 S B St Unit B Taftville, CT 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 15d 1 1.13mi
196 Central Ave Unit 3 Norwich, CT 1.0 1.0 650 $1,450 $2.23 15d 1 1.44mi
16 Spaulding St Unit 2A Norwich, CT 1.0 1.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 45d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$570 · $6,840/yr
Likely covers
landscaping

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $114,900 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,900 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,900 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,900 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    price $114,900 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 87 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 85 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 84 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    statusdays on market $119,900 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 81 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 80 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $119,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 79 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 72 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 71 DOM
  17. 2026-04-27
    status Active 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled home located in a quiet, established neighborhood near Mohegan Park. This property features a brandnew roof, updated interior finishes, modern flooring, refreshed kitchen and baths, and a bright, open layout. The renovation provides a moveinready feel with quality updates throughout. Enjoy close proximity to Mohegan Park's walking trails, playgrounds, and recreational areas, along with convenient access to local schools, shopping, and amenities. A great opportunity to own a fully updated home in Norwich. Park application link in agent comments.

  18. 2026-04-14
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled home located in a quiet, established neighborhood near Mohegan Park. This property features a brandnew roof, updated interior finishes, modern flooring, refreshed kitchen and baths, and a bright, open layout. The renovation provides a moveinready feel with quality updates throughout. Enjoy close proximity to Mohegan Park's walking trails, playgrounds, and recreational areas, along with convenient access to local schools, shopping, and amenities. A great opportunity to own a fully updated home in Norwich. Park application link in agent comments.

  19. 2026-04-06
    price $125,000 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled home located in a quiet, established neighborhood near Mohegan Park. This property features a brandnew roof, updated interior finishes, modern flooring, refreshed kitchen and baths, and a bright, open layout. The renovation provides a moveinready feel with quality updates throughout. Enjoy close proximity to Mohegan Park's walking trails, playgrounds, and recreational areas, along with convenient access to local schools, shopping, and amenities. A great opportunity to own a fully updated home in Norwich. Park application link in agent comments.

  20. 2026-03-19
    listed $129,900 Active 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled home located in a quiet, established neighborhood near Mohegan Park. This property features a brandnew roof, updated interior finishes, modern flooring, refreshed kitchen and baths, and a bright, open layout. The renovation provides a moveinready feel with quality updates throughout. Enjoy close proximity to Mohegan Park's walking trails, playgrounds, and recreational areas, along with convenient access to local schools, shopping, and amenities. A great opportunity to own a fully updated home in Norwich. Park application link in agent comments.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$552 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,505 · $125/mo
Expected delta
+$953/yr (+$79/mo · 172.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,692
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$552
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,495
− Management
−$1,495
− HOA
−$6,840
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable loss
−$2,044
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$491
After-tax cash flow
$60/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norwich School District
NCES district ID
0903120
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,813
Composite
21.27/100
National rank
#8395
State rank
#139 of 153 in CT

Livability — Norwich

Score
81/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#1391

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A- Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norwich, CT
County
New London County · 147,197 people
City population
37,216
Metro
Norwich-New London, CT
Population (ZIP)
37,216
Household income
$65,539
Rent vs Own
44.8% rent · 55.2% own
Severe rent burden
1643.0

Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
293,442

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Romanian 5% Hispanic 4%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
All cycles
2024: D+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.27%
Current HPI
261.8575
Rent YoY
▲ 6.62%
Metro
Norwich-New London, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $125,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $129,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2023): $552 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…