551 Barb Ann Ln · River Park, FL 34952

$157,378

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,012 sqft · Manufactured public records · 125 Days on market

Built 1988 1,498 sqft lot $210/mo HOA · 11% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.7/30.0
• 1% rule +7.6/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.3/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Don't let this one get away! This is a very well maintained 2/2 that is fully furnished and move in ready. Updated in 2022 to included new counter tops-kitchen and bath, vinyl windows all around with storm protection panels, new flooring throughout, completely updated En Suite with walk in shower and tile back splash. There is also a new metal roof, gutters and hot water heater, AC is only 6 years old. La Buona Vita is A Beautiful 55+ Community located in desirable Port St Lucie. close to Shopping, restaurants, Civic Center, Medical facilities and more. This home Includes the "Land Share" which means Zero Lot Rent! Amenities include a clubhouse with game room, kitchen, library, co

Key facts

• Vinyl windows
• Updated en suite
• New counter tops

Tags

• UPDATED IN 2022
• NEW COUNTER TOPS
• VINYL WINDOWS
• STORM PROTECTION PANELS
• NEW FLOORING
• UPDATED EN SUITE

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Annual tax information available
• Financial info: Pet restrictions
• HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $210 monthly fee; HOA fee includes cable TV, internet, and trash; Senior community

Exterior

• Parking: 1 parking space; 1 covered parking space
• Utilities: Electricity connected
• Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Vinyl siding
• Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Community pool; Community clubhouse with kitchen facilities; Billiard room; Library; Shuffleboard; Non-gated community; Property manager on-site

Interior

• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Furnished

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $157k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $157k).
• Recommended offer: $138k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.3% in River Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#451 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
• St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $138,492 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.26% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.37%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.41%
• DSCR: 1.33
• GRM: 6.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $82,984
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
8471 Florence Dr	0.13mi	2/2.0	966 (-4%)	6mo	$110,000	$114	81
541 Natalie Dr	0.15mi	2/2.0	1,032 (+2%)	22mo	$85,000	$82	72
12 Nuestra Calle Ln	0.66mi	2/2.0	984 (-3%)	6mo	$26,000	$26	60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.77×
• Total profit: $-10,145
• Equity at exit: $23,466

10-year hold

• IRR: 1.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.13×
• Total profit: $5,554
• Equity at exit: $13,607

Cash invested: $44,066 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34952

• Home prices YoY: -29.6%
• Rents YoY: 1.9%
• Active inventory: 639
• Price-to-rent: 6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,987 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$825
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$197 /mo · $2,361/yr
• Insurance: −$66
• HOA: −$210
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$417
• Net cashflow: $272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,643

Max offer price $157,378

Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $39,344
• Closing costs: $4,721
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 9 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	995	$1,764	$1.77	14d	15	0.72mi
730 SE White Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1386	$10,000	$7.22	23d	1	0.87mi
991 SE Walters Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1040	$8,500	$8.17	23d	1	0.98mi
650 SE Evergreen Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	974	$2,095	$2.15	14d	1	1.05mi
1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1013	$2,055	$2.03	14d	7	1.17mi
1455 SE Colchester Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	921	$1,795	$1.95	14d	1	1.28mi
71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1417	$1,700	$1.20	23d	1	1.38mi
124 E Arbor Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL	3.0	1.0	964	$2,550	$2.65	14d	1	1.45mi
7700 Pine Lakes Blvd Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1022	$1,878	$1.84	14d	16	1.49mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $210 · $2,520/yr
• Likely covers: water

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $157,378 Active 125 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $157,378 Active 124 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $157,378 Active 123 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $157,378 Active 122 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $157,378 Active 120 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $157,378 Active 119 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $157,378 Active 117 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $157,378 Active 116 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $157,378 Active 115 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $157,378 Active 114 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $157,378 Active 111 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $157,378 Active 110 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $157,378 Active 109 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $157,378 Active 108 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $164,500 Active 107 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $164,500 Active 106 DOM
17. 2026-04-26
    status Active
18. 2026-04-16
    historical Active Under Contract
19. 2026-04-16
    status Active
20. 2026-03-26
    status Pending
21. 2026-01-23
    listed $164,500 Active
22. 2001-06-01
    soldstatus $4,450,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,844
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,816
• − Property taxes: −$2,361
• − Insurance: −$787
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,908
• − Management: −$1,908
• − HOA: −$2,520
• − Depreciation: −$4,578
• Taxable income: $968
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$232
• After-tax cash flow: $3,034/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: St. Lucie
• NCES district ID: 1201770
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $44,737
• Composite: 37.28/100
• National rank: #4449
• State rank: #51 of 73 in FL

Livability — River Park

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #451
• US rank: #8159

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: River Park, FL
• County: Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
• Metro: Port St. Lucie, FL
• Population (ZIP): 42,655
• Household income: $61,628
• Rent vs Own: 25.8% rent · 74.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1759.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 338,016 people
• By 2030: 355,687 · +5.2%
• By 2040: 385,521 · +14.1%
• By 2050: 406,106 · +20.1%
• By 2075: 441,054 · +30.5%
• By 2100: 436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -155.80%
• Current HPI: 371.0573
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.92%
• Metro: Port St. Lucie, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-96.3% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-26 Relisted — MCRTC
• 2026-04-16 Contingent — MCRTC
• 2026-04-16 Relisted — MCRTC
• 2026-03-26 Pending — MCRTC
• 2026-01-23 Listed $164,500 MCRTC
• 2001-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $4,450,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $109 · +12.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.