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31-33 Carely Ave Duplex
B- Composite 66.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$330,000

31-33 Carely Ave · Jewett City, CT 06351
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,297 sqft · MultiFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 1917 Good condition 0.28 ac lot Est $338k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

HIGHEST AND BEST DUE BY 3PM TUESDAY 6/16. Turnkey investment opportunity! This spacious two-family home is fully rented and offers strong, consistent income with long-term tenants already in place. (Tenants have been great, both want to stay) Each unit features approximately 1,148 square feet of living space, with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, providing comfortable layouts that appeal to a wide range of renters. Tenants pay all of their own utilities, including water and sewer, helping to maximize owner returns. Unit #31 has been thoughtfully updated with an open-concept kitchen and dining area, creating a bright and modern living space. Kitchen has beautiful tall white oak cabinets. This

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1917

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as multi-family for sale; Located in New London County, Connecticut; Living area approximately 2297 (public record)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1-car)
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Multi-family property (2-family)
  • Construction: Built with frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Shingle siding; Blue exterior color
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Nearby amenities: basketball court, lake, library, medical facilities, park, playground/tot lot, shopping, walkable to bus lines

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil-fired heating; 50-gallon hot water tank (in basement); Fuel tank located in basement
  • Interior features: 12 total rooms; Full basement; Has attic with access via hatch
  • Laundry & utility: Basement washer/dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $330k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $506/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $330k).
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.5% in Jewett City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#96 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Griswold School District (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #111 of 153 in CT (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Griswold Elementary School (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #376 of 553 statewide, top 68%, 691 students, 52% FRL); Griswold High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #107 of 194 statewide, top 56%, 533 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 31% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $92k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $330,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.97%
Cash-on-cash
13.14%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$337,659
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23 Soule St 0.39mi 6/3.0 2,316 (+1%) 1mo $340,000 $147 76
83-85 Mathewson St 0.44mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,339 (+2%) 2mo $375,000 $160 66
22 Mechanic St 0.47mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,232 (-3%) 19mo $250,000 $112 48
16 Brown Ave 0.69mi 6/3.0 2,040 (-11%) 21mo $265,000 $130 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$11,054
Equity at exit
$49,204
10-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$92,890
Equity at exit
$28,532

Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06351

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,168 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,731
Tax est. 1.5%
$412 /mo · $4,950/yr
Insurance
$138
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$875
Net cashflow
$1,012

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,887
Max offer price $330,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,240 -5% $1,126 +0% $1,012 +5% $898 +10% $784
Rent -10% $683 -5% $848 +0% $1,012 +5% $1,177 +10% $1,341
Rate -1.0pp $1,178 -0.5pp $1,096 base $1,012 +0.5pp $927 +1.0pp $840

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,168

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,500
Closing costs
$9,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $330,000 Under Contract 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $330,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $330,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $330,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $330,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $330,000 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $330,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $330,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $330,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $330,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $330,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-01
    listed $330,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$50,016
− Mortgage interest
−$18,485
− Property taxes
−$4,950
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,001
− Management
−$4,001
− Depreciation
−$9,600
Taxable income
$7,328
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,759
After-tax cash flow
$10,387/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This two-family home is in good condition with no major repairs needed. It has a good curb appeal and is fully rented, making it a solid investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the curb appeal and increase the home's value.
  • Both Replace any worn-out windows — Replacing worn-out windows can improve energy efficiency and increase the home's value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the curb appeal and increase the home's value.
  • Both Replace any worn-out windows — Replacing worn-out windows can improve energy efficiency and increase the home's value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Griswold School District
NCES district ID
0901740
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$59,711
Composite
31.64/100
National rank
#5932
State rank
#111 of 153 in CT

Livability — Jewett City

Score
70/100
State rank
#96
US rank
#7502

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jewett City, CT
Population (ZIP)
15,697

Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
293,442

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Romanian 10% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
All cycles
2024: D+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.06%
Current HPI
227.571
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Coming Soon $330,000 Smart MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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