400 Third St · Lockport, LA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$78,200
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD OWNED PROPERTY CASE #221-535910 . SOLD AS-IS WITH NO REPAIRS PRIOR TO CLOSING NO EXCEPTION. Go to www.HUDHOMESTORE.gov for more details or to see other HUD Owned properties. $100 down payment for eligible owner occupants using FHA financing. 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home situated on a corner lot in Lockport. Fenced in back yard with storage shed.
Key facts
- Storage shed
- Fenced in back yard
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Barrilleaux subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Detached single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Built in 2026
- Exterior features: Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Central heating; Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $497 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $76k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#168 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lockport Lower Elementary School (460 students, 53% FRL); Lockport Middle School (math 39% / reading 56%, grade C-, #36 of 218 statewide, top 16%, 376 students, 48% FRL); Central Lafourche High School (math 28% / reading 50%, grade F, #86 of 265 statewide, top 33%, 1,360 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $541 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.64%
- DSCR
- 3.25
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,374
- List price
- $78,200
- Delta
- -42.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 422 Justin St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,240 (-8%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $137 | 62 |
| 605 8th St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,219 (-10%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $70 | 55 |
| 208 N Willow St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,277 (-6%) | 6mo | $212,000 | $166 | 54 |
| 616 Ethel St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+11%) | 10mo | $199,000 | $133 | 52 |
| 132 N Carol St | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,375 (+2%) | 9mo | $168,500 | $123 | 52 |
| 201 North Oak St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,210 (-11%) | 4mo | $79,900 | $66 | 42 |
| 621 Ethel St | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,454 (+7%) | 21mo | $172,500 | $119 | 42 |
| 218 North Oak St | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-15%) | 3mo | $157,500 | $137 | 35 |
| 241 North Oak St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,209 (-11%) | 15mo | $133,000 | $110 | 35 |
| 221 N Willow St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,504 (+11%) | 24mo | $150,000 | $100 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $19,287
- Equity at exit
- $11,660
- IRR
- 29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $58,718
- Equity at exit
- $6,761
Cash invested: $21,896 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70374
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,830 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$410
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $949/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $497
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $542 | -5% $520 | +0% $497 | +5% $475 | +10% $453 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $353 | -5% $425 | +0% $497 | +5% $570 | +10% $642 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $537 | -0.5pp $517 | base $497 | +0.5pp $477 | +1.0pp $457 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,550
- Closing costs
- $2,346
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 Church St Lockport, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,830 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-13status $78,200 Pending 48 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $78,200 Active 48 DOM
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
HUD OWNED PROPERTY CASE #221-535910 . SOLD AS-IS WITH NO REPAIRS PRIOR TO CLOSING NO EXCEPTION. Go to www.HUDHOMESTORE.gov for more details or to see other HUD Owned properties. $100 down payment for eligible owner occupants using FHA financing. 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home situated on a corner lot in Lockport. Fenced in back yard with storage shed.
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$85,000 Active 350-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
HUD OWNED PROPERTY CASE #221-535910 . SOLD AS-IS WITH NO REPAIRS PRIOR TO CLOSING NO EXCEPTION. Go to www.HUDHOMESTORE.gov for more details or to see other HUD Owned properties. $100 down payment for eligible owner occupants using FHA financing. 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home situated on a corner lot in Lockport. Fenced in back yard with storage shed.
-
2026-04-23$85,000 Active 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
HUD OWNED PROPERTY CASE #221-535910 . SOLD AS-IS WITH NO REPAIRS PRIOR TO CLOSING NO EXCEPTION. Go to www.HUDHOMESTORE.gov for more details or to see other HUD Owned properties. $100 down payment for eligible owner occupants using FHA financing. 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home situated on a corner lot in Lockport. Fenced in back yard with storage shed.
-
2015-08-21soldstatus
-
2015-08-21soldstatus $124,000
-
2015-04-08$129,000
-
2015-04-08$129,000
-
2013-01-25$88,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $949 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $949 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,380
- − Property taxes
- −$949
- − Insurance
- −$5,510
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,757
- − Management
- −$1,757
- − Depreciation
- −$2,275
- Taxable income
- $5,333
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,280
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,689/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafourche Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200900
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,703
- Composite
- 34.4/100
- National rank
- #5205
- State rank
- #22 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lockport
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #14113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lockport, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,506
Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,122 people
- By 2030
- 103,361 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 104,401 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 102,795 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 95,599 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 82,303 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 18%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.36%
- Current HPI
- 99.1459
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-11.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-10 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $78,200 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $78,200 GBRMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $85,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $85,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2015-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $124,000 Public Records
- 2015-08-21 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2015-04-08 Listed $129,000 GBRMLS
- 2015-04-08 Listed $129,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2013-01-25 Listed $88,200 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+28.2%/yrLatest (2024): $949 · -8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…