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113 Williams Way
D+ Composite 49.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

113 Williams Way · Drexel, NC 28655
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 129 Days on market
Built 1915 0.60 ac lot Est $267k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't miss out on this charming cottage-style home in the city limits of Drexel! Home features three-bedrooms and one bathroom with a living room and kitchen. Enjoy your morning coffee on the front porch. washer and dryer on back porch, not heated. The property also features a large 24x36 detached workshop with electricity, perfect for hobbyists or extra storage. Detached single garage for parking. Convenient to downtown Drexel and US Hwy 70 for easy access to surrounding areas. heated 1340 sq. feet

Key facts

  • 0.6 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1915

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; Detached garage with 1 garage space; Main level garage
  • Utilities: Public water; County sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Entry level at 1; Zoning: R-12
  • Construction: Site built construction; Asbestos construction material; No foundation details specified; Shingle roof not specified
  • Exterior features: Gravel road access; Publicly maintained road; Land included (0.6 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Freezer; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
  • Interior features: 3 total rooms; Fireplace; Basement (other)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on the porch

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $50 ($596/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (19.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.3% in Drexel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#208 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Burke County Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #89 of 178 in NC (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Drexel Elementary (math 49% / reading 47%, grade D, #477 of 1,410 statewide, top 35%, 438 students, 77% FRL); Jimmy C Draughn High School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B-, #184 of 535 statewide, top 37%, 682 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 431 active listings in the ZIP; 422 units permitted in Burke County in 2024 (94 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burke County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $61k; list at $200k implies a 228% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,421 (19.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.06%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$266,640
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1761 Dearborn Street Ext 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,290 (-2%) 2mo $264,900 $205 74
108 Powell Rd 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,248 (-6%) 16mo $230,000 $184 66
111 Baxter St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,442 (+9%) 3mo $308,000 $214 54
1627 Amherst Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-13%) 16mo $232,500 $202 36
1662 Rawleigh St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-13%) 23mo $180,000 $156 33
404 Park Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,177 (-11%) 21mo $223,400 $190 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-29,305
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-21,755
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28655

Home prices YoY
-13.2%
Active inventory
431
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,604 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,033/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$50

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,541
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,900 Active 129 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 128 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 127 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 126 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 125 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,900 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 122 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,900 Active 120 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 119 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 118 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active 117 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,900 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Active 112 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,900 Active 111 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 110 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,900 Active 109 DOM
  17. 2026-03-11
    price $199,900
  18. 2026-02-09
    listed $209,900 Active
  19. 1998-08-27
    soldstatus $61,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,033 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,639 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$606/yr (+$51/mo · 58.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,251
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$1,033
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,540
− Management
−$1,540
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$2,875
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$690
After-tax cash flow
$1,286/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burke County Schools
NCES district ID
3700480
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,342
Composite
37.51/100
National rank
#4400
State rank
#89 of 178 in NC

Livability — Drexel

Score
68/100
State rank
#208
US rank
#10084

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Drexel, NC
County
Burke County · 55,100 people
City population
457
Metro
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
Population (ZIP)
55,100
Household income
$57,713
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
1145.0

Population outlook (Burke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
86,552 people
By 2030
84,123 · -2.8%
By 2040
78,165 · -9.7%
By 2050
71,099 · -17.9%
By 2075
56,264 · -35.0%
By 2100
44,742 · -48.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burke

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.2) · D 29.0% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -41.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.2 2020: R+40.1 2016: R+39.4 2012: R+23.6 2008: R+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.07%
Current HPI
362.0732
Rent YoY
Metro
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+227.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $199,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $209,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,033 · +53.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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