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114 Nandina Dr
D- Composite 38.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0

$279,990

114 Nandina Dr · Pageland, SC 29728
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,114 sqft · SingleFamily · 55 Days on market
Built 2026 4,791 sqft lot $30/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Drive a little, save a lot! Welcome to Laney Farms, a new home community offering convenient access to Monroe and the greater Charlotte area while maintaining the charm of Pageland living. Located near Highway 601, residents enjoy easy travel to nearby towns, shopping, and dining, along with planned community amenities designed to enhance everyday life. The Marigold floorplan features a well-designed two-story layout that balances open living spaces with private retreats. The main level offers an open-concept kitchen, dining, and great room that encourages connection and functionality and a flex-room right off the great room. Upstairs, a flexible loft space provides options for a home offic

Key facts

  • Flex-room
  • New home community
  • Open-concept kitchen

Tags

NEW HOME COMMUNITYCONVENIENT ACCESSPLANNED COMMUNITY AMENITIESOPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENFLEX-ROOMFLEXIBLE LOFT SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property zoned R; Lot approx. 0.11 acres; Road surface and access details provided
  • HOA & community: HOA mandatory with Kuester association; Monthly HOA fee of $70

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s)
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built construction; Two levels; New construction (proposed completion: 2026-09-18); Marigold model by Ryan Homes
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Concrete and paved roads; Private maintained road; No waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the upper level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (upper level); 1 half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Kitchen island; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); 12 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-386 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (19.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (28.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#352 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Chesterfield 01 (rural): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 80 in SC (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Pageland Elementary (math 21% / reading 19%, grade F, #492 of 597 statewide, top 83%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Central High (math 27% / reading 72%, grade D, #151 of 196 statewide, top 79%, 644 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 63% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 145 units permitted in Chesterfield County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chesterfield County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 49% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,900 (28.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.64%
Cash-on-cash
-5.90%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$127,971
Equity at exit
$252,237
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
6.05×
Total profit
$396,269
Equity at exit
$543,959

Cash invested: $78,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29728

Home prices YoY
19.9%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,999 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax est. 1.5%
$350 /mo · $4,200/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$30
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$-386

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,487
Max offer price $224,173
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-192 -5% $-289 +0% $-386 +5% $-482 +10% $-579
Rent -10% $-544 -5% $-465 +0% $-386 +5% $-307 +10% $-228
Rate -1.0pp $-245 -0.5pp $-315 base $-386 +0.5pp $-458 +1.0pp $-532

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,998
Closing costs
$8,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
203 Maggys Way Pageland, SC 3.0 3.0 1517 $1,999 $1.32 23d 1 0.95mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$30 · $360/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $279,990 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $279,990 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $279,990 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $279,990 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $279,990 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $279,990 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $279,990 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $279,990 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $279,990 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $279,990 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,990 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $279,990 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,990 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,990 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    listed $289,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 49% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,988
− Mortgage interest
−$15,684
− Property taxes
−$4,200
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,919
− Management
−$1,919
− HOA
−$360
− Depreciation
−$8,145
Taxable loss
−$9,639
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,313
After-tax cash flow
$-2,316/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chesterfield 01
NCES district ID
4501560
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$33,946
Composite
25.04/100
National rank
#7547
State rank
#55 of 80 in SC

Livability — Pageland

Score
52/100
State rank
#352
US rank
#24948

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
9,470
Population (ZIP)
9,470

Population outlook (Chesterfield County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,632 people
By 2030
43,331 · -2.9%
By 2040
40,218 · -9.9%
By 2050
36,847 · -17.4%
By 2075
29,636 · -33.6%
By 2100
23,536 · -47.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 38% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Chesterfield

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.1) · D 35.5% · R 63.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-25.1pp toward R · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -28.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.1 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+14.3 2012: R+3.3 2008: R+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 49.76%
Current HPI
299.8227
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $289,990 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…