29909 Flushing Dr · Chesterfield, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fresh season, fresh start, limited time offer, application fees waived, 3 bed, 2 bath available now Brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering 1440 sq ft of open living space with modern finishes and immediate availability. Located on a large corner site, this home provides added space and privacy. A large front porch creates a welcoming entrance and a comfortable outdoor space. The home also includes a private driveway and an on site shed for added convenience. Inside, the open concept layout is filled with natural light and features plush carpeting along with durable wood look flooring. The kitchen flows directly into the living and dining areas, creating a functional space for everyday living and entertaining. All bedrooms are generously sized, offering flexibility for a variety of uses. The primary bedroom includes a private bathroom with modern fixtures and a well designed layout. Both bathrooms include full tub and shower combinations, updated vanities, and clean contemporary finishes. Storage is well planned throughout the home for added functionality. Immediate occupancy available, homes like this do not remain available for long. Contact the community to schedule a tour. Photographs may be digitally staged for illustration purposes. Actual property may vary. Prospective residents should verify all information independently.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Community pool
- Small front deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $83k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $707 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $83k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- L'Anse Creuse Public Schools (suburban): math 31% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #184 of 540 in MI (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.56%
- DSCR
- 2.63
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,900
- List price
- $82,900
- Delta
- 84.63%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52529 Pineview Cir | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+1%) | 9mo | $163,000 | $112 | 86 |
| 29636 Cambridge Ct | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+4%) | 6mo | $44,900 | $30 | 78 |
| 52193 Harrisburg Ln | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,563 (+8%) | 24mo | $62,000 | $40 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $31,634
- Equity at exit
- $12,361
- IRR
- 39.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.69×
- Total profit
- $85,646
- Equity at exit
- $7,168
Cash invested: $23,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48051
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,620 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$435
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$104 /mo · $1,244/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $707
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,725
- Closing costs
- $2,487
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29909 Flushing Dr Unit 71 New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,669 | $1.16 | 16d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 29805 Jamestown Dr Unit 435 New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,739 | $1.29 | 1d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 29811 W Essex Ct Unit 114 New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,729 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 29778 W Essex Ct Unit 109 New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,469 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 29810 W Essex Ct Unit 107 New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,439 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 52436 Winston Ct Unit 209 Chesterfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,479 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 52780 S Zacharias Ct Unit 152 Chesterfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,499 | $1.42 | 1d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 52792 S Zacharias Ct Unit 151 Chesterfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,479 | $1.40 | 1d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 29638 Danbury Ct Unit 240 New Baltimore, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,749 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 52758 S Yorktown Ct Unit 176 New Baltimore, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,449 | $1.51 | 1d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 29652 Cambridge Ct Unit 253 New Baltimore, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,729 | $1.03 | 1d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 29649 Cambridge Ct Unit 256 New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,579 | $1.37 | 1d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 52871 N Zacharias Ct Unit 161 Chesterfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,519 | $1.32 | 1d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 52167 Williamsburg Ln Unit 355 New Baltimore, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,739 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 52705 Van Buren Dr Unit 297 Chesterfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,479 | $1.40 | 1d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 52962 N Yorktown Ct Unit 168 Chesterfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,519 | $1.44 | 1d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 29890 Donna Ln New Baltimore, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 1d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 28346 Adler Park Dr S #246 Chesterfield, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,750 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 28218 S Pointe Ln New Baltimore, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $1,850 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 28218 S Pointe Ln New Baltimore, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $2,100 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 51602 Stern Ln New Baltimore, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $1,775 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 51596 Stern Ln New Baltimore, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,790 | $1.15 | 17d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 51590 Stern Ln New Baltimore, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $1,535 | $0.98 | 2d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 50450 Bay Run N #50 Chesterfield, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 28220 Delano Dr New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,895 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 28260 Delano Dr New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 50031 S Benny Ct New Baltimore, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,450 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $82,900 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $82,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $82,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $82,900 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,900 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $82,900 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,900 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $82,900 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $82,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $82,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $82,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $82,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $82,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2025-10-31$82,900 Active 1358-char remark
Show marketing remark (1358 chars)
Fresh season, fresh start, limited time offer, application fees waived, 3 bed, 2 bath available now Brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering 1440 sq ft of open living space with modern finishes and immediate availability. Located on a large corner site, this home provides added space and privacy. A large front porch creates a welcoming entrance and a comfortable outdoor space. The home also includes a private driveway and an on site shed for added convenience. Inside, the open concept layout is filled with natural light and features plush carpeting along with durable wood look flooring. The kitchen flows directly into the living and dining areas, creating a functional space for everyday living and entertaining. All bedrooms are generously sized, offering flexibility for a variety of uses. The primary bedroom includes a private bathroom with modern fixtures and a well designed layout. Both bathrooms include full tub and shower combinations, updated vanities, and clean contemporary finishes. Storage is well planned throughout the home for added functionality. Immediate occupancy available, homes like this do not remain available for long. Contact the community to schedule a tour. Photographs may be digitally staged for illustration purposes. Actual property may vary. Prospective residents should verify all information independently.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,445
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,644
- − Property taxes
- −$1,244
- − Insurance
- −$414
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,556
- − Management
- −$1,556
- − Depreciation
- −$2,412
- Taxable income
- $7,620
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,829
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,658/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with modern finishes and immediate availability. It has a good condition score of 80 and is ready for a fresh coat of paint and carpet replacement to further enhance its appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a home more appealing
- Resale Replace carpet in living areas — Carpet can be outdated and should be replaced
- Rental Clean and maintain HVAC system — A clean and functioning HVAC system is essential for tenants
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a home more appealing ↑
- Resale Replace carpet in living areas — Carpet can be outdated and should be replaced ↑
- Rental Clean and maintain HVAC system — A clean and functioning HVAC system is essential for tenants ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- L'Anse Creuse Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2621870
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,757
- Composite
- 35.99/100
- National rank
- #4790
- State rank
- #184 of 540 in MI
Livability — Chesterfield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 40,302
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,716
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 18% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.06%
- Current HPI
- 210.6017
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-10-31 Listed $82,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…