42 Cypress Ln · Freeport, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, nestled on a generously sized lot 1,1 ac. Step into a spacious living room complete with a cozy fireplace- perfect for relaxing evenings. The open dining area flows into a well appointed kitchen with a breakfast nook ideal for casual meals. Enjoy outdoor living at its finest with a large, covered front porch- great for morning coffee- and a spacious open deck in the back for entertaining family and friends. Move in ready and conveniently located!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Spacious open deck
- Cozy fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Subdivision: MAGNOLIA LANDING
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway access (county/paved road frontage)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available; Phone service available
- Home design: Mobile home; Single-story; Built in 2003
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composite shingle roof
- Exterior features: Open deck; Porch (covered porch listed); Interior lot; Paved county road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Range hood; Refrigerator; Pantry
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Master bedroom with tile shower and double vanity
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with shower and tile
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans; Electric heat control
- Interior features: Fireplace; Recently painted; Pantry; Washer/dryer hookup; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included (washer, dryer listed); Washer/dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (9.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.0% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#520 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Freeport Elementary School (math 50% / reading 57%, grade C, #949 of 2,144 statewide, top 45%, 1,123 students, 55% FRL); Emerald Coast Middle School (math 70% / reading 65%, grade A-, #77 of 571 statewide, top 14%, 868 students, 24% FRL); Freeport Senior High School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #138 of 667 statewide, top 21%, 557 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 1020 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $125k; list at $240k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.20%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.4% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-23,957
- Equity at exit
- $35,859
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-11,102
- Equity at exit
- $20,794
Cash invested: $67,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32439
- Home prices YoY
- -4.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 1020
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,177 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,261
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $805/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $292
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $428 | -5% $360 | +0% $292 | +5% $224 | +10% $156 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $120 | -5% $206 | +0% $292 | +5% $378 | +10% $464 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $413 | -0.5pp $353 | base $292 | +0.5pp $229 | +1.0pp $166 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,125
- Closing costs
- $7,215
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $240,500 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,500 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,500 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,500 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,500 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $240,500 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,500 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $240,500 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,500 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,500 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,500 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $240,500 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,500 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,500 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,500 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,500 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $240,500 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-03-05status Active
-
2025-10-12price $240,500
-
2025-08-07$245,500 Active
-
2021-08-24soldstatus $125,000
-
2003-07-02soldstatus $86,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $805 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,996 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,191/yr (+$99/mo · 147.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,129
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,472
- − Property taxes
- −$805
- − Insurance
- −$1,202
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,090
- − Management
- −$2,090
- − Depreciation
- −$6,996
- Taxable loss
- −$527
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$127
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,626/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walton
- NCES district ID
- 1201980
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,794
- Composite
- 52.03/100
- National rank
- #1634
- State rank
- #10 of 73 in FL
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #520
- US rank
- #9579
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, FL
- County
- Walton County · 70,839 people
- City population
- 15,328
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,328
- Household income
- $83,227
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 172.0
Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,014 people
- By 2030
- 88,120 · +10.1%
- By 2040
- 103,537 · +29.4%
- By 2050
- 117,034 · +46.3%
- By 2075
- 143,901 · +79.8%
- By 2100
- 155,138 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Native American 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.18%
- Current HPI
- 350.4692
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.40%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+177.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Relisted — ECAR
- 2025-10-12 Price Changed $240,500 ECAR
- 2025-08-07 Listed $245,500 ECAR
- 2021-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2003-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $86,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $805 · -6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…