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3219 N 12th St
D Composite 41.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0

$269,900

3219 N 12th St · Tampa, FL 33605
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,053 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1949 4,935 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special! Nicely laid out 2 bed 1 bath house in Ybor! Large corner lot with a detached 1 car garage. Opportunity to expand the home to a 2 bed 2 bath if done correctly or possibly a 2/2 with garage conversion to 1/1 if possible with city, buyer to perform any due diligence. Cash or conventional only.

Key facts

  • Screened in porch
  • Natural light
  • Granite countertops

Tags

CORNER LOTNATURAL LIGHTSCREENED IN PORCHGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSOLID BLOCK CONSTRUCTIONDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential, Single Family Residence; Unfurnished; Direction faces: West
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions not indicated
  • HOA & community: No HOA association indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: One-car garage (12 x 24)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces west; Residential zoning (RS-50)
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built area ~1,214 square feet
  • Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Lot approximately 0.11 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile; Crawlspace foundation (utility access)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Solid surface counters; Stone counters; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-335 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (21.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (32.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (32.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 187 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,829/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1374% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $173k; list at $270k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,886 (32.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.80%
Cash-on-cash
-5.32%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$121,275
Equity at exit
$243,147
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
5.84×
Total profit
$365,894
Equity at exit
$524,356

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33605

Home prices YoY
3.7%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,829 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$252 /mo · $3,025/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$-335

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,253
Max offer price $210,693
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-182 -5% $-259 +0% $-335 +5% $-412 +10% $-488
Rent -10% $-480 -5% $-407 +0% $-335 +5% $-263 +10% $-191
Rate -1.0pp $-199 -0.5pp $-267 base $-335 +0.5pp $-405 +1.0pp $-476

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1212 E 25th Ave Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 1035 $1,490 $1.44 20d 1 0.06mi
1006 E 26th Ave Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,630 $1.63 5d 1 0.15mi
1003 E 22nd Ave Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 1062 $1,639 $1.54 5d 1 0.17mi
1302 E 21st Ave Tampa, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $1,408 $1.76 0d 8 0.17mi
3411 N 13th St Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 978 $1,895 $1.94 25d 1 0.19mi
1105 E 28th Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 1.0 744 $1,525 $2.05 5d 1 0.20mi
912 E Saint Clair St Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 25d 1 0.26mi
3511 Cone Ct Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1256 $2,200 $1.75 5d 1 0.28mi
3021 Sanchez St Tampa, FL 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,195 $1.69 25d 1 0.31mi
1211 E 18th Ave Unit 2 Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 725 $1,800 $2.48 18d 1 0.33mi
3005 Sanchez St Unit 5 Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,050 $1.40 3d 1 0.33mi
3005 Sanchez St Unit 5 Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,050 $1.40 0d 1 0.33mi
3519 N 10th St Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 18d 1 0.34mi
2907 N 15th St Unit D Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 888 $1,850 $2.08 5d 1 0.37mi
709 E James St Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $1,695 $2.21 13d 1 0.40mi
809 E Baker St Unit A Tampa, FL 3.0 1.0 1083 $2,200 $2.03 25d 1 0.44mi
1305 E Louise Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1384 $2,700 $1.95 25d 1 0.44mi
2810 N 16th St Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 1066 $2,550 $2.39 13d 1 0.44mi
1221 E Columbus Dr Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,499 $1.50 25d 1 0.44mi
1003 E Columbus Dr Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 1160 $1,795 $1.55 2d 1 0.45mi
1301 E Columbus Dr Unit 1 Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,995 $2.66 25d 1 0.45mi
1605 E 29th Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 1.0 870 $1,800 $2.07 21d 1 0.47mi
1607 E 18th Ave Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 869 $2,600 $2.99 13d 1 0.49mi
1003 E 15th Ave Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,275 $1.70 25d 1 0.49mi
1515 E 31st Ave Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 914 $1,500 $1.64 5d 1 0.49mi
2909 N 17th St Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,350 $1.80 22d 1 0.50mi
411 E Adalee St Tampa, FL 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,500 $2.08 25d 1 0.56mi
1807 E 20th Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1131 $2,900 $2.56 25d 1 0.57mi
1504 E 33rd Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1108 $2,900 $2.62 25d 1 0.60mi
1716 E Columbus Dr Unit A Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 924 $1,800 $1.95 25d 1 0.61mi
503 E Columbus Dr Unit 1 Tampa, FL 2.0 1.5 1000 $2,400 $2.40 25d 1 0.65mi
311 E Floribraska Ave Unit A Tampa, FL 2.0 2.0 800 $2,250 $2.81 18d 1 0.68mi
933 E 11th Ave Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 904 $1,590 $1.76 25d 1 0.68mi
418 E Amelia Ave Unit G Tampa, FL 2.0 2.0 750 $1,600 $2.13 12d 1 0.71mi
418 E Amelia Ave Unit C Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,500 $2.14 25d 1 0.71mi
418 E Amelia Ave Unit A Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,800 $1.71 25d 1 0.71mi
418 E Amelia Ave Unit D Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 12d 1 0.72mi
2108 E 22nd Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 3.0 1308 $2,100 $1.61 5d 1 0.72mi
2108 E 22nd Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 3.0 1308 $2,100 $1.61 4d 1 0.72mi
4207 N 13th St Unit A Tampa, FL 2.0 2.0 832 $2,150 $2.58 25d 1 0.77mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    listed $269,900 Active 1309-char remark
  2. 2021-11-19
    soldstatus $173,000 Closed 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Investor special! Nicely laid out 2 bed 1 bath house in Ybor! Large corner lot with a detached 1 car garage. Opportunity to expand the home to a 2 bed 2 bath if done correctly or possibly a 2/2 with garage conversion to 1/1 if possible with city, buyer to perform any due diligence. Cash or conventional only.

