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782 Stanley Ave
D+ Composite 47.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.2/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

782 Stanley Ave · Pontiac, MI 48340
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 972 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1920 0.28 ac lot $118/sqft · 9% below area Est $95k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you'll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1920

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.4% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Alcott School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 180 students, 86% FRL); Pontiac Middle School (math 8% / reading 23%, grade F, #450 of 493 statewide, top 91%, 729 students, 81% FRL); Pontiac High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #622 of 713 statewide, top 88%, 935 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools at 81% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $115k implies a 1050% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $111,550 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.68%
Cash-on-cash
8.54%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,547
List price
$115,000
Delta
21.63%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
753 Stanley Ave 0.07mi 3/1.0 995 (+2%) 2mo $153,000 $154 91
731 Stanley Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 981 (+1%) 3mo $155,000 $158 90
138 Lakeside St 0.13mi 3/1.0 951 (-2%) 1mo $109,900 $116 89
774 Corwin Ct 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+3%) 1mo $113,000 $113 85
152 W Mansfield Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 971 (-0%) 2mo $143,000 $147 80
1072 Cloverlawn Dr 0.59mi 3/1.0 958 (-1%) 1mo $150,000 $157 69
173 High St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 861 (-11%) 1mo $155,000 $180 61
141 W Cornell Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 888 (-9%) 2mo $130,000 $146 59
42 Pingree Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 945 (-3%) 4mo $61,500 $65 57
195 W Strathmore Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 934 (-4%) 1mo $159,000 $170 56
146 W Beverly Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+13%) 1mo $132,500 $120 54
184 W Strathmore Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 888 (-9%) 3mo $105,000 $118 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-1,981
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$25,843
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48340

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,186 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $681/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$229

Break-even live

Break-even rent $896
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $294 -5% $262 +0% $229 +5% $197 +10% $164
Rent -10% $135 -5% $182 +0% $229 +5% $276 +10% $323
Rate -1.0pp $287 -0.5pp $258 base $229 +0.5pp $199 +1.0pp $169

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
105 S Merrimac St Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 625 $825 $1.32 23d 1 0.26mi
195 W Kennett Rd Unit 202 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $875 $0.92 45d 1 0.29mi
191 W Kennett Rd Unit 304 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $875 $1.03 45d 1 0.30mi
76 N Merrimac St Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 633 $1,450 $2.29 45d 1 0.32mi
126 W Cornell Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 891 $1,325 $1.49 45d 1 0.52mi
126 W Cornell Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 891 $1,125 $1.26 23d 1 0.52mi
85 E Beverly Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 6d 1 0.74mi
65 Whitfield St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,175 $1.27 45d 1 1.00mi
370 W Hopkins Ave Pontiac, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 45d 39 1.07mi
136 W Princeton Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,395 $1.33 21d 1 1.09mi
97 Fairgrove St Apt 2 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 6d 1 1.38mi
38 Spokane Dr Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 45d 1 1.38mi
152 Washington St Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $775 $1.19 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 856-char remark
    Show marketing remark (862 chars)

    2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you’ll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.

  2. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 862-char remark
    Show marketing remark (862 chars)

    2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you’ll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.

  3. 2026-04-09
    price $115,000 856-char remark
    Show marketing remark (862 chars)

    2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you’ll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.

  4. 2026-04-09
    price $115,000 862-char remark
    Show marketing remark (862 chars)

    2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you’ll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.

  5. 2026-03-27
    listed $125,000 Active 856-char remark
    Show marketing remark (862 chars)

    2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you’ll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.

  6. 2026-03-27
    listed $125,000 Active 862-char remark
    Show marketing remark (862 chars)

    2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you’ll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.

  7. 2026-03-24
    historical $125,000 856-char remark
    Show marketing remark (856 chars)

    2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you'll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.

  8. 2008-12-08
    soldstatus $10,000
  9. 2008-12-08
    soldstatus $10,000
  10. 2008-10-08
    historical
  11. 2008-07-04
    listed $13,500
  12. 2008-07-04
    listed $13,500
  13. 1991-10-17
    soldstatus $38,000
  14. 1973-06-26
    soldstatus $15,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$681 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,226 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$545/yr (+$45/mo · 80.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,230
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$681
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,138
− Management
−$1,138
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$910
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$218
After-tax cash flow
$2,531/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pontiac City School District
NCES district ID
2628740
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$33,888
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9802
State rank
#514 of 540 in MI

Livability — Pontiac

Score
64/100
State rank
#499
US rank
#14703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pontiac, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
44,593
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,669
Household income
$47,891
Rent vs Own
54.3% rent · 45.7% own
Severe rent burden
1460.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 29% Two or more races 22% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -295.80%
Current HPI
177.961
Rent YoY
▲ 4.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+651.6% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-24 Coming Soon $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-12-08 Sold (MLS) $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-12-08 Sold (MLS) $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-10-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-07-04 Listed $13,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-07-04 Listed $13,500 REALCOMP
  • 1991-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 1973-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $15,300 Public Records

Property tax history

-7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $681 · -11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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