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3959 N 40th St
B- Composite 67.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$115,000

3959 N 40th St · Omaha, NE 68111
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 870 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1947 5,360 sqft lot Est $139k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well maintained home currently used as a rental with long term tenants. Large eat in kitchen with newer cabinets. Partially finished walk out basement. Roof only 3 years old. Call for details.

Key facts

  • 5,360 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1947

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage; One covered parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residential home; Not new (built in 1947); Approximately 870 sq ft living area; Above-grade finished area and a partially finished below-grade area
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Composition roof; Block foundation; Built in 1947
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Corner city lot; Lot up to 1/4 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Main-floor primary bedroom with wall-to-wall carpeting (approx. 122.4 sq ft); Additional main-floor bedroom with wall-to-wall carpeting (approx. 106.0 sq ft)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Luxury vinyl plank in living room
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No fireplaces; Basement with walk-out access; Finished basement area (portion of basement finished)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups available (utilities include water, sewer, electricity, natural gas)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Skinner Magnet Center (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #500 of 502 statewide, top 100%, 435 students, 0% FRL); North High School (math 21% / reading 25%, grade F, #247 of 261 statewide, top 95%, 1,796 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $115k implies a 475% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.63%
Cash-on-cash
4.78%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3959 N 40th St 0.00mi 2/1.0 870 (0%) 0mo $108,000 $124 100
3926 N 39th St 0.08mi 2/1.0 912 (+5%) 3mo $78,500 $86 86
3940 N 38 St 0.11mi 2/1.0 780 (-10%) 1mo $123,000 $158 77
3708 N 36th Ave 0.32mi 2/1.0 912 (+5%) 1mo $130,000 $143 76
3936 N 40th St 0.05mi 2/1.0 768 (-12%) 2mo $110,000 $143 76
4051 Pratt St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 896 (+3%) 2mo $151,000 $169 76
4204 Bedford Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 874 (+0%) 2mo $140,000 $160 74
3715 N 44th Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 810 (-7%) 3mo $130,000 $160 66
4712 Fontenelle Blvd 0.54mi 2/1.0 822 (-6%) 4mo $109,500 $133 62
4602 N 47th St 0.68mi 2/1.0 750 (-14%) 1mo $168,900 $225 45
4609 Fowler Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 979 (+12%) 3mo $163,000 $166 40
4540 Fowler Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 759 (-13%) 4mo $162,000 $213 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
3.21×
Total profit
$71,076
Equity at exit
$103,601
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
7.32×
Total profit
$203,428
Equity at exit
$223,420

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68111

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
139
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,157 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$135 /mo · $1,617/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$128

Break-even live

Break-even rent $995
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $193 -5% $161 +0% $128 +5% $96 +10% $63
Rent -10% $37 -5% $83 +0% $128 +5% $174 +10% $220
Rate -1.0pp $186 -0.5pp $158 base $128 +0.5pp $99 +1.0pp $68

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3356 N 41st St Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 720 $1,295 $1.80 24d 1 0.42mi
3323 N 40th St Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,575 $1.57 3d 1 0.46mi
3674 Bedford Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 864 $1,275 $1.48 24d 1 0.53mi
3425 N 45th St Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 872 $1,500 $1.72 15d 1 0.59mi
3212 N 39th St Omaha, NE 1.0 1.0 1025 $785 $0.77 24d 1 0.59mi
4112 N 48th St Unit 3 Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 24d 1 0.72mi
4112 N 48th St Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 825 $899 $1.09 11d 2 0.72mi
4112 N 48th St Unit 2 Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 800 $899 $1.12 24d 1 0.72mi
4822 Sahler St Unit 48268 Omaha, NE 1.0 1.0 600 $700 $1.17 44d 1 0.76mi
4844 Taylor St Apt 4 Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 750 $925 $1.23 24d 1 0.82mi
4844 Taylor St Apt 1 Omaha, NE 1.0 1.0 700 $795 $1.14 3d 1 0.82mi
4852 Boyd St Omaha, NE 2.0 2.0 912 $1,500 $1.64 44d 1 0.83mi
4918 Ames Ave Unit 17 Omaha, NE 2.0 1.5 1074 $850 $0.79 24d 1 0.89mi
4918 Ames Ave Apt 13 Omaha, NE 1.0 1.0 974 $750 $0.77 44d 1 0.89mi
3502 Lake St Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 974 $995 $1.02 3d 1 1.04mi
3941 Himebaugh Ave Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 720 $1,350 $1.88 24d 1 1.04mi
4874 Maple St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1098 $1,545 $1.41 44d 1 1.10mi
2305 John a Creighton Blvd Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 672 $1,200 $1.79 22d 1 1.12mi
4460 Redman Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 44d 1 1.14mi
4470 Redman Ave Unit 4470A Omaha, NE 2.0 1.5 980 $1,050 $1.07 11d 1 1.15mi
5119 Pratt St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,900 $1.88 44d 1 1.16mi
3911 N 52nd St Apt 5 Omaha, NE 1.0 1.0 850 $799 $0.94 15d 1 1.19mi
4314 N 52nd St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 780 $945 $1.21 15d 1 1.23mi
1825 NW Radial Hwy Omaha, NE 1.0 1.0 650 $775 $1.19 44d 1 1.42mi
4414 Curtis Ave Unit CRAWFORD 4414/B Omaha, NE 1.0 1.0 765 $745 $0.97 24d 1 1.43mi
4623 N 56th St Unit 15 Omaha, NE 1.0 1.0 550 $735 $1.34 3d 1 1.46mi
5922 N 28th Ave Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 764 $950 $1.24 3d 1 1.47mi
4625 N 56th St Apt 18 Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 700 $875 $1.25 44d 1 1.48mi
4625 N 56th St Unit 21 Omaha, NE 1.0 1.0 550 $750 $1.36 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $115,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 New 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 New 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 New 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,617 · $135/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,990 · $166/mo
Expected delta
+$372/yr (+$31/mo · 23.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,885
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,617
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,111
− Management
−$1,111
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$316
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$76
After-tax cash flow
$1,616/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Omaha Public Schools
NCES district ID
3174820
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,039
Composite
20.83/100
National rank
#8502
State rank
#110 of 111 in NE

Livability — Omaha

Score
84/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#663

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Omaha, NE
County
Douglas County · 538,646 people
City population
552,986
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
Population (ZIP)
24,210
Household income
$42,185
Rent vs Own
60.3% rent · 39.7% own
Severe rent burden
1913.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
625,245 people
By 2030
661,613 · +5.8%
By 2040
732,395 · +17.1%
By 2050
801,988 · +28.3%
By 2075
968,637 · +54.9%
By 2100
1,101,871 · +76.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% Hispanic / Latino 21% White 17% Two or more races 15% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Ukrainian 3% Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.82%
Current HPI
358.7174
Rent YoY
▲ 3.22%
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+284.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $115,000 GPRMLS
  • 2015-12-04 Sold (MLS) $20,000 GPRMLS
  • 2015-11-02 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2015-10-26 Listed $25,000 GPRMLS
  • 2015-09-16 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2015-06-09 Listed $28,900 GPRMLS
  • 2015-06-09 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2015-03-23 Listed $28,900 GPRMLS
  • 2015-03-02 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2014-10-21 Listed $28,900 GPRMLS
  • 2013-11-22 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2013-08-07 Listed $29,900 GPRMLS

Property tax history

+9.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,617 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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