4677 Swimming Ln #14 · Shallotte, NC
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to the Hickory plan - a thoughtfully designed single-story home that blends charm, function, and modern comfort. This home is completed and ready to close. Enjoy an open concept living space perfect for entertaining, a spacious Owner's Suite with large walk-in closet, dual vanities, and walk-in shower. Granite counters, large kitchen island, and soft close cabinetry. With its effortless flow, split 3 bedroom plan, and large 2 car garage this plan makes every day feel like coastal living at its best. Summers Walk is a thoughtfully planned lifestyle community with amenities designed for comfort, community and easy living. Residents will enjoy access to a beautifully designed communit
Key facts
- Dual vanities
- Walk-in shower
- Large walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with clubhouse and management; HOA fee $700 annually (approximately $58.33/month); Community pool, sidewalks, and street lights
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with concrete driveway and garage door opener; 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; New construction; One story; Entry level: 1; Has a view; Zoned residential; Subdivision: Summers Walk
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Pond view; Irrigation equipment; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Electric heating; Forced air; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Entrance foyer; Pantry; Accessible full bathroom
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (9.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (14.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $222k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in Shallotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#411 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
- Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Union Elementary (math 83% / reading 76%, grade A, #24 of 1,410 statewide, top 2%, 571 students, 100% FRL); Shallotte Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 674 students, 100% FRL); West Brunswick High (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 59% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Brunswick County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 384 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.68%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $341,928
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4642 Swimming Ln #59 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,731 (+9%) | 1mo | $324,411 | $187 | 84 |
| 4654 Swimming Ln #61 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,741 (+10%) | 2mo | $304,964 | $175 | 76 |
| 516 Sylvan St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (+0%) | 4mo | $417,500 | $263 | 75 |
| 4747 Swimming Ln #1 | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,583 (0%) | 7mo | $276,999 | $175 | 68 |
| 5022 Walton St | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+1%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $225 | 68 |
| 4648 Mintz St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,583 (0%) | 16mo | $339,000 | $214 | 57 |
| 16 Wendy Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,506 (-5%) | 4mo | $329,491 | $219 | 57 |
| 5012 Walton St | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,685 (+6%) | 14mo | $364,000 | $216 | 52 |
| 511 Village Rd | 0.45mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,619 (+2%) | 18mo | $210,000 | $130 | 51 |
| 246 Thomas Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 1,759 (+11%) | 15mo | $379,900 | $216 | 50 |
| 4731 Swimming Ln #5 | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,741 (+10%) | 6mo | $259,900 | $149 | 47 |
| 15 Fairway Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,790 (+13%) | 15mo | $386,000 | $216 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-52,730
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-59,280
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28470
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Active inventory
- 384
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,218 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,898/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$58
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$466
- Net cashflow
- $-168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $11 | -5% $-79 | +0% $-168 | +5% $-258 | +10% $-348 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-344 | -5% $-256 | +0% $-168 | +5% $-81 | +10% $7 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-38 | -0.5pp $-102 | base $-168 | +0.5pp $-236 | +1.0pp $-304 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5000 Seaforth St Shallotte, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1077 | $2,145 | $1.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4568 Tides Way South Brunswick, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1187 | $2,900 | $2.44 | 25d | 111 | 1.17mi |
| 4364 Owendon Dr Shallotte, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,750 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $58 · $696/yr
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $259,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-19price $259,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $269,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $269,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $269,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $269,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $269,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $269,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $269,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $269,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $269,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $269,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $274,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $274,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $274,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $274,900 Active 57 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $274,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $274,900
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2026-04-23price $279,900
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2026-04-03$289,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,615
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$3,898
- − Insurance
- −$2,097
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,129
- − Management
- −$2,129
- − HOA
- −$696
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$6,454
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,549
- After-tax cash flow
- $-472/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This single-story home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and offers a great opportunity for both buyers and renters.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the interior walls in a more vibrant color — A fresh coat of paint can make the interior more inviting and appealing to potential buyers.
- Both Adding a smart home system — A smart home system can enhance the home's appeal and increase its value for both buyers and renters.
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, energy-efficient appliances can significantly boost the home's resale value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers and renters.
- Rental Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can help reduce energy costs and attract renters who value energy efficiency and convenience.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Painting the interior walls in a more vibrant color — A fresh coat of paint can make the interior more inviting and appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Adding a smart home system — A smart home system can enhance the home's appeal and increase its value for both buyers and renters. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, energy-efficient appliances can significantly boost the home's resale value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Rental Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can help reduce energy costs and attract renters who value energy efficiency and convenience. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brunswick County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700420
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,494
- Composite
- 39.23/100
- National rank
- #4011
- State rank
- #82 of 178 in NC
Livability — Shallotte
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #411
- US rank
- #15490
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shallotte, NC
- County
- Brunswick County · 131,536 people
- City population
- 11,219
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,219
- Household income
- $65,030
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 455.0
Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,111 people
- By 2030
- 165,705 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 188,494 · +23.9%
- By 2050
- 206,228 · +35.6%
- By 2075
- 237,876 · +56.4%
- By 2100
- 251,451 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.91%
- Current HPI
- 146.2303
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-5.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $274,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $279,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $289,900 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…