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1033 1st St
B- Composite 67.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.1/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$92,000

1033 1st St · Jackson, MI 49203
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,785 sqft · SingleFamily · 186 Days on market
Built 1880 5,663 sqft lot $52/sqft · at area comps Est $89k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1880

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 5.4% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #458 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $80,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
10.98%
Cash-on-cash
16.73%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$89,199
List price
$92,000
Delta
3.14%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1011 S Grinnell St 0.50mi 2/2.0 1,740 (-2%) 5mo $210,000 $121 68
1102 S West Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,780 (-0%) 9mo $190,000 $107 63
739 Beverly Park Pl 0.65mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,780 (-0%) 2mo $192,500 $108 60
749 W High St 0.49mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,841 (+3%) 11mo $185,000 $100 56
722 W Morrell St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,615 (-10%) 7mo $182,500 $113 54
1011 S West Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,684 (-6%) 14mo $159,900 $95 51
1215 Martin Luther King Jr Dr 0.61mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,726 (-3%) 10mo $65,000 $38 50
1207 W Morrell St 0.75mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,954 (+10%) 6mo $125,000 $64 39
1009 S Webster St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,544 (-14%) 5mo $163,000 $106 38
146 W Mansion St 0.75mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,608 (-10%) 8mo $146,000 $91 37
600 S West Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,554 (-13%) 14mo $159,900 $103 31
1111 Elmwood Ave 0.68mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,519 (-15%) 8mo $219,900 $145 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$14,182
Equity at exit
$13,717
10-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
3.71×
Total profit
$69,805
Equity at exit
$7,954

Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49203

Home prices YoY
-31.7%
Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,294 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$482
Tax from tax record
$142 /mo · $1,705/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$359

Break-even live

Break-even rent $839
Max offer price $92,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,000
Closing costs
$2,760
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1700 S W Ave Jackson, MI 2.0 2.0 1600 $1,350 $0.84 43d 1 0.75mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $92,000 Active 186 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $92,000 Active 185 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $92,000 Active 184 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $92,000 Active 183 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $92,000 Active 182 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $92,000 Active 180 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $92,000 Active 179 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $92,000 Active 177 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $92,000 Active 176 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $92,000 Active 175 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $92,000 Active 174 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $92,000 Active 170 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $92,000 Active 169 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $92,000 Active 168 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $92,000 Active 167 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $92,000 Active 166 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    status Active 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2026-05-14
    status Active 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2026-05-09
    historical Active Under Contract 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!

  20. 2026-05-09
    historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!

  21. 2026-05-04
    price $92,000 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!

  22. 2026-05-04
    price $92,000 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!

  23. 2026-01-10
    price $96,000 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!

  24. 2026-01-10
    price $96,000 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!

  25. 2025-12-15
    listed $100,000 Active 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!

  26. 2025-12-15
    listed $100,000 Active 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    What a great addition to your portfolio! Professionally Managed and city certified, this one is ready to go. Schedule your showing today!

  27. 2022-10-27
    soldstatus $82,000
  28. 2022-10-21
    soldstatus $82,000 Sold
  29. 2022-10-21
    soldstatus $82,000 Sold
  30. 2022-10-21
    soldstatus $82,000 Closed
  31. 2022-09-22
    status Pending
  32. 2022-09-22
    status Pending
  33. 2022-09-20
    historical
  34. 2022-08-31
    listed $89,900 Active
  35. 2022-08-31
    listed $89,900 Active
  36. 2022-08-31
    listed $89,900
  37. 2021-07-23
    historical
  38. 2021-07-23
    historical
  39. 2021-04-21
    soldstatus $53,000
  40. 2020-08-08
    historical
  41. 2019-12-23
    historical
  42. 2019-09-21
    price $55,900
  43. 2019-09-21
    price $55,900
  44. 2019-08-04
    price $49,900
  45. 2019-08-04
    price $49,900
  46. 2019-05-10
    status Active
  47. 2019-03-26
    historical
  48. 2018-08-08
    listed $53,900 Active
  49. 2018-08-08
    listed $55,900
  50. 2018-08-08
    listed $55,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,705 · $142/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,705 · $142/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,524
− Mortgage interest
−$5,153
− Property taxes
−$1,705
− Insurance
−$460
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,242
− Management
−$1,242
− Depreciation
−$2,676
Taxable income
$3,046
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$731
After-tax cash flow
$3,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public Schools
NCES district ID
2619620
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$38,344
Composite
17.99/100
National rank
#8986
State rank
#458 of 540 in MI

Livability — Jackson

Score
74/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#4970

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MI
County
Jackson County · 85,581 people
City population
85,581
Metro
Jackson, MI
Population (ZIP)
36,474
Household income
$56,201
Rent vs Own
33.1% rent · 66.9% own
Severe rent burden
1383.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
156,365 people
By 2030
153,123 · -2.1%
By 2040
144,981 · -7.3%
By 2050
135,671 · -13.2%
By 2075
113,833 · -27.2%
By 2100
86,592 · -44.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.6% · R 59.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.09%
Current HPI
211.5474
Rent YoY
▲ 7.54%
Metro
Jackson, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-77.8% since first listed
36 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-14 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-09 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $92,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $92,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-10 Price Changed $96,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-10 Price Changed $96,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
  • 2022-10-21 Sold (MLS) $82,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-10-21 Sold (MLS) $82,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-10-21 Sold (MLS) $82,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-09-22 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-09-22 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-09-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-08-31 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-08-31 Listed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-08-31 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-07-23 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-07-23 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-12-23 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-09-21 Price Changed $55,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-09-21 Price Changed $55,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-08-04 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-08-04 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-05-10 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2019-03-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-08-08 Listed $55,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-08-08 Listed $55,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-08-08 Listed $55,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-08-08 Listed $53,900 REALCOMP
  • 2009-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $415,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,705 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…