  3. 2021-10-29
    status Pending 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Investor special! Nicely laid out 2 bed 1 bath house in Ybor! Large corner lot with a detached 1 car garage. Opportunity to expand the home to a 2 bed 2 bath if done correctly or possibly a 2/2 with garage conversion to 1/1 if possible with city, buyer to perform any due diligence. Cash or conventional only.

  4. 2021-10-26
    listed $190,000 Active 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Investor special! Nicely laid out 2 bed 1 bath house in Ybor! Large corner lot with a detached 1 car garage. Opportunity to expand the home to a 2 bed 2 bath if done correctly or possibly a 2/2 with garage conversion to 1/1 if possible with city, buyer to perform any due diligence. Cash or conventional only.

  5. 2010-11-22
    soldstatus $35,500
    Show marketing remark (361 chars)

    OWNER says SELL. .. HUGE PRICE CUT. .. this cute as can be, 2/1 cottage is move in ready. Situated on a large corner lot, the property has undergone a lot of renovations. 2 large bedrooms, large liviing/dining room combination, and huge kitchen. The property sits on a large corner lot witha detached 1 car garage. There is also a large screened in front porch.

  6. 2010-05-21
    listed $39,500
    Show marketing remark (361 chars)

    OWNER says SELL. .. HUGE PRICE CUT. .. this cute as can be, 2/1 cottage is move in ready. Situated on a large corner lot, the property has undergone a lot of renovations. 2 large bedrooms, large liviing/dining room combination, and huge kitchen. The property sits on a large corner lot witha detached 1 car garage. There is also a large screened in front porch.

  7. 2008-03-10
    listed $169,900
  8. 2005-07-14
    soldstatus $133,000
  9. 2005-05-20
    historical
  10. 2005-04-15
    listed $133,500
  11. 1999-04-07
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,025 · $252/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,025 · $252/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,946
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$3,025
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,756
− Management
−$1,756
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$8,910
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,138
After-tax cash flow
$-1,883/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tampa

Score
79/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2135

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tampa, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
523,346
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
16,030
Household income
$36,975
Rent vs Own
59.8% rent · 40.2% own
Severe rent burden
1374.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 18% White 17% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.43%
Current HPI
494.1871
Rent YoY
▲ 0.58%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+499.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $269,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-19 Sold (MLS) $173,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-29 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-26 Listed $190,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-22 Sold (MLS) $35,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-05-21 Listed $39,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-10 Listed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $133,000 Public Records
  • 2005-05-20 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-04-15 Listed $133,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+32.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,025 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…