1300 Chestnut Dr · Oklahoma City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
***PRICE REDUCED*** CUTE HOME has new paint, carpet, gas stove; Remodeled bathroom; CLEAN! Large, fenced & shaded corner lot, several updates; CH&A new in '95.
Key facts
- 7,802 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Court approval affects sale; Vacant and unoccupied
- Financial info: Sold as-is; Not assumable
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; High-speed internet available; Public utilities
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; North-facing
- Construction: Frame and stone construction; Composition roof; Conventional foundation; Built (existing property)
- Exterior features: Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Living room; Dining room; Covered porch; No fireplace; In-law plan not present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fillmore Es (math 4% / reading 6%, grade F, #766 of 845 statewide, top 94%, 654 students, 0% FRL); Capitol Hill Hs (math 2% / reading 4%, grade F, #444 of 447 statewide, top 99%, 1,455 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 82% district-wide (82 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $95k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.26%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $112,598
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -15.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1416 Williams Dr | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 759 (-3%) | 7mo | $106,500 | $140 | 82 |
| 1420 Williams Dr | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 867 (+11%) | 2mo | $120,100 | $139 | 72 |
| 1300 SW 46th St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 707 (-10%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $156 | 68 |
| 1209 SW 39th St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (-0%) | 11mo | $118,000 | $151 | 64 |
| 2145 SW 51st St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 760 (-3%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $184 | 59 |
| 5700 S Blackwelder Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 797 (+2%) | 14mo | $125,000 | $157 | 59 |
| 920 SW 47th St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-5%) | 15mo | $69,500 | $93 | 58 |
| 1116 SW 41st St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 875 (+12%) | 2mo | $125,500 | $143 | 57 |
| 1313 SW 45 St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (+14%) | 8mo | $147,900 | $167 | 56 |
| 1553 SW 45 St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-8%) | 15mo | $130,000 | $181 | 55 |
| 817 SW 52nd St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 860 (+10%) | 11mo | $106,000 | $123 | 44 |
| 2129 SW 47th St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+10%) | 15mo | $115,000 | $133 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-4,217
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $5,653
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73119
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,018 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $736/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $205
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $259 | -5% $232 | +0% $205 | +5% $178 | +10% $152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $125 | -5% $165 | +0% $205 | +5% $246 | +10% $286 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $253 | -0.5pp $229 | base $205 | +0.5pp $181 | +1.0pp $156 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1338 South Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,150 | $1.60 | 17d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1004 SW 45th St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $950 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2116 SW 51st St Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 558 | $675 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 800 SW 52nd St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $995 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4330 S Barnes Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $937 | $1.09 | 5d | 9 | 0.69mi |
| 2128 SW 41st St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $820 | $0.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1116 SW 59th St Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1329 SW Grand Blvd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1402 SW 59th St Unit 3202 Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $865 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1402 SW 59th St Apt 3201 Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $865 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1402 SW 59th St Apt 1112 Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $980 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 620 SW 50th St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,100 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 632 SW 44th St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 958 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2119 SW 39th St Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $909 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1433 SW 60th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 942 | $1,400 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6111 S Klein Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 617 | $850 | $1.38 | 4d | 3 | 0.92mi |
| 2412 SW 47th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 638 | $1,150 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6210 S Douglas Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $660 | $1.02 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1432 SW 61st Ter Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 891 | $1,145 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2500 SW 48th St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,050 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1004 SW 62nd St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,295 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2140 SW 35th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 976 | $1,300 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1344 SW 62nd St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,300 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5909 S Lee Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $980 | $1.26 | 5d | 5 | 1.07mi |
| 2120 SW 61st St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1101 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2336 SW Grand Blvd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $995 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 616 SW 59th St Unit 43 Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $900 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5542 S Walker Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 681 | $920 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3616 S Lee Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $775 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3618 S Lee Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $850 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1020 SW 65th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,330 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5113 S Sage Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 996 | $1,025 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3906 S Hudson Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $750 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3407 S Lee Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $980 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3913 S Harvey Ave Unit 2 Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 568 | $900 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2741 SW Murray Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $1,395 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2640 SW 38th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5804 S Harvey Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $675 | $0.87 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2801 SW 51st St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,025 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 449 SW 63rd Pl Unit 6400 S Byers Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $850 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 435-char remark
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$95,000 Active 387-char remark
-
2002-06-18soldstatus $42,500
-
2002-06-14soldstatus $42,500 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
***PRICE REDUCED*** CUTE HOME has new paint, carpet, gas stove; Remodeled bathroom; CLEAN! Large, fenced & shaded corner lot, several updates; CH&A new in '95.
-
2002-04-10$42,500 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
***PRICE REDUCED*** CUTE HOME has new paint, carpet, gas stove; Remodeled bathroom; CLEAN! Large, fenced & shaded corner lot, several updates; CH&A new in '95.
-
1995-03-24soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $736 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $855 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$119/yr (+$10/mo · 16.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,219
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$736
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$978
- − Management
- −$978
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $968
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$232
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,232/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oklahoma City
- NCES district ID
- 4022770
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,606
- Composite
- 7.0/100
- National rank
- #9970
- State rank
- #254 of 270 in OK
Livability — Oklahoma City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oklahoma City, OK
- County
- Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
- City population
- 498,656
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,398
- Household income
- $45,421
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1221.0
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 24% White 24% Native American 7% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 58%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 54%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.15%
- Current HPI
- 297.1117
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.13%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+196.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $95,000 MLSOK
- 2002-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
- 2002-06-14 Sold (MLS) $42,500 MLSOK
- 2002-04-10 Listed $42,500 MLSOK
- 1995-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $736 · +58.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…