124 E Grant St · Osceola, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable and adorable Bungalow! 3BR/1BA. Partial unfinished basement. Open front porch. Large level lot with a nice sized backyard. Detached garage.
Key facts
- Nice sized backyard
- Large level lot
- Open front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 4.2% in Osceola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#253 in IA, #4,874 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Clarke Community School District (town): math 47% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #275 of 289 in IA (top 95%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 125 units permitted in Clarke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.39%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,363
- List price
- $89,500
- Delta
- -35.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 E Washington St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,201 (-2%) | 7mo | $114,500 | $95 | 68 |
| 602 S Fillmore St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,078 (-12%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $93 | 65 |
| 707 S Fillmore St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+10%) | 7mo | $158,000 | $117 | 63 |
| 215 N Lincoln St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+2%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $208 | 59 |
| 1008 Grandview Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,236 (+1%) | 7mo | $207,000 | $167 | 58 |
| 419 E Grant St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-12%) | 7mo | $171,000 | $158 | 57 |
| 630 S Lincoln St | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 1,152 (-6%) | 8mo | $254,260 | $221 | 55 |
| 425 E Ayers St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,136 (-7%) | 3mo | $187,500 | $165 | 52 |
| 105 Golf View Dr | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,375 (+12%) | 1mo | $348,000 | $253 | 45 |
| 110 N Osceola St | 0.57mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,077 (-12%) | 0mo | $219,000 | $203 | 40 |
| 128 W Logan St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+8%) | 7mo | $54,000 | $41 | 38 |
| 114 W Ayers St | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-11%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $142 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $71,846
- Equity at exit
- $80,589
- IRR
- 32.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.72×
- Total profit
- $193,410
- Equity at exit
- $173,750
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50213
- Home prices YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,235 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,272/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $363
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 W Clay St #2 Osceola, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $995 | $0.99 | 18d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 422 S Gustin Unit 1 Osceola, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $300 | $0.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 502 Wildflower Dr Osceola, IA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1098 | $1,152 | $1.05 | 2d | 8 | 1.42mi |
| 332 Wildflower Dr Osceola, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,235 | $1.00 | 2d | 3 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,500 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,500 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $89,500 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $98,500 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $98,500 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $98,500 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $98,500 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,500 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $98,500 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,500 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $98,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $98,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,500 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,500 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,500 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $98,500 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Affordable and adorable Bungalow! 3BR/1BA. Partial unfinished basement. Open front porch. Large level lot with a nice sized backyard. Detached garage.
-
2026-04-14price $101,500 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Affordable and adorable Bungalow! 3BR/1BA. Partial unfinished basement. Open front porch. Large level lot with a nice sized backyard. Detached garage.
-
2026-03-26price $103,500 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Affordable and adorable Bungalow! 3BR/1BA. Partial unfinished basement. Open front porch. Large level lot with a nice sized backyard. Detached garage.
-
2026-02-10price $109,500 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Affordable and adorable Bungalow! 3BR/1BA. Partial unfinished basement. Open front porch. Large level lot with a nice sized backyard. Detached garage.
-
2026-01-16$110,000 Active 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Affordable and adorable Bungalow! 3BR/1BA. Partial unfinished basement. Open front porch. Large level lot with a nice sized backyard. Detached garage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,272 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,339 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- +$67/yr (+$6/mo · 5.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,821
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$1,272
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,186
- − Management
- −$1,186
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable income
- $3,113
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$747
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,610/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarke Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1907410
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,866
- Composite
- 44.33/100
- National rank
- #2825
- State rank
- #275 of 289 in IA
Livability — Osceola
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #253
- US rank
- #4874
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Osceola, IA
- County
- Clarke County · 7,489 people
- City population
- 7,489
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,489
- Household income
- $73,026
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 102.0
Population outlook (Clarke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,307 people
- By 2030
- 9,294 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 9,259 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 9,345 · +0.4%
- By 2075
- 10,219 · +9.8%
- By 2100
- 11,526 · +23.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clarke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.0) · D 28.4% · R 70.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.0 2020: R+35.9 2016: R+28.2 2012: D+1.4 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.99%
- Current HPI
- 216.6704
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
-10.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $98,500 IAR
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $101,500 IAR
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $103,500 IAR
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $109,500 IAR
- 2026-01-16 Listed $110,000 IAR
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,272 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…