15768 SE Powell Blvd #22 · Portland, OR
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 23 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is what you've been waiting for. Amazing artistic design & finishes all with function in mind. You'll love the shimmering Quartz countertops and the expansive island/bar. Soft close cabinets and an abundance of them for all your storage needs. The primary bedroom features an en-suite with tile shower, Rain shower head & body spray. And for a little fun, the lighting is over the top with all new incandescent, LED and chandeliers! And on top of it all, we have a garage!
Key facts
- Commuter routes
- Open-concept layout
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unit dimensions approximately 43 ft by 28 ft; Main level living area approximately 1,232 (unit measures provided); Model name unknown
- HOA & community: Located in Parkway Estate mobile home park; Park is not a designated senior community; Lot rent listed (monthly)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; On-street parking available (total 2 parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric power
- Home design: Manufactured home in park (Residential); Single-level living; No notable view; Entry/main level living
- Construction: Built in 1993; Composition roof; Skirting foundation; Manufactured by REDMAN
- Exterior features: Covered deck and deck; Tool shed; Yard; Level lot; Paved road access; T-111 siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Island; Quartz countertops; Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Microwave; Free-standing refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Second bedroom on main level; Third bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump cooling; Electric fuel
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Granite surfaces; Laminate flooring; Vaulted ceilings; Double pane windows with vinyl frames; Crawl space basement/skirting; Accessible design with minimal steps and one-level living
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry area; Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $616 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Centennial SD 28J (suburban): math 31% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #125 of 183 in OR (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Powell Butte Elementary School (385 students, 70% FRL); Centennial Middle School (876 students, 68% FRL); Centennial High School (1,756 students, 65% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.13%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $92,400
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15768 SE Powell Blvd #45 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (0%) | 14mo | $93,000 | $75 | 86 |
| 16000 SE Powell Blvd #12 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-6%) | 11mo | $124,000 | $108 | 75 |
| 16000 SE Powell Blvd #16 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+14%) | 8mo | $69,985 | $50 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $16,584
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $55,389
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Portland
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+39
ZIP-level market 97236
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,744 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $659/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$366
- Net cashflow
- $616
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $686 | -5% $651 | +0% $616 | +5% $580 | +10% $545 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $478 | -5% $547 | +0% $616 | +5% $685 | +10% $753 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $679 | -0.5pp $647 | base $616 | +0.5pp $583 | +1.0pp $550 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3332 SE 157th Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,495 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 15139 SE Powell Blvd Unit 08 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 780 | $1,450 | $1.86 | 5d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 15139 SE Powell Blvd Unit 23 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 780 | $1,500 | $1.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 15075 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $2,295 | $1.53 | 5d | 3 | 0.37mi |
| 15075 SE Powell Blvd Apt 4 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $2,395 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 15007 SE Powell Blvd Apt 11 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,475 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 15007 SE Powell Blvd Unit 01 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,450 | $1.80 | 8d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 14919 SE Powell Blvd Unit 14919 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 823 | $1,595 | $1.94 | 8d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3318 SE 148th Ave Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,750 | $1.84 | 18d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 16804 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,625 | $1.48 | 11d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 16804 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,675 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 16804 SE Powell Blvd Unit 12-102 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,725 | $1.61 | 22d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 16804 SE Powell Blvd Unit 18-201 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,675 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 16804 SE Powell Blvd Unit 08-202 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,395 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2675 SE 162nd Ave Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 689 | $1,495 | $2.17 | 13d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 16824 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,720 | $1.61 | 5d | 5 | 0.61mi |
| 16811 SE Francis St Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $2,600 | $1.75 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 15812 SE Division St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,095 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 16916 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,695 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 15790 SE Division St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,095 | $1.31 | 11d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 15774 SE Division St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,095 | $1.31 | 11d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 14992 SE Division St Unit 2 Bedroom Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,300 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 14992 SE Division St Unit 3 Bedroom Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,350 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 14992 SE Division St Portland, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,350 | $1.86 | 17d | 3 | 0.67mi |
| 3414 SE 143rd Ave Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 8d | 2 | 0.69mi |
| 15301-15353 SE Division St Unit 15301 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2641 SE 168th Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1144 | $2,700 | $2.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2645 SE 145th Ave Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,250 | $1.60 | 8d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2609 SE 145th Ave Unit C-19 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1117 | $1,499 | $1.34 | 18d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2609 SE 145th Ave Unit A-09 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,299 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2609 SE 145th Ave Unit H-77 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1117 | $1,504 | $1.35 | 18d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2609 SE 145th Ave Unit E-39 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,299 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 13938 SE Powell Blvd Unit 2 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,535 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 17310 SE Naegeli Dr Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,562 | $1.58 | 2d | 5 | 0.88mi |
| 17442 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,075 | $1.47 | 11d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2541-2545 SE 170th Ave Unit 2543 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 832 | $1,695 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 17450 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,075 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 17468 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,075 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 13746 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $1,325 | $1.74 | 4d | 2 | 0.97mi |
| 2621 SE 174th Ave Unit A Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 836 | $1,650 | $1.97 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-21$124,900 Active
-
2022-05-16soldstatus $179,000 Sold 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
This is what you've been waiting for. Amazing artistic design & finishes all with function in mind. You'll love the shimmering Quartz countertops and the expansive island/bar. Soft close cabinets and an abundance of them for all your storage needs. The primary bedroom features an en-suite with tile shower, Rain shower head & body spray. And for a little fun, the lighting is over the top with all new incandescent, LED and chandeliers! And on top of it all, we have a garage!
