Duplex
31-33 Carely Ave · Jewett City, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 62.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$330,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
HIGHEST AND BEST DUE BY 3PM TUESDAY 6/16. Turnkey investment opportunity! This spacious two-family home is fully rented and offers strong, consistent income with long-term tenants already in place. (Tenants have been great, both want to stay) Each unit features approximately 1,148 square feet of living space, with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, providing comfortable layouts that appeal to a wide range of renters. Tenants pay all of their own utilities, including water and sewer, helping to maximize owner returns. Unit #31 has been thoughtfully updated with an open-concept kitchen and dining area, creating a bright and modern living space. Kitchen has beautiful tall white oak cabinets. This
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1917
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as multi-family for sale; Located in New London County, Connecticut; Living area approximately 2297 (public record)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1-car)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
- Home design: Multi-family property (2-family)
- Construction: Built with frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Shingle siding; Blue exterior color
- Exterior features: Level lot; Nearby amenities: basketball court, lake, library, medical facilities, park, playground/tot lot, shopping, walkable to bus lines
Interior
- Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil-fired heating; 50-gallon hot water tank (in basement); Fuel tank located in basement
- Interior features: 12 total rooms; Full basement; Has attic with access via hatch
- Laundry & utility: Basement washer/dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $330k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $506/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $330k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.5% in Jewett City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#96 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Griswold School District (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #111 of 153 in CT (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Griswold Elementary School (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #376 of 553 statewide, top 68%, 691 students, 52% FRL); Griswold High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #107 of 194 statewide, top 56%, 533 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 31% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $92k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.14%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $337,659
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Soule St | 0.39mi | 6/3.0 | 2,316 (+1%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $147 | 76 |
| 83-85 Mathewson St | 0.44mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,339 (+2%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $160 | 66 |
| 22 Mechanic St | 0.47mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,232 (-3%) | 19mo | $250,000 | $112 | 48 |
| 16 Brown Ave | 0.69mi | 6/3.0 | 2,040 (-11%) | 21mo | $265,000 | $130 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $11,054
- Equity at exit
- $49,204
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $92,890
- Equity at exit
- $28,532
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06351
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 13.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,168 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$412 /mo · $4,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$875
- Net cashflow
- $1,012
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,240 | -5% $1,126 | +0% $1,012 | +5% $898 | +10% $784 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $683 | -5% $848 | +0% $1,012 | +5% $1,177 | +10% $1,341 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,178 | -0.5pp $1,096 | base $1,012 | +0.5pp $927 | +1.0pp $840 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $4,168 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $2,084 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $2,084 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,168 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18status $330,000 Under Contract 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $330,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $330,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $330,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $330,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $330,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $330,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $330,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $330,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $330,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $330,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-01$330,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,016
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$4,950
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,001
- − Management
- −$4,001
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable income
- $7,328
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,759
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This two-family home is in good condition with no major repairs needed. It has a good curb appeal and is fully rented, making it a solid investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the curb appeal and increase the home's value.
- Both Replace any worn-out windows — Replacing worn-out windows can improve energy efficiency and increase the home's value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the curb appeal and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Replace any worn-out windows — Replacing worn-out windows can improve energy efficiency and increase the home's value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Griswold School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901740
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,711
- Composite
- 31.64/100
- National rank
- #5932
- State rank
- #111 of 153 in CT
Livability — Jewett City
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #96
- US rank
- #7502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jewett City, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,697
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Romanian 10% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.06%
- Current HPI
- 227.571
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Coming Soon $330,000 Smart MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…