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4677 Swimming Ln #14
D+ Composite 47.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,900

4677 Swimming Ln #14 · Shallotte, NC 28470
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,583 sqft · SingleFamily · 78 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 7,405 sqft lot Est $342k · 24% under $58/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to the Hickory plan - a thoughtfully designed single-story home that blends charm, function, and modern comfort. This home is completed and ready to close. Enjoy an open concept living space perfect for entertaining, a spacious Owner's Suite with large walk-in closet, dual vanities, and walk-in shower. Granite counters, large kitchen island, and soft close cabinetry. With its effortless flow, split 3 bedroom plan, and large 2 car garage this plan makes every day feel like coastal living at its best. Summers Walk is a thoughtfully planned lifestyle community with amenities designed for comfort, community and easy living. Residents will enjoy access to a beautifully designed communit

Key facts

  • Dual vanities
  • Walk-in shower
  • Large walk-in closet

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LIVING SPACEOWNER'S SUITELARGE WALK-IN CLOSETDUAL VANITIESWALK-IN SHOWERGRANITE COUNTERS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with clubhouse and management; HOA fee $700 annually (approximately $58.33/month); Community pool, sidewalks, and street lights

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage with concrete driveway and garage door opener; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; New construction; One story; Entry level: 1; Has a view; Zoned residential; Subdivision: Summers Walk
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Pond view; Irrigation equipment; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Electric heating; Forced air; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Entrance foyer; Pantry; Accessible full bathroom
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (9.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (14.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $222k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in Shallotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#411 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Union Elementary (math 83% / reading 76%, grade A, #24 of 1,410 statewide, top 2%, 571 students, 100% FRL); Shallotte Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 674 students, 100% FRL); West Brunswick High (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 59% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Brunswick County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 384 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $221,794 (14.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.68%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$341,928
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4642 Swimming Ln #59 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,731 (+9%) 1mo $324,411 $187 84
4654 Swimming Ln #61 0.00mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,741 (+10%) 2mo $304,964 $175 76
516 Sylvan St 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,590 (+0%) 4mo $417,500 $263 75
4747 Swimming Ln #1 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,583 (0%) 7mo $276,999 $175 68
5022 Walton St 0.48mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (+1%) 3mo $360,000 $225 68
4648 Mintz St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,583 (0%) 16mo $339,000 $214 57
16 Wendy Ln 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,506 (-5%) 4mo $329,491 $219 57
5012 Walton St 0.50mi 3/2.5 1,685 (+6%) 14mo $364,000 $216 52
511 Village Rd 0.45mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,619 (+2%) 18mo $210,000 $130 51
246 Thomas Dr 0.37mi 3/2.5 1,759 (+11%) 15mo $379,900 $216 50
4731 Swimming Ln #5 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,741 (+10%) 6mo $259,900 $149 47
15 Fairway Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,790 (+13%) 15mo $386,000 $216 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.9%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-52,730
Equity at exit
$38,752
10-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-59,280
Equity at exit
$22,471

Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28470

Home prices YoY
-34.8%
Active inventory
384
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,218 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax est. 1.5%
$325 /mo · $3,898/yr
Insurance
$108
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$58
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$466
Net cashflow
$-168

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,431
Max offer price $235,533
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $11 -5% $-79 +0% $-168 +5% $-258 +10% $-348
Rent -10% $-344 -5% $-256 +0% $-168 +5% $-81 +10% $7
Rate -1.0pp $-38 -0.5pp $-102 base $-168 +0.5pp $-236 +1.0pp $-304

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,975
Closing costs
$7,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5000 Seaforth St Shallotte, NC 3.0 1.0–2.0 1077 $2,145 $1.99 25d 1 0.76mi
4568 Tides Way South Brunswick, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1187 $2,900 $2.44 25d 111 1.17mi
4364 Owendon Dr Shallotte, NC 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,750 $1.42 25d 1 1.38mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$58 · $696/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $259,900 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    price $259,900 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,900 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,900 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,900 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,900 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $269,900 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,900 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $269,900 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $269,900 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,900 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $269,900 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $269,900 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $274,900 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $274,900 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $274,900 Active 58 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $274,900 Active 57 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $274,900 Active 56 DOM
  19. 2026-05-14
    price $274,900
  20. 2026-04-23
    price $279,900
  21. 2026-04-03
    listed $289,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,615
− Mortgage interest
−$14,558
− Property taxes
−$3,898
− Insurance
−$2,097
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,129
− Management
−$2,129
− HOA
−$696
− Depreciation
−$7,561
Taxable loss
−$6,454
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,549
After-tax cash flow
$-472/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-story home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and offers a great opportunity for both buyers and renters.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the interior walls in a more vibrant color — A fresh coat of paint can make the interior more inviting and appealing to potential buyers.
  • Both Adding a smart home system — A smart home system can enhance the home's appeal and increase its value for both buyers and renters.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, energy-efficient appliances can significantly boost the home's resale value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers and renters.
  • Rental Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can help reduce energy costs and attract renters who value energy efficiency and convenience.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting the interior walls in a more vibrant color — A fresh coat of paint can make the interior more inviting and appealing to potential buyers.
  • Both Adding a smart home system — A smart home system can enhance the home's appeal and increase its value for both buyers and renters.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, energy-efficient appliances can significantly boost the home's resale value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers and renters.
  • Rental Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can help reduce energy costs and attract renters who value energy efficiency and convenience.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brunswick County Schools
NCES district ID
3700420
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$47,494
Composite
39.23/100
National rank
#4011
State rank
#82 of 178 in NC

Livability — Shallotte

Score
63/100
State rank
#411
US rank
#15490

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shallotte, NC
County
Brunswick County · 131,536 people
City population
11,219
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
Population (ZIP)
11,219
Household income
$65,030
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
455.0

Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,111 people
By 2030
165,705 · +8.9%
By 2040
188,494 · +23.9%
By 2050
206,228 · +35.6%
By 2075
237,876 · +56.4%
By 2100
251,451 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.91%
Current HPI
146.2303
Rent YoY
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $274,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $279,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $289,900 Hive MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…