1033 1st St · Jackson, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$92,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1880
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 5.4% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
- Jackson Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #458 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.73%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,199
- List price
- $92,000
- Delta
- 3.14%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1011 S Grinnell St | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 1,740 (-2%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $121 | 68 |
| 1102 S West Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,780 (-0%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $107 | 63 |
| 739 Beverly Park Pl | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,780 (-0%) | 2mo | $192,500 | $108 | 60 |
| 749 W High St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,841 (+3%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $100 | 56 |
| 722 W Morrell St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,615 (-10%) | 7mo | $182,500 | $113 | 54 |
| 1011 S West Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,684 (-6%) | 14mo | $159,900 | $95 | 51 |
| 1215 Martin Luther King Jr Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,726 (-3%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $38 | 50 |
| 1207 W Morrell St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,954 (+10%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $64 | 39 |
| 1009 S Webster St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,544 (-14%) | 5mo | $163,000 | $106 | 38 |
| 146 W Mansion St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,608 (-10%) | 8mo | $146,000 | $91 | 37 |
| 600 S West Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,554 (-13%) | 14mo | $159,900 | $103 | 31 |
| 1111 Elmwood Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,519 (-15%) | 8mo | $219,900 | $145 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $14,182
- Equity at exit
- $13,717
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $69,805
- Equity at exit
- $7,954
Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49203
- Home prices YoY
- -31.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 164
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,294 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$482
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,705/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $359
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,000
- Closing costs
- $2,760
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1700 S W Ave Jackson, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,350 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $92,000 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $92,000 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $92,000 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $92,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $92,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $92,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $92,000 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $92,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $92,000 Active 176 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $92,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $92,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $92,000 Active 170 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $92,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $92,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $92,000 Active 167 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $92,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-05-14status Active 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-14status Active 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-09historical Active Under Contract 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-09historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-04price $92,000 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-04price $92,000 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-01-10price $96,000 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-01-10price $96,000 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-12-15$100,000 Active 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-12-15$100,000 Active 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!
-
2022-10-27soldstatus $82,000
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2022-10-21soldstatus $82,000 Sold
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2022-10-21soldstatus $82,000 Sold
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2022-10-21soldstatus $82,000 Closed
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2022-09-22status Pending
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2022-09-22status Pending
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2022-09-20historical
-
2022-08-31$89,900 Active
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2022-08-31$89,900 Active
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2022-08-31$89,900
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2021-07-23historical
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2021-07-23historical
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2021-04-21soldstatus $53,000
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2020-08-08historical
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2019-12-23historical
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2019-09-21price $55,900
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2019-09-21price $55,900
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2019-08-04price $49,900
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2019-08-04price $49,900
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2019-05-10status Active
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2019-03-26historical
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2018-08-08$53,900 Active
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2018-08-08$55,900
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2018-08-08$55,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,705 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,705 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,524
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,153
- − Property taxes
- −$1,705
- − Insurance
- −$460
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,242
- − Management
- −$1,242
- − Depreciation
- −$2,676
- Taxable income
- $3,046
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$731
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,579/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2619620
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,344
- Composite
- 17.99/100
- National rank
- #8986
- State rank
- #458 of 540 in MI
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #197
- US rank
- #4970
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MI
- County
- Jackson County · 85,581 people
- City population
- 85,581
- Metro
- Jackson, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,474
- Household income
- $56,201
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1383.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 156,365 people
- By 2030
- 153,123 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 144,981 · -7.3%
- By 2050
- 135,671 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 113,833 · -27.2%
- By 2100
- 86,592 · -44.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.6% · R 59.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.09%
- Current HPI
- 211.5474
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.54%
- Metro
- Jackson, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-77.8% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-09 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-09 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $92,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $92,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-10 Price Changed $96,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-10 Price Changed $96,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-15 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-15 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-21 Sold (MLS) $82,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-21 Sold (MLS) $82,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-10-21 Sold (MLS) $82,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-09-22 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-09-22 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-09-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-31 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-31 Listed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-08-31 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2021-07-23 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-07-23 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-12-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-09-21 Price Changed $55,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-09-21 Price Changed $55,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-08-04 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-08-04 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-05-10 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2019-03-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-08-08 Listed $55,900 REALCOMP
- 2018-08-08 Listed $55,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-08-08 Listed $55,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-08-08 Listed $53,900 REALCOMP
- 2009-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $415,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,705 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…