114 Nandina Dr · Pageland, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 49.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
$279,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Drive a little, save a lot! Welcome to Laney Farms, a new home community offering convenient access to Monroe and the greater Charlotte area while maintaining the charm of Pageland living. Located near Highway 601, residents enjoy easy travel to nearby towns, shopping, and dining, along with planned community amenities designed to enhance everyday life. The Marigold floorplan features a well-designed two-story layout that balances open living spaces with private retreats. The main level offers an open-concept kitchen, dining, and great room that encourages connection and functionality and a flex-room right off the great room. Upstairs, a flexible loft space provides options for a home offic
Key facts
- Flex-room
- New home community
- Open-concept kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property zoned R; Lot approx. 0.11 acres; Road surface and access details provided
- HOA & community: HOA mandatory with Kuester association; Monthly HOA fee of $70
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway
- Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s)
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built construction; Two levels; New construction (proposed completion: 2026-09-18); Marigold model by Ryan Homes
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Concrete and paved roads; Private maintained road; No waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the upper level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (upper level); 1 half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Kitchen island; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); 12 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-386 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (19.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (28.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $200k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#352 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Chesterfield 01 (rural): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 80 in SC (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Pageland Elementary (math 21% / reading 19%, grade F, #492 of 597 statewide, top 83%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Central High (math 27% / reading 72%, grade D, #151 of 196 statewide, top 79%, 644 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 63% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 145 units permitted in Chesterfield County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Chesterfield County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 49% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.90%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $127,971
- Equity at exit
- $252,237
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.05×
- Total profit
- $396,269
- Equity at exit
- $543,959
Cash invested: $78,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29728
- Home prices YoY
- 19.9%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,999 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$350 /mo · $4,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$30
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $-386
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-192 | -5% $-289 | +0% $-386 | +5% $-482 | +10% $-579 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-544 | -5% $-465 | +0% $-386 | +5% $-307 | +10% $-228 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-245 | -0.5pp $-315 | base $-386 | +0.5pp $-458 | +1.0pp $-532 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,998
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Maggys Way Pageland, SC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1517 | $1,999 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $30 · $360/yr
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $279,990 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,990 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,990 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,990 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,990 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,990 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $279,990 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $279,990 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $279,990 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $279,990 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $279,990 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $279,990 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $279,990 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $279,990 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-27$289,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 49% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$4,200
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,919
- − Management
- −$1,919
- − HOA
- −$360
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$9,639
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,313
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,316/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chesterfield 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501560
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,946
- Composite
- 25.04/100
- National rank
- #7547
- State rank
- #55 of 80 in SC
Livability — Pageland
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #352
- US rank
- #24948
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 9,470
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,470
Population outlook (Chesterfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,632 people
- By 2030
- 43,331 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 40,218 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 36,847 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 29,636 · -33.6%
- By 2100
- 23,536 · -47.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 38% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Chesterfield
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.1) · D 35.5% · R 63.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.1pp toward R · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -28.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.1 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+14.3 2012: R+3.3 2008: R+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 49.76%
- Current HPI
- 299.8227
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $289,990 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…