226 Saddle Ridge Dr · Lowgap, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.0/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Own your own mountain getaway in the beautiful Saddle Ridge Campground in Ennice, NC! This deeded lot comes complete with a well-maintained 2015 Forest River Salem Villa Classic camper, offering the perfect blend of comfort and outdoor living. Designed with space and flexibility in mind, this retreat features 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for family and guests. Step inside to find a welcoming living area, a functional kitchen and comfortable sleeping accommodations for relaxing after a day of exploring the surrounding mountains. Whether you're looking for a weekend escape, a seasonal residence, or a place to gather with friends and family, this property is ready
Key facts
- Deeded lot
- Stocked fishing pond
- Basketball court
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA present and membership is mandatory; Community amenities include clubhouse, outdoor pool, pond, and tennis courts
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (no main-level garage)
- Utilities: Community well water; Private sewer
- Home design: Manufactured singlewide home; Single-story
- Construction: Manufactured construction with aluminum exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Storage; Shed(s); Private maintained road with concrete/paved surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range, Microwave, Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric heat; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Gas Range, Microwave, Refrigerator; One total room (per listing room count)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features: other (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($801 rent vs $75k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 39/100 on livability (#733 in NC) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Alleghany County Schools (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #104 of 178 in NC (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Glade Creek Elementary (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #574 of 1,410 statewide, top 43%, 252 students, 75% FRL); Alleghany High (math 67% / reading 57%, grade B-, #184 of 535 statewide, top 37%, 426 students, 59% FRL).
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Alleghany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $849 appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
- Alleghany County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.14%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $13,158
- Equity at exit
- $26,118
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $40,580
- Equity at exit
- $35,110
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28623
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $801 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $370/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$168
- Net cashflow
- $177
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$75,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $370 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $615 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- +$245/yr (+$20/mo · 66.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,612
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$370
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$769
- − Management
- −$769
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $946
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$227
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,902/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alleghany County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700120
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,855
- Composite
- 35.12/100
- National rank
- #5014
- State rank
- #104 of 178 in NC
Livability — Lowgap
- Score
- 39/100
- State rank
- #733
- US rank
- #27385
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,927
Population outlook (Alleghany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,103 people
- By 2030
- 9,631 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 8,468 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 7,334 · -27.4%
- By 2075
- 5,239 · -48.1%
- By 2100
- 3,962 · -60.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 22%
Political lean MEDSL · Alleghany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.7% · R 75.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.0pp toward R · 2008: -21.0pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+50.0 2016: R+47.7 2012: R+35.9 2008: R+21.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.13%
- Current HPI
- 186.4984
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $75,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+11.0%/yrLatest (2025): $370 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…