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3111 NE 167th Pl
C- Composite 54.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

3111 NE 167th Pl · Reddick, FL 32113
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 171 Days on market
Built 1992 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

TURN KEY FLASH SALE - Ready to Experience Farm Life in Citra, FL This perfect investment and income-generating property offers the peace of country living with everything brand new! Enjoy the charm of rural life while earning $1,200–$1,400 monthly in rental income. Property Highlights: Completely updated throughout – new laminate flooring, tile in kitchen, hallway, and bathroom New well and brand-new septic system | New electrical system and central A/C | Washer and dryer included | Perfect for investors, retior anyone seeking a peaceful lifestyle with steady income Embrace the tranquility of farm living with modern comforts — move-in ready and income-producing from

Key facts

  • Updated throughout
  • New well
  • New septic system

Tags

UPDATED THROUGHOUTNEW LAMINATE FLOORINGNEW WELLNEW SEPTIC SYSTEMNEW ELECTRICAL SYSTEMCENTRAL A/C

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.26 acres (100 x 90); Total acreage between 1/4 and less than 1/2 acre; Living area ~720 sq ft (public records); Building area ~672 sq ft (public records); Direction faces northeast
  • Financial info: No lease restrictions; No investor-specific financial details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not provided
  • Security: No specific security features listed
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available and connected; Water available and connected; Sewer available and connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Residential modular home; One level; Faces northeast
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal/other roof; Other foundation; Built as modular construction
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Unimproved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Thermostat
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry area with corridor access

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.2% in Reddick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#845 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sparr Elementary School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,144 statewide, top 67%, 425 students, 67% FRL); North Marion Middle School (math 35% / reading 34%, grade F, #421 of 571 statewide, top 74%, 803 students, 72% FRL); North Marion High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 1,303 students, 66% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $110k implies a 340% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.43%
Cash-on-cash
7.64%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$52,416
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3176 NE 164th Ln 0.28mi 2/2.0 742 (+10%) 6mo $58,000 $78 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-5,371
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$11,257
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32113

Home prices YoY
-5.5%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $602/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$196

Break-even live

Break-even rent $852
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $258 -5% $227 +0% $196 +5% $165 +10% $134
Rent -10% $109 -5% $153 +0% $196 +5% $240 +10% $283
Rate -1.0pp $252 -0.5pp $224 base $196 +0.5pp $168 +1.0pp $139

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17410 NE 37th Ct Citra, FL 1.0 1.0 672 $1,100 $1.64 14d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $110,000 Active 171 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 168 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 167 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 166 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 165 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 163 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 162 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $110,000 Active 160 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 159 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 158 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 157 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 153 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 152 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 150 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $110,000 Active 149 DOM
  16. 2026-05-26
    status Active
  17. 2026-05-26
    price $110,000
  18. 2026-02-28
    price $90,000
  19. 2026-02-04
    price $121,599
  20. 2026-01-24
    price $125,530
  21. 2026-01-06
    price $128,950
  22. 2025-12-07
    price $137,950
  23. 2025-10-06
    listed $150,000 Active
  24. 1998-05-04
    soldstatus $25,000
  25. 1993-07-20
    soldstatus $26,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$602 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$913 · $76/mo
Expected delta
+$311/yr (+$26/mo · 51.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,200
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$602
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,056
− Management
−$1,056
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$574
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$138
After-tax cash flow
$2,216/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Reddick

Score
58/100
State rank
#845
US rank
#21164

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,382

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.68%
Current HPI
284.1669
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+315.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-28 Price Changed $90,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $121,599 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-24 Price Changed $125,530 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $128,950 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-07 Price Changed $137,950 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-06 Listed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1993-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $602 · +547.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…