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927 S 23rd St
D+ Composite 48.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

927 S 23rd St · Manitowoc, WI 54220
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,529 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1920 5,502 sqft lot Est $222k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious 4 bed, 2 bath property located in Manitowoc offering flexibility and plenty of potential. Currently being used as a single family home, this property can be converted back into an upper/lower duplex, with each unit featuring 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The home offers generous living space throughout, making it a great option for an owner occupant, investor, or anyone looking for a property with future income potential. Enjoy a large backyard with room to relax, garden, entertain, or create your ideal outdoor setup. A 2 stall detached garage provides convenient parking and additional storage. Bring your ideas and make the most of this versatile property. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Upper lower duplex
  • Large backyard
  • Detached garage

Tags

UPPER LOWER DUPLEXLARGE BACKYARDDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two-unit building (each unit ~851 sq ft)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas
  • Home design: Multi-family property; 2-story / bi-level configuration; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Information source for year built: Assessor/Public Record
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Unit 2 kitchen ~12 x 12; Includes oven/range
  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms (master ~14 x 11, second ~12 x 8)
  • Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 full bathroom; Unit 2: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Natural gas heat fuel
  • Interior features: Full stone basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($252/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (8.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (8.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.7% in Manitowoc — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#56 in WI, #1,555 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F.
  • Manitowoc School District (town): math 23% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #304 of 342 in WI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 100 units permitted in Manitowoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manitowoc County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,839 (8.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.69%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$221,705
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1013 S 22nd St 0.12mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,523 (-0%) 4mo $250,000 $164 84
1110 S 24th St 0.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,528 (-0%) 8mo $195,000 $128 78
2111 Hamilton St 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,473 (-4%) 1mo $175,000 $119 73
1223 S 25th St 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,443 (-6%) 5mo $231,000 $160 69
519 Riverview Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,520 (-1%) 2mo $255,000 $168 69
1122 S 22nd St 0.24mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,387 (-9%) 2mo $190,000 $137 63
2315 Clark St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,365 (-11%) 3mo $103,000 $75 63
1030 S 21st St 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,728 (+13%) 5mo $200,000 $116 61
1144 S 25th St 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,391 (-9%) 1mo $202,100 $145 60
1409 S 26th St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,684 (+10%) 0mo $255,000 $151 50
625 S 27th St 0.39mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,307 (-14%) 2mo $202,000 $155 48
1503 S 25th St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,651 (+8%) 2mo $225,000 $136 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-19,683
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-15,297
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54220

Home prices YoY
-25.5%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,188 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$183 /mo · $2,190/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$21

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,162
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $95 -5% $58 +0% $21 +5% $-16 +10% $-53
Rent -10% $-73 -5% $-26 +0% $21 +5% $68 +10% $115
Rate -1.0pp $86 -0.5pp $54 base $21 +0.5pp $-13 +1.0pp $-47

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $129,900 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-19
    listed $129,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,190 · $183/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,297 · $191/mo
Expected delta
+$106/yr (+$9/mo · 4.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,261
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$2,190
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,141
− Management
−$1,141
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$1,916
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$460
After-tax cash flow
$712/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manitowoc School District
NCES district ID
5508610
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$44,540
Composite
22.76/100
National rank
#8029
State rank
#304 of 342 in WI

Livability — Manitowoc

Score
81/100
State rank
#56
US rank
#1555

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Manitowoc, WI
County
Manitowoc County · 55,069 people
City population
40,949
Metro
Manitowoc, WI
Population (ZIP)
40,949
Household income
$66,035
Rent vs Own
28.5% rent · 71.5% own
Severe rent burden
825.0

Population outlook (Manitowoc County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,561 people
By 2030
74,096 · -3.2%
By 2040
67,752 · -11.5%
By 2050
60,731 · -20.7%
By 2075
48,723 · -36.4%
By 2100
39,250 · -48.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 6% Portuguese 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manitowoc

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.4) · D 37.6% · R 61.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-30.9pp toward R · 2008: 7.5pp · 2024: -23.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.4 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+2.8 2008: D+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.08%
Current HPI
256.8561
Rent YoY
Metro
Manitowoc, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $129,900 RANW

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,190 · +74.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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