303 Mohegan Park Rd Lot 122 · Norwich, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully remodeled home located in a quiet, established neighborhood near Mohegan Park. This property features a brandnew roof, updated interior finishes, modern flooring, refreshed kitchen and baths, and a bright, open layout. The renovation provides a moveinready feel with quality updates throughout. Enjoy close proximity to Mohegan Park's walking trails, playgrounds, and recreational areas, along with convenient access to local schools, shopping, and amenities. A great opportunity to own a fully updated home in Norwich. Park application link in agent comments.
Key facts
- Modern flooring
- Refreshed baths
- Refreshed kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-430/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (5.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.1% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in CT, #1,391 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-.
- Norwich School District (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #139 of 153 in CT (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Moriarty Magnet School (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #396 of 553 statewide, top 72%, 368 students, 62% FRL); Kelly Steam Magnet Middle School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 175 statewide, top 90%, 556 students, 72% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.34%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $111,557
- List price
- $114,900
- Delta
- 3.00%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-14,709
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $11,521
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06360
- Home prices YoY
- -19.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,558 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $552/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$570
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $-36
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $29 | -5% $-3 | +0% $-36 | +5% $-68 | +10% $-101 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-159 | -5% $-97 | +0% $-36 | +5% $26 | +10% $87 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $22 | -0.5pp $-7 | base $-36 | +0.5pp $-66 | +1.0pp $-96 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 Sandy Ln Norwich, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 3d | 6 | 0.68mi |
| 9 Hunters Rd Apt 1 Norwich, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,850 | $2.57 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 17 Sylvester St Norwich, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 592 | $1,350 | $2.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 79 S B St Unit B Taftville, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 196 Central Ave Unit 3 Norwich, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,450 | $2.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 16 Spaulding St Unit 2A Norwich, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $570 · $6,840/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $114,900 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-15price $114,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-10statusdays on market $119,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 81 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 80 DOM
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2026-06-07statusdays on market $119,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 79 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 72 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 71 DOM
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2026-04-27status Active 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Beautifully remodeled home located in a quiet, established neighborhood near Mohegan Park. This property features a brandnew roof, updated interior finishes, modern flooring, refreshed kitchen and baths, and a bright, open layout. The renovation provides a moveinready feel with quality updates throughout. Enjoy close proximity to Mohegan Park's walking trails, playgrounds, and recreational areas, along with convenient access to local schools, shopping, and amenities. A great opportunity to own a fully updated home in Norwich. Park application link in agent comments.
-
2026-04-14historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Beautifully remodeled home located in a quiet, established neighborhood near Mohegan Park. This property features a brandnew roof, updated interior finishes, modern flooring, refreshed kitchen and baths, and a bright, open layout. The renovation provides a moveinready feel with quality updates throughout. Enjoy close proximity to Mohegan Park's walking trails, playgrounds, and recreational areas, along with convenient access to local schools, shopping, and amenities. A great opportunity to own a fully updated home in Norwich. Park application link in agent comments.
-
2026-04-06price $125,000 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Beautifully remodeled home located in a quiet, established neighborhood near Mohegan Park. This property features a brandnew roof, updated interior finishes, modern flooring, refreshed kitchen and baths, and a bright, open layout. The renovation provides a moveinready feel with quality updates throughout. Enjoy close proximity to Mohegan Park's walking trails, playgrounds, and recreational areas, along with convenient access to local schools, shopping, and amenities. A great opportunity to own a fully updated home in Norwich. Park application link in agent comments.
-
2026-03-19$129,900 Active 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Beautifully remodeled home located in a quiet, established neighborhood near Mohegan Park. This property features a brandnew roof, updated interior finishes, modern flooring, refreshed kitchen and baths, and a bright, open layout. The renovation provides a moveinready feel with quality updates throughout. Enjoy close proximity to Mohegan Park's walking trails, playgrounds, and recreational areas, along with convenient access to local schools, shopping, and amenities. A great opportunity to own a fully updated home in Norwich. Park application link in agent comments.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $552 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,505 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$953/yr (+$79/mo · 172.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,692
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$552
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,495
- − Management
- −$1,495
- − HOA
- −$6,840
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable loss
- −$2,044
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$491
- After-tax cash flow
- $60/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norwich School District
- NCES district ID
- 0903120
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,813
- Composite
- 21.27/100
- National rank
- #8395
- State rank
- #139 of 153 in CT
Livability — Norwich
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #1391
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norwich, CT
- County
- New London County · 147,197 people
- City population
- 37,216
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,216
- Household income
- $65,539
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1643.0
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 5% Hispanic 4%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.27%
- Current HPI
- 261.8575
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.62%
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
-3.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-14 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $125,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $129,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2023): $552 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…