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15571 State Highway 23
D Composite 43.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0

$179,000

15571 State Highway 23 · Davenport Center, NY 13751
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,762 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1900 0.25 ac lot $102/sqft · 6% below area Est $216k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the charm of village living at 15571 State Highway 23, a traditional two-story residence that perfectly balances historic character with modern potential. Built in 1900 and nestled in the heart of Davenport, New York, this three-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom home offers a unique opportunity to plant roots in the scenic Delaware County countryside. Whether you are looking for a primary residence or a promising investment, this property serves as a solid foundation for your future memories. Step inside to find a thoughtful layout designed for everyday comfort. The main floor features an inviting eat-in kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances and elegant quartz counters, perfect for casual morning coffee or preparing farm-to-table feasts. A formal dining room sets the stage for holiday gatherings, while the laundry is conveniently located on the first floor to simplify your routine. With a dedicated office and an enclosed porch, you have plenty of versatile space to work from home or unwind with a good book. Upstairs, you will find three comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, providing a private retreat for the whole family. The exterior of this single-family home is great for a hobbyist or car enthusiast, the property includes a two-car detached garage with a double-wide driveway, offering ample room for vehicles, tools, and creative projects. Situated on a quarter-acre lot, the yard provides just enough space for outdoor enjoyment without overwhelming maintenance. Location is everything, and this Davenport gem delivers. You are just a short walk from the local school and a quick ten-minute drive to the vibrant shops, restaurants, and amenities of Oneonta. Enjoy the tranquility of a quiet neighborhood while staying connected to the heart of the community. Offered as-is and ready for your personal touch, this home is a rare find in today's market. Don't miss your chance to secure a slice of Davenport charm where the history is rich and the living is easy. Your next chapter starts here!

Key facts

  • Quartz counters
  • Formal dining room
  • Historic character

Tags

HISTORIC CHARACTERSCENIC DELAWARE COUNTYEAT-IN KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESQUARTZ COUNTERSFORMAL DINING ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-202 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (19.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (28.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,049 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Charlotte Valley Central School District (rural): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #640 of 755 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $127,835 (28.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.94%
Cash-on-cash
-4.83%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$216,343
List price
$179,000
Delta
-17.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$8,726
Equity at exit
$80,486
10-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$49,093
Equity at exit
$124,039

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13751

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,278 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$198 /mo · $2,379/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$-202

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,534
Max offer price $143,385
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-100 -5% $-151 +0% $-202 +5% $-252 +10% $-303
Rent -10% $-303 -5% $-252 +0% $-202 +5% $-151 +10% $-101
Rate -1.0pp $-111 -0.5pp $-156 base $-202 +0.5pp $-248 +1.0pp $-295

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-04-15
    listed $179,000 Active 2026-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2026 chars)

    Discover the charm of village living at 15571 State Highway 23, a traditional two-story residence that perfectly balances historic character with modern potential. Built in 1900 and nestled in the heart of Davenport, New York, this three-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom home offers a unique opportunity to plant roots in the scenic Delaware County countryside. Whether you are looking for a primary residence or a promising investment, this property serves as a solid foundation for your future memories. Step inside to find a thoughtful layout designed for everyday comfort. The main floor features an inviting eat-in kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances and elegant quartz counters, perfect for casual morning coffee or preparing farm-to-table feasts. A formal dining room sets the stage for holiday gatherings, while the laundry is conveniently located on the first floor to simplify your routine. With a dedicated office and an enclosed porch, you have plenty of versatile space to work from home or unwind with a good book. Upstairs, you will find three comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, providing a private retreat for the whole family. The exterior of this single-family home is great for a hobbyist or car enthusiast, the property includes a two-car detached garage with a double-wide driveway, offering ample room for vehicles, tools, and creative projects. Situated on a quarter-acre lot, the yard provides just enough space for outdoor enjoyment without overwhelming maintenance. Location is everything, and this Davenport gem delivers. You are just a short walk from the local school and a quick ten-minute drive to the vibrant shops, restaurants, and amenities of Oneonta. Enjoy the tranquility of a quiet neighborhood while staying connected to the heart of the community. Offered as-is and ready for your personal touch, this home is a rare find in today's market. Don't miss your chance to secure a slice of Davenport charm where the history is rich and the living is easy. Your next chapter starts here!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,379 · $198/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,702 · $225/mo
Expected delta
+$323/yr (+$27/mo · 13.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,340
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$2,379
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,227
− Management
−$1,227
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable loss
−$5,622
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,349
After-tax cash flow
$-1,070/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte Valley Central School District
NCES district ID
3607050
Math proficiency
35% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$47,579
Composite
36.67/100
National rank
#9236
State rank
#640 of 755 in NY

Livability — Davenport Center

Score
58/100
State rank
#1049
US rank
#20806

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
334

Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,668 people
By 2030
40,337 · -5.5%
By 2040
35,514 · -16.8%
By 2050
31,265 · -26.7%
By 2075
24,455 · -42.7%
By 2100
19,529 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2%
Languages at home
88% English-only · German/W. Germanic 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Delaware

2024 margin
R (+19.8) · D 40.1% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+5.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $179,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,379 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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