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42 Cypress Ln
C- Composite 51.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,500

42 Cypress Ln · Freeport, FL 32439
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 318 Days on market
Built 2003 1.19 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, nestled on a generously sized lot 1,1 ac. Step into a spacious living room complete with a cozy fireplace- perfect for relaxing evenings. The open dining area flows into a well appointed kitchen with a breakfast nook ideal for casual meals. Enjoy outdoor living at its finest with a large, covered front porch- great for morning coffee- and a spacious open deck in the back for entertaining family and friends. Move in ready and conveniently located!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Spacious open deck
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

COZY FIREPLACECOVERED FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS OPEN DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Subdivision: MAGNOLIA LANDING

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway access (county/paved road frontage)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available; Phone service available
  • Home design: Mobile home; Single-story; Built in 2003
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composite shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Open deck; Porch (covered porch listed); Interior lot; Paved county road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Range hood; Refrigerator; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Master bedroom with tile shower and double vanity
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with shower and tile
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans; Electric heat control
  • Interior features: Fireplace; Recently painted; Pantry; Washer/dryer hookup; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included (washer, dryer listed); Washer/dryer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (9.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.0% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#520 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Freeport Elementary School (math 50% / reading 57%, grade C, #949 of 2,144 statewide, top 45%, 1,123 students, 55% FRL); Emerald Coast Middle School (math 70% / reading 65%, grade A-, #77 of 571 statewide, top 14%, 868 students, 24% FRL); Freeport Senior High School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #138 of 667 statewide, top 21%, 557 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 1020 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $125k; list at $240k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $211,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.75%
Cash-on-cash
5.20%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.4% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-23,957
Equity at exit
$35,859
10-year hold
IRR
-2.6%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-11,102
Equity at exit
$20,794

Cash invested: $67,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32439

Home prices YoY
-4.2%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
1020
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,177 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,261
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $805/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$457
Net cashflow
$292

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,808
Max offer price $240,500
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $428 -5% $360 +0% $292 +5% $224 +10% $156
Rent -10% $120 -5% $206 +0% $292 +5% $378 +10% $464
Rate -1.0pp $413 -0.5pp $353 base $292 +0.5pp $229 +1.0pp $166

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,125
Closing costs
$7,215
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $240,500 Active 318 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,500 Active 315 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,500 Active 314 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,500 Active 313 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,500 Active 312 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $240,500 Active 310 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,500 Active 309 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $240,500 Active 307 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,500 Active 306 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,500 Active 305 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,500 Active 304 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $240,500 Active 301 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,500 Active 300 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,500 Active 299 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,500 Active 298 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,500 Active 297 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $240,500 Active 296 DOM
  18. 2026-03-05
    status Active
  19. 2025-10-12
    price $240,500
  20. 2025-08-07
    listed $245,500 Active
  21. 2021-08-24
    soldstatus $125,000
  22. 2003-07-02
    soldstatus $86,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$805 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,996 · $166/mo
Expected delta
+$1,191/yr (+$99/mo · 147.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,129
− Mortgage interest
−$13,472
− Property taxes
−$805
− Insurance
−$1,202
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,090
− Management
−$2,090
− Depreciation
−$6,996
Taxable loss
−$527
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$127
After-tax cash flow
$3,626/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walton
NCES district ID
1201980
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,794
Composite
52.03/100
National rank
#1634
State rank
#10 of 73 in FL

Livability — Freeport

Score
68/100
State rank
#520
US rank
#9579

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Freeport, FL
County
Walton County · 70,839 people
City population
15,328
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
15,328
Household income
$83,227
Rent vs Own
19.9% rent · 80.1% own
Severe rent burden
172.0

Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,014 people
By 2030
88,120 · +10.1%
By 2040
103,537 · +29.4%
By 2050
117,034 · +46.3%
By 2075
143,901 · +79.8%
By 2100
155,138 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Native American 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walton

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
2008→2024 swing
-12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.18%
Current HPI
350.4692
Rent YoY
▲ 1.40%
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+177.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Relisted ECAR
  • 2025-10-12 Price Changed $240,500 ECAR
  • 2025-08-07 Listed $245,500 ECAR
  • 2021-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $86,600 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $805 · -6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…