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41 Astor Rd
F Composite 30.83
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

41 Astor Rd · Babbitt, MN 55706
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,408 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 124 Days on market
Built 1951 10,019 sqft lot Est $142k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy small town living in this 4 bedroom home with numerous updates including: windows, siding, flooring, kitchen cabinets, countertops, dishwasher, refrigerator, electrical, AC, roof, fresh paint throughout the home, new PEX plumbing in kitchen and bath, and updated bathroom. HUGE 1024 SF heated & insulated garage with 9 ft doors, plus an additional 1 stall garage. Room for all your toys! Only 2 miles to one of the best Walleye fishing lakes, swimming beach, and close to ATV and snowmobile trails. Only a short drive to the BWCA, and Giant's Ridge Ski & Golf resort.

Key facts

  • Insulated garage
  • Heated garage
  • Numerous updates

Tags

NUMEROUS UPDATESHEATED GARAGEINSULATED GARAGEROOM FOR ALL YOUR TOYS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 5 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Partial chain link fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Propane heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric Range; Refrigerator; Electric Water Heater; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-72 ($-858/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (7.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (24.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#156 in MN, #3,426 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Louis County School District (rural): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #212 of 301 in MN (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Babbitt Elementary (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #604 of 857 statewide, top 74%, 97 students, 66% FRL); Northeast Range Secondary (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #375 of 471 statewide, top 81%, 115 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 37% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,948 (24.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.92%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$142,208
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
31 Garden Cir 0.23mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,382 (-2%) 1mo $127,000 $92 77
46 Beech Ct 0.37mi 4/1.2 (+1) 1,368 (-3%) 10mo $148,000 $108 64
16 Hemlock Cir 0.12mi 3/1.8 1,596 (+13%) 20mo $80,000 $50 52
107 Central Blvd 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,590 (+13%) 11mo $160,000 $101 43
98 South Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,575 (+12%) 13mo $199,000 $126 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.5%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-30,494
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-12.3%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-32,539
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55706

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,209 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,462/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$-72

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,300
Max offer price $147,269
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $19 -5% $-26 +0% $-72 +5% $-117 +10% $-162
Rent -10% $-167 -5% $-119 +0% $-72 +5% $-24 +10% $24
Rate -1.0pp $9 -0.5pp $-31 base $-72 +0.5pp $-113 +1.0pp $-155

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $159,900 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $159,900 Active 122 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 121 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 120 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 119 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 118 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 116 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 115 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 113 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 112 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 111 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 110 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 504-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 105 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 104 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    remarks 395-char remark
  17. 2026-05-31
    listed $159,900 Active 103 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,462 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,626 · $136/mo
Expected delta
+$164/yr (+$14/mo · 11.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,514
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$1,462
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,161
− Management
−$1,161
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$3,678
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$883
After-tax cash flow
$25/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis County School District
NCES district ID
2700008
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$49,389
Composite
35.63/100
National rank
#4886
State rank
#212 of 301 in MN

Livability — Babbitt

Score
76/100
State rank
#156
US rank
#3426

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Babbitt, MN
City population
1,827
Population (ZIP)
1,827

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 9% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.97%
Current HPI
204.0097
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+227.0% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Relisted RAOR
  • 2026-05-30 Price Changed $159,900 RAOR
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $159,900 LSAR
  • 2025-11-26 Delisted RAOR
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $150,000 RAOR
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $157,000 RAOR
  • 2025-08-16 Listed $162,000 RAOR
  • 2021-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2021-09-01 Sold (MLS) $145,000 RAOR
  • 2021-09-01 Sold (MLS) $145,000 LSAR
  • 2021-09-01 Sold (MLS) $145,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-10 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-10 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-06 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-04 Listed $139,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-28 Listed $139,500 RAOR
  • 2021-04-28 Listed $139,500 LSAR
  • 2012-03-16 Listed $59,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-04-08 Listed $48,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,462 · -21.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…