15571 State Highway 23 · Davenport Center, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the charm of village living at 15571 State Highway 23, a traditional two-story residence that perfectly balances historic character with modern potential. Built in 1900 and nestled in the heart of Davenport, New York, this three-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom home offers a unique opportunity to plant roots in the scenic Delaware County countryside. Whether you are looking for a primary residence or a promising investment, this property serves as a solid foundation for your future memories. Step inside to find a thoughtful layout designed for everyday comfort. The main floor features an inviting eat-in kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances and elegant quartz counters, perfect for casual morning coffee or preparing farm-to-table feasts. A formal dining room sets the stage for holiday gatherings, while the laundry is conveniently located on the first floor to simplify your routine. With a dedicated office and an enclosed porch, you have plenty of versatile space to work from home or unwind with a good book. Upstairs, you will find three comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, providing a private retreat for the whole family. The exterior of this single-family home is great for a hobbyist or car enthusiast, the property includes a two-car detached garage with a double-wide driveway, offering ample room for vehicles, tools, and creative projects. Situated on a quarter-acre lot, the yard provides just enough space for outdoor enjoyment without overwhelming maintenance. Location is everything, and this Davenport gem delivers. You are just a short walk from the local school and a quick ten-minute drive to the vibrant shops, restaurants, and amenities of Oneonta. Enjoy the tranquility of a quiet neighborhood while staying connected to the heart of the community. Offered as-is and ready for your personal touch, this home is a rare find in today's market. Don't miss your chance to secure a slice of Davenport charm where the history is rich and the living is easy. Your next chapter starts here!
Key facts
- Quartz counters
- Formal dining room
- Historic character
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-202 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (19.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (28.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,049 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Charlotte Valley Central School District (rural): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #640 of 755 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.83%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $216,343
- List price
- $179,000
- Delta
- -17.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $8,726
- Equity at exit
- $80,486
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $49,093
- Equity at exit
- $124,039
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13751
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,278 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,379/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $-202
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-100 | -5% $-151 | +0% $-202 | +5% $-252 | +10% $-303 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-303 | -5% $-252 | +0% $-202 | +5% $-151 | +10% $-101 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-111 | -0.5pp $-156 | base $-202 | +0.5pp $-248 | +1.0pp $-295 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-15$179,000 Active 2026-char remark
Show marketing remark (2026 chars)
Discover the charm of village living at 15571 State Highway 23, a traditional two-story residence that perfectly balances historic character with modern potential. Built in 1900 and nestled in the heart of Davenport, New York, this three-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom home offers a unique opportunity to plant roots in the scenic Delaware County countryside. Whether you are looking for a primary residence or a promising investment, this property serves as a solid foundation for your future memories. Step inside to find a thoughtful layout designed for everyday comfort. The main floor features an inviting eat-in kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances and elegant quartz counters, perfect for casual morning coffee or preparing farm-to-table feasts. A formal dining room sets the stage for holiday gatherings, while the laundry is conveniently located on the first floor to simplify your routine. With a dedicated office and an enclosed porch, you have plenty of versatile space to work from home or unwind with a good book. Upstairs, you will find three comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, providing a private retreat for the whole family. The exterior of this single-family home is great for a hobbyist or car enthusiast, the property includes a two-car detached garage with a double-wide driveway, offering ample room for vehicles, tools, and creative projects. Situated on a quarter-acre lot, the yard provides just enough space for outdoor enjoyment without overwhelming maintenance. Location is everything, and this Davenport gem delivers. You are just a short walk from the local school and a quick ten-minute drive to the vibrant shops, restaurants, and amenities of Oneonta. Enjoy the tranquility of a quiet neighborhood while staying connected to the heart of the community. Offered as-is and ready for your personal touch, this home is a rare find in today's market. Don't miss your chance to secure a slice of Davenport charm where the history is rich and the living is easy. Your next chapter starts here!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,379 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,702 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- +$323/yr (+$27/mo · 13.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,340
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$2,379
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,227
- − Management
- −$1,227
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$5,622
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,349
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,070/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte Valley Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607050
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,579
- Composite
- 36.67/100
- National rank
- #9236
- State rank
- #640 of 755 in NY
Livability — Davenport Center
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1049
- US rank
- #20806
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 334
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,668 people
- By 2030
- 40,337 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 35,514 · -16.8%
- By 2050
- 31,265 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 24,455 · -42.7%
- By 2100
- 19,529 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2%
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · German/W. Germanic 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 40.1% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+5.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $179,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,379 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…