🏷️ Likely Rental
271 E 148th St · Harvey, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Harvey IL. Frame home with 2 beds, 1 baths, 640 square feet, unfinished basement. Property needs total rehab and the basement can be finished to add beds and full baths. The property is vacant. Can rent for up to $1700 per month after rehabbed. Sold as is. Buyer pays seller side closing costs. Property will be sold free and clear
Key facts
- Basement
- 3,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1926
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area source: estimated; Property located in Harvey, Bremen Township
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Single-story; Fee simple ownership; Rehab completed in 2026; Built before 1978 (historic construction age 91–100 years)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Foundation details not provided
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 60; Lot under 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; 12 x 12 kitchen with laminate flooring
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom; Additional rooms listed as Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3, Bedroom 4
- Flooring: Laminate flooring in kitchen, living room, and master bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: 3 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#539 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $75k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.11%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $101,760
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14632 Halsted St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+5%) | 18mo | $40,500 | $60 | 63 |
| 319 E 148th St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 724 (+13%) | 15mo | $115,000 | $159 | 59 |
| 14717 E Riverside Dr | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+14%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $48 | 43 |
| 14300 Parnell Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 730 (+14%) | 7mo | $179,900 | $246 | 36 |
| 14732 Loomis Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 712 (+11%) | 17mo | $155,000 | $218 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $54,394
- Equity at exit
- $67,476
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.14×
- Total profit
- $149,819
- Equity at exit
- $145,514
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60426
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,136 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$261 /mo · $3,137/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $212
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 455 W 144th St Unit 2W Riverdale, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 14119 S Tracy Ave Riverdale, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,205 | $1.73 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 14031 S School St Riverdale, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,045 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $74,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $74,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $74,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $74,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-23status Active
-
2026-05-12historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2026-04-27soldstatus $25,200
-
2026-04-01$74,900 Active
-
2025-12-19soldstatus $25,100 Closed 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Harvey IL. Frame home with 2 beds, 1 baths, 640 square feet, unfinished basement. Property needs total rehab and the basement can be finished to add beds and full baths. The property is vacant. Can rent for up to $1700 per month after rehabbed. Sold as is. Buyer pays seller side closing costs. Property will be sold free and clear
-
2025-10-30status Pending 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Harvey IL. Frame home with 2 beds, 1 baths, 640 square feet, unfinished basement. Property needs total rehab and the basement can be finished to add beds and full baths. The property is vacant. Can rent for up to $1700 per month after rehabbed. Sold as is. Buyer pays seller side closing costs. Property will be sold free and clear
-
2025-10-22$29,500 Active 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Harvey IL. Frame home with 2 beds, 1 baths, 640 square feet, unfinished basement. Property needs total rehab and the basement can be finished to add beds and full baths. The property is vacant. Can rent for up to $1700 per month after rehabbed. Sold as is. Buyer pays seller side closing costs. Property will be sold free and clear
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,137 · $261/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,137 · $261/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,626
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$3,137
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,090
- − Management
- −$1,090
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $1,560
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$374
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,166/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Harvey
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #539
- US rank
- #11162
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harvey, IL
- City population
- 23,066
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,066
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Current HPI
- 313.7895
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-14.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $25,200 Public Records
- 2026-04-01 Listed $74,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Sold (MLS) $25,100 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-30 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-22 Listed $29,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2023): $3,137 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…