8356 72nd St E · The Meadows, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.5%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$274,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Sabal Bay & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; a gated, maintenance-free townhome community perfectly positioned in the heart of Southwest Florida. This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome offers the ideal combination of comfort, convenience, and location, tucked just off Honore Avenue north of University Parkway and west of I-75. Inside, you& apos; ll find an open-concept floor plan designed for everyday living and entertaining, featuring a spacious kitchen with granite countertops, ample cabinetry, and seamless flow into the living and dining areas. Enjoy Florida living year-round from the screened-in lanai, plus the convenience of an attached 1-car garage
Key facts
- Gated community
- Attached garage
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
- Recommended offer: $267k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#465 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.32%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,735
- Equity at exit
- $58,370
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $55,026
- Equity at exit
- $54,719
Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34201
- Home prices YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,976 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$325 /mo · $3,901/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$625
- Net cashflow
- $470
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,725
- Closing costs
- $8,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7151 83rd Dr E Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1596 | $2,095 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 6939 Lennox Pl University Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2034 | $8,300 | $4.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 6909 Lennox Pl University Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2032 | $6,500 | $3.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 6920 Lennox Pl University Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2044 | $8,300 | $4.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 7755 Plantation Cir Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1282 | $2,600 | $2.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 7654 Plantation Cir Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1156 | $2,150 | $1.86 | 16d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6211 Timber Lake Dr Unit B9 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $1,750 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6191 Timber Lake Dr Unit A6 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6104 Turnbury Park Dr Sarasota, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1065 | $2,505 | $2.35 | 1d | 29 | 1.01mi |
| 7911 Whitebridge Gln University Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1721 | $6,500 | $3.78 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7725 Whitebridge Gln University Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $5,250 | $3.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7711 Whitebridge Gln University Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $2,500 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5924 Clubside Dr Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,500 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 8925 77th Ter E Lakewood Ranch, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1049 | $4,200 | $4.00 | 16d | 67 | 1.15mi |
| 6120 Country Club Way #207 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 6041 Clubside Dr Unit 6041 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,950 | $2.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 6110 Country Club Way #201 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,000 | $2.86 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5735 Gardens Dr Unit 5735 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $2,000 | $1.87 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8926 Manor Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $2,700 | $2.32 | 23d | 2 | 1.35mi |
| 8926 Manor Loop #201 Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,700 | $2.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 8917 Manor Loop #205 Lakewood Ranch, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,150 | $1.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8932 Manor Loop #205 Lakewood Ranch, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,900 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8445 Gardens Cir Sarasota, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 973 | $2,172 | $2.23 | 2d | 29 | 1.38mi |
| 5662 Gardens Dr #104 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,950 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 8128 Villa Grande Ct Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $3,190 | $1.75 | 19d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7135 Kensington Ct University Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2208 | $7,000 | $3.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8911 Manor Loop #205 Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $1,950 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7557 Fairlinks Ct Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $7,000 | $3.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 8119 Villa Grande Ct Unit Available Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2120 | $2,600 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 8204 Villa Grande Ct Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2121 | $3,200 | $1.51 | 16d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- security
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $274,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $274,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $274,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $274,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $274,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $274,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $274,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $274,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $274,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $274,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $274,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $274,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $274,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $274,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-16$274,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,901 · $325/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,901 · $325/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 50% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,709
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,399
- − Property taxes
- −$3,901
- − Insurance
- −$1,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,857
- − Management
- −$2,857
- − Depreciation
- −$7,997
- Taxable income
- $1,324
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$318
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,317/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — The Meadows
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #465
- US rank
- #8393
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 15,114
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,993
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, South Korea, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.61%
- Current HPI
- 173.9689
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $274,900 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,901 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…