41 Astor Rd · Babbitt, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.9/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy small town living in this 4 bedroom home with numerous updates including: windows, siding, flooring, kitchen cabinets, countertops, dishwasher, refrigerator, electrical, AC, roof, fresh paint throughout the home, new PEX plumbing in kitchen and bath, and updated bathroom. HUGE 1024 SF heated & insulated garage with 9 ft doors, plus an additional 1 stall garage. Room for all your toys! Only 2 miles to one of the best Walleye fishing lakes, swimming beach, and close to ATV and snowmobile trails. Only a short drive to the BWCA, and Giant's Ridge Ski & Golf resort.
Key facts
- Insulated garage
- Heated garage
- Numerous updates
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 5 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Partial chain link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Propane heating
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric Range; Refrigerator; Electric Water Heater; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-72 ($-858/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (7.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (24.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#156 in MN, #3,426 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- St. Louis County School District (rural): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #212 of 301 in MN (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Babbitt Elementary (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #604 of 857 statewide, top 74%, 97 students, 66% FRL); Northeast Range Secondary (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #375 of 471 statewide, top 81%, 115 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 37% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.92%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $142,208
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Garden Cir | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,382 (-2%) | 1mo | $127,000 | $92 | 77 |
| 46 Beech Ct | 0.37mi | 4/1.2 (+1) | 1,368 (-3%) | 10mo | $148,000 | $108 | 64 |
| 16 Hemlock Cir | 0.12mi | 3/1.8 | 1,596 (+13%) | 20mo | $80,000 | $50 | 52 |
| 107 Central Blvd | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,590 (+13%) | 11mo | $160,000 | $101 | 43 |
| 98 South Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,575 (+12%) | 13mo | $199,000 | $126 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-30,494
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-32,539
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55706
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,209 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,462/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $-72
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $19 | -5% $-26 | +0% $-72 | +5% $-117 | +10% $-162 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-167 | -5% $-119 | +0% $-72 | +5% $-24 | +10% $24 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $9 | -0.5pp $-31 | base $-72 | +0.5pp $-113 | +1.0pp $-155 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $159,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $159,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 504-char remark
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 395-char remark
-
2026-05-31$159,900 Active 103 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,462 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,626 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- +$164/yr (+$14/mo · 11.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,514
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$1,462
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,161
- − Management
- −$1,161
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$3,678
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$883
- After-tax cash flow
- $25/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2700008
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,389
- Composite
- 35.63/100
- National rank
- #4886
- State rank
- #212 of 301 in MN
Livability — Babbitt
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #156
- US rank
- #3426
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Babbitt, MN
- City population
- 1,827
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,827
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.97%
- Current HPI
- 204.0097
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+227.0% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Relisted — RAOR
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $159,900 RAOR
- 2026-05-30 Listed $159,900 LSAR
- 2025-11-26 Delisted — RAOR
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $150,000 RAOR
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $157,000 RAOR
- 2025-08-16 Listed $162,000 RAOR
- 2021-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2021-09-01 Sold (MLS) $145,000 RAOR
- 2021-09-01 Sold (MLS) $145,000 LSAR
- 2021-09-01 Sold (MLS) $145,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-10 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-10 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-06 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-04 Listed $139,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-28 Listed $139,500 RAOR
- 2021-04-28 Listed $139,500 LSAR
- 2012-03-16 Listed $59,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-04-08 Listed $48,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,462 · -21.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…