2835 S Wagner Rd #196 · Ann Arbor, MI 48103

$75,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 98 Days on market

Built 2026 Fair condition $62/sqft · 7% below area Est $81k · 7% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +10.7/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +6.5/10.0
• Livability +4.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as after school homework support, a playground, community events, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

• Built 2026
• Listed 97 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $75k).
• Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 33.5% vs local median 2.5% in Ann Arbor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 88/100 on livability (#10 in MI, #155 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living D.
• Ann Arbor Public Schools (urban): math 71% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #6 of 540 in MI (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 228 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 996 units permitted in Washtenaw County in 2024 (492 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Washtenaw County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $68,250 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.74% ✓
• Cap rate: 33.47%
• Cash-on-cash: 97.04%
• DSCR: 5.32
• GRM: 2.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $80,769
• List price: $75,000
• Delta: -7.14%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 94.7%
• Equity multiple: 5.20×
• Total profit: $88,150
• Equity at exit: $11,183

10-year hold

• IRR: 96.9%
• Equity multiple: 9.84×
• Total profit: $185,596
• Equity at exit: $6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48103

• Rents YoY: 0.1%
• Active inventory: 228
• Price-to-rent: 2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,806 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$589
• Net cashflow: $1,698

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656

Max offer price $75,000

Occupancy floor 34%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,750	-5% $1,724	+0% $1,698	+5% $1,672	+10% $1,646
Rent	-10% $1,477	-5% $1,587	+0% $1,698	+5% $1,809	+10% $1,920
Rate	-1.0pp $1,736	-0.5pp $1,717	base $1,698	+0.5pp $1,679	+1.0pp $1,659

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,750
• Closing costs: $2,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3300 Ann Arbor Saline Rd Ann Arbor, MI	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1156	$3,137	$2.71	14d	5	1.31mi
2555 Oak Valley Dr Ann Arbor, MI	1.0–2.0	1.5–2.0	1232	$2,810	$2.28	14d	1	1.35mi
2074 Bent Trail Ct Unit 1 Ann Arbor, MI	2.0	2.0	1200	$2,400	$2.00	44d	1	1.40mi

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-15
   days on market $75,000 Active 98 DOM
2. 2026-06-14
   days on market $75,000 Active 96 DOM
3. 2026-06-10
   days on market $75,000 Active 93 DOM
4. 2026-06-09
   days on market $75,000 Active 92 DOM
5. 2026-06-08
   days on market $75,000 Active 91 DOM
6. 2026-06-07
   days on market $75,000 Active 90 DOM
7. 2026-06-03
   days on market $75,000 Active 86 DOM
8. 2026-06-02
   days on market $75,000 Active 85 DOM
9. 2026-06-01
   days on market $75,000 Active 84 DOM
10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 83 DOM
11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 82 DOM
12. 2026-03-09
    listed $75,000 Active 417-char remark

    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as after school homework support, a playground, community events, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $33,670
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,201
• − Property taxes: −$1,125
• − Insurance: −$375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,694
• − Management: −$2,694
• − Depreciation: −$2,182
• Taxable income: $20,400
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$4,896
• After-tax cash flow: $15,483/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Paint and HVAC updates, along with landscaping, would significantly enhance its appeal.

Repairs flagged

• Minor exterior siding — Some discoloration
• Minor interior walls — Paint appears worn

Value-add opportunities

• Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both HVAC maintenance — A clean and efficient HVAC system improves comfort and energy efficiency
• Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
exterior siding · Some discoloration	Minor	$500–3,000
interior walls · Paint appears worn	Minor	$500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items		$1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both HVAC maintenance — A clean and efficient HVAC system improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
• Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard enhances curb appeal and property value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Ann Arbor Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2602820
• Math proficiency: 71% ▲ 5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 81% ▲ 11.00%
• Median HH income: $60,768
• Composite: 65.34/100
• National rank: #487
• State rank: #6 of 540 in MI

Livability — Ann Arbor

• Score: 88/100
• State rank: #10
• US rank: #155

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime C Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Washtenaw County · 306,860 people
• City population: 163,747
• Metro: Ann Arbor, MI
• Population (ZIP): 55,054
• Household income: $116,194
• Rent vs Own: 33.5% rent · 66.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 2033.0

Population outlook (Washtenaw County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 402,878 people
• By 2030: 424,104 · +5.3%
• By 2040: 464,633 · +15.3%
• By 2050: 504,728 · +25.3%
• By 2075: 614,463 · +52.5%
• By 2100: 676,181 · +67.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (70%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 70% Asian 10% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
• Foreign-born: 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 83% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Washtenaw

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+44.4) · D 71.0% · R 26.6% · Other 2.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 41.0pp · 2024: 44.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+44.4 2020: D+46.6 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+36.0 2008: D+41.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -472.49%
• Current HPI: 244.6891
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.12%
• Metro: Ann Arbor, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-03-09 Listed $75,000 Zillow