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418 W Pierce St
B- Composite 67.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$69,000

418 W Pierce St · Mangum, OK 73554
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,274 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1940 8,499 sqft lot Est $62k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1 full bath home situated on a spacious corner lot with mature trees and an oversized fenced backyard. Enjoy the convenience of a covered carport leading directly into a functional mudroom—perfect for bringing in groceries with ease. Inside, you’ll find taller ceilings, newly installed flooring in the main living area, a generous kitchen with ample cabinet space, and a large dining area with additional flex space for an office or play area. The home also features window units and a wall furnace for heating and cooling comfort and a storage shed that stays with the property. This cutie is full of charm and potential making it a great oppor

Key facts

  • Generous kitchen
  • Covered carport
  • Functional mudroom

Tags

CORNER LOTOVERSIZED FENCED BACKYARDCOVERED CARPORTFUNCTIONAL MUDROOMNEWLY INSTALLED FLOORINGGENEROUS KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Homestead exempt; Occupied by owner; No storm shelter; Located at the corner of W Pierce St between N Byers Ave and N Kentucky Ave
  • Financial info: Not assumable; Loan qualification unknown
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Parking: Additional parking; Backyard parking; Concrete parking; Other parking options
  • Utilities: Water, sewer and power information not specified
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-level; North-facing; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame and vinyl siding construction; Other construction materials; Composition roof; Combination foundation; Built (existing property)
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Covered porch; Porch; Outbuildings and storage; Combination fencing; Corner lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Combination flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: In-law plan; Smoke alarm
  • Laundry & utility: Inside utility

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 7.8% in Mangum — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#144 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Mangum (town): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #89 of 270 in OK (top 33%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Edison Es (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #107 of 845 statewide, top 14%, 239 students, 0% FRL); Mangum Hs (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 447 statewide, top 66%, 175 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 56% district-wide (56 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greer County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $56k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $66,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
14.48%
Cash-on-cash
29.25%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,426
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
200 N Maryland Ave 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,329 (+4%) 6mo $49,500 $37 82
412 N Kentucky Ave 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,224 (-4%) 6mo $70,000 $57 75
235 W Polk St 0.27mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,249 (-2%) 5mo $55,000 $44 71
314 N Maryland Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,400 (+10%) 9mo $28,500 $20 70
705 N Pennsylvania Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,280 (+0%) 2mo $110,000 $86 70
403 S Oklahoma Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,240 (-3%) 10mo $14,000 $11 62
413 W Taylor St 0.15mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,134 (-11%) 10mo $55,000 $49 61
311 N Byers Ave 0.12mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,318 (+4%) 23mo $47,700 $36 60
210 N Louis Tittle Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,372 (+8%) 13mo $47,000 $34 54
312 S Oklahoma Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,415 (+11%) 15mo $79,600 $56 46
315 N Pennsylvania Ave 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,449 (+14%) 12mo $114,000 $79 41
214 E Van Buren St 0.53mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (+12%) 7mo $108,000 $76 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$20,377
Equity at exit
$11,972
10-year hold
IRR
31.8%
Equity multiple
3.99×
Total profit
$57,683
Equity at exit
$8,900

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73554

Home prices YoY
-2.7%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,136 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $428/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$471

Break-even live

Break-even rent $540
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-11
    listed $69,000 Active
  16. 2023-06-28
    historical
  17. 2023-05-15
    soldstatus $56,000
  18. 2022-12-08
    price $55,000
  19. 2022-10-27
    price $65,000
  20. 2022-06-27
    listed $70,000 Active
  21. 2011-12-05
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$428 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$621 · $52/mo
Expected delta
+$193/yr (+$16/mo · 45.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,627
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$428
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,090
− Management
−$1,090
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$4,801
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,152
After-tax cash flow
$4,498/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mangum
NCES district ID
4018780
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$36,568
Composite
22.85/100
National rank
#8012
State rank
#89 of 270 in OK

Livability — Mangum

Score
65/100
State rank
#144
US rank
#13248

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mangum, OK
Population (ZIP)
3,361

Population outlook (Greer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,904 people
By 2030
5,869 · -0.6%
By 2040
5,790 · -1.9%
By 2050
5,712 · -3.3%
By 2075
5,196 · -12.0%
By 2100
4,326 · -26.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China, Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Greer

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.7) · D 16.6% · R 82.3% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.3pp toward R · 2008: -46.5pp · 2024: -65.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.7 2020: R+64.7 2016: R+61.1 2012: R+46.7 2008: R+46.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.45%
Current HPI
88.9252
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+590.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $69,000 MLSOK
  • 2023-06-28 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2023-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
  • 2022-12-08 Price Changed $55,000 MLSOK
  • 2022-10-27 Price Changed $65,000 MLSOK
  • 2022-06-27 Listed $70,000 MLSOK
  • 2011-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $428 · -20.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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