782 Stanley Ave · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you'll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.4% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
- Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Alcott School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 180 students, 86% FRL); Pontiac Middle School (math 8% / reading 23%, grade F, #450 of 493 statewide, top 91%, 729 students, 81% FRL); Pontiac High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #622 of 713 statewide, top 88%, 935 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools at 81% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $115k implies a 1050% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.54%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,547
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- 21.63%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 753 Stanley Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 995 (+2%) | 2mo | $153,000 | $154 | 91 |
| 731 Stanley Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 981 (+1%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $158 | 90 |
| 138 Lakeside St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 951 (-2%) | 1mo | $109,900 | $116 | 89 |
| 774 Corwin Ct | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+3%) | 1mo | $113,000 | $113 | 85 |
| 152 W Mansfield Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 971 (-0%) | 2mo | $143,000 | $147 | 80 |
| 1072 Cloverlawn Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 958 (-1%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $157 | 69 |
| 173 High St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 861 (-11%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $180 | 61 |
| 141 W Cornell Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 888 (-9%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $146 | 59 |
| 42 Pingree Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 945 (-3%) | 4mo | $61,500 | $65 | 57 |
| 195 W Strathmore Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 934 (-4%) | 1mo | $159,000 | $170 | 56 |
| 146 W Beverly Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+13%) | 1mo | $132,500 | $120 | 54 |
| 184 W Strathmore Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 888 (-9%) | 3mo | $105,000 | $118 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,981
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $25,843
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48340
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,186 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $681/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $229
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $294 | -5% $262 | +0% $229 | +5% $197 | +10% $164 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $135 | -5% $182 | +0% $229 | +5% $276 | +10% $323 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $287 | -0.5pp $258 | base $229 | +0.5pp $199 | +1.0pp $169 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 S Merrimac St Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $825 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 195 W Kennett Rd Unit 202 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $875 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 191 W Kennett Rd Unit 304 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $875 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 76 N Merrimac St Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $1,450 | $2.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 126 W Cornell Ave Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,325 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 126 W Cornell Ave Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,125 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 85 E Beverly Ave Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 6d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 65 Whitfield St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,175 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 370 W Hopkins Ave Pontiac, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 45d | 39 | 1.07mi |
| 136 W Princeton Ave Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,395 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 97 Fairgrove St Apt 2 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 6d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 38 Spokane Dr Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 152 Washington St Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $775 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you’ll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.
-
2026-05-11status Pending 862-char remark
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you’ll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.
-
2026-04-09price $115,000 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you’ll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.
-
2026-04-09price $115,000 862-char remark
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you’ll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.
-
2026-03-27$125,000 Active 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you’ll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.
-
2026-03-27$125,000 Active 862-char remark
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you’ll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.
-
2026-03-24historical $125,000 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (856 chars)
2-bedroom, 1-bath home on a corner lot in Pontiac with two driveways offering added convenience and flexibility for parking or guests. Inside, you'll find a combined kitchen, living, and laundry space with a layout that keeps everything easily accessible and functional. A standout feature is the large handicap-accessible deck, creating a great space to enjoy the outdoors or extend your living area in warmer months. The detached 2-car garage offers more than just parking, complete with a built-in workspace and cabinets, plus two additional sheds for extra storage. Major updates include a furnace approximately 4 years old and a roof estimated at 8 years. Washer and dryer are not included. With its layout, storage, and outdoor space, this property offers a great starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Agent is related to the seller.
-
2008-12-08soldstatus $10,000
-
2008-12-08soldstatus $10,000
-
2008-10-08historical
-
2008-07-04$13,500
-
2008-07-04$13,500
-
1991-10-17soldstatus $38,000
-
1973-06-26soldstatus $15,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $681 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,226 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$545/yr (+$45/mo · 80.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,230
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$681
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,138
- − Management
- −$1,138
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $910
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$218
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,531/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pontiac City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628740
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,888
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9802
- State rank
- #514 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pontiac, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 44,593
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,669
- Household income
- $47,891
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1460.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 29% Two or more races 22% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -295.80%
- Current HPI
- 177.961
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.73%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+651.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-24 Coming Soon $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-12-08 Sold (MLS) $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-12-08 Sold (MLS) $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-10-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-07-04 Listed $13,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-07-04 Listed $13,500 REALCOMP
- 1991-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 1973-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $15,300 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $681 · -11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…