133 John Edward Lane Ln · Elkview, WV 25071

$149,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,506 sqft · Manufactured · 3 Days on market

Built 2003 0.25 ac lot Est $130k · 16% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.9/30.0
• DSCR +4.9/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• 1% rule +3.1/10.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.4/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Available just in time for summer! This move in ready home will impress from the minute you walk in the door and are greeted by a beautiful stone fireplace. Then continue into the upgraded kitchen with tons of cabinet and counter space, fully equipped with stainless steel appliances. The primary bedroom has an updated large on suite bathroom featuring double sinks and a spacious tiled shower. Outside you will find a covered front porch to relax on and out back a pool with ample deck space to accommodate guests. Good sized storage building with electric.

Key facts

• Double sinks
• Upgraded kitchen
• On suite bathroom

Tags

• STONE FIREPLACE
• UPGRADED KITCHEN
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• ON SUITE BATHROOM
• DOUBLE SINKS
• TILED SHOWER

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
• Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
• Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Outdoor pool; Storage; Wooded lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 8 total rooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Wood stove
• Interior features: Dishwasher; Gas Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Storage

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($189/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (18.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $122k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#120 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Clendenin Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #130 of 377 statewide, top 39%, 300 students, 0% FRL); Elkview Middle School (math 26% / reading 42%, grade F, #36 of 109 statewide, top 35%, 613 students, 0% FRL); Herbert Hoover High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #7 of 110 statewide, top 6%, 789 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $55k; list at $150k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $122,058 (18.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.81% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.86%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.04%
• DSCR: 1.09
• GRM: 10.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $129,516
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
551 Youngs Bottom Rd	0.30mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,512 (+0%)	21mo	$130,000	$86	63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.44×
• Total profit: $-23,321
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: -7.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.54×
• Total profit: $-19,158
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State West Virginia: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 25071

• Home prices YoY: -27.1%
• Active inventory: 38
• Price-to-rent: 10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,221 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$44 /mo · $533/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$56 /mo · $666/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$256
• Net cashflow: $16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,201

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-09
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-05
   listed $149,900 Active
3. 2014-03-31
   soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $533 · $44/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $884 · $74/mo
• Expected delta: +$352/yr (+$29/mo · 66.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,647
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$533
• − Insurance: −$1,416
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,172
• − Management: −$1,172
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable loss: −$2,403
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$577
• After-tax cash flow: $766/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Kanawha County Schools
• NCES district ID: 5400600
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $44,329
• Composite: 29.35/100
• National rank: #6540
• State rank: #17 of 55 in WV

Livability — Elkview

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #120
• US rank: #12575

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 11,243

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 178,946 people
• By 2030: 172,906 · -3.4%
• By 2040: 159,874 · -10.7%
• By 2050: 148,148 · -17.2%
• By 2075: 123,257 · -31.1%
• By 2100: 96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (96%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 96% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

• 2024 margin: R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -69.64%
• Current HPI: 187.2213
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+172.5% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-09 Pending — KVBOR
• 2026-05-05 Listed $149,900 KVBOR
• 2014-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $533 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.