-
2022-04-15status Pending 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
This is what you've been waiting for. Amazing artistic design & finishes all with function in mind. You'll love the shimmering Quartz countertops and the expansive island/bar. Soft close cabinets and an abundance of them for all your storage needs. The primary bedroom features an en-suite with tile shower, Rain shower head & body spray. And for a little fun, the lighting is over the top with all new incandescent, LED and chandeliers! And on top of it all, we have a garage!
-
2022-04-12historical Active with Bumpable Contingency 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
This is what you've been waiting for. Amazing artistic design & finishes all with function in mind. You'll love the shimmering Quartz countertops and the expansive island/bar. Soft close cabinets and an abundance of them for all your storage needs. The primary bedroom features an en-suite with tile shower, Rain shower head & body spray. And for a little fun, the lighting is over the top with all new incandescent, LED and chandeliers! And on top of it all, we have a garage!
-
2022-03-06$179,000 Active 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
This is what you've been waiting for. Amazing artistic design & finishes all with function in mind. You'll love the shimmering Quartz countertops and the expansive island/bar. Soft close cabinets and an abundance of them for all your storage needs. The primary bedroom features an en-suite with tile shower, Rain shower head & body spray. And for a little fun, the lighting is over the top with all new incandescent, LED and chandeliers! And on top of it all, we have a garage!
-
1998-04-23soldstatus $47,500 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
IMMEDIATE OCCUPANCY! 3 BDRM 2 BTH NEWER MANUFACTURED HOME IN CONVEN- IENT LOCATION. LOTS OF EXTRAS - ENERGY PACKAGE, CUSTOM DECKS, LARGE MASTER BEDRM WITH LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET. OUTSTANDING!!
-
1997-12-15$49,900 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
IMMEDIATE OCCUPANCY! 3 BDRM 2 BTH NEWER MANUFACTURED HOME IN CONVEN- IENT LOCATION. LOTS OF EXTRAS - ENERGY PACKAGE, CUSTOM DECKS, LARGE MASTER BEDRM WITH LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET. OUTSTANDING!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $659 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,212 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$553/yr (+$46/mo · 83.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 27 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,926
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$659
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,674
- − Management
- −$1,674
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $5,665
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,360
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,029/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Centennial SD 28J
- NCES district ID
- 4102800
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,619
- Composite
- 34.5/100
- National rank
- #10133
- State rank
- #125 of 183 in OR
Livability — Portland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #3256
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portland, OR
- County
- Multnomah County · 786,692 people
- City population
- 774,334
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,558
- Household income
- $75,090
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1744.0
Population outlook (Multnomah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 930,825 people
- By 2030
- 996,904 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 1,121,379 · +20.5%
- By 2050
- 1,242,124 · +33.4%
- By 2075
- 1,464,431 · +57.3%
- By 2100
- 1,576,181 · +69.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 21% Asian 13% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 16% Vietnamese 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Multnomah
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+62.1) · D 79.3% · R 17.2% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: 56.1pp · 2024: 62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+62.1 2020: D+61.3 2016: D+58.3 2012: D+54.9 2008: D+56.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -334.44%
- Current HPI
- 289.931
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.64%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+150.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $124,900 RMLS
- 2022-05-16 Sold (MLS) $179,000 RMLS
- 2022-04-15 Pending — RMLS
- 2022-04-12 Contingent — RMLS
- 2022-03-06 Listed $179,000 RMLS
- 1998-04-23 Sold (MLS) $47,500 RMLS
- 1997-12-15 Listed $49,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $659 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…