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5204 3rd St NW #3
C- Composite 52.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

5204 3rd St NW #3 · Washington, DC 20011
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 542 sqft · Condo public records · 240 Days on market
Built 1936 $220/mo HOA · 11% of rent ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Main level unit w/ few steps in a lovely Art Deco building that's close to bus stop & metrorail. The shiny hardwood floors will impress as will the completly new kitchen w/ table space. New carpet in the bedroom leads to the all new bathroom. Washer/Dryer in basement & Foyer/Halls renovated next. 3 units to choose from. Seller pays $6,000 closing help to buyer. Ready to move into

Key facts

  • $220 HOA
  • Built 1936
  • Listed 239 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Accessibility feature: 32"+ wide doors
  • HOA & community: Monthly condominium fee of $220 that includes water, sewer, and insurance

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water; Municipal trash service
  • Home design: Condominium unit (Unit/Flat); Entry on first floor
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Above-grade and below-grade structures noted; Property located within city limits

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Window cooling units (electric)
  • Interior features: Main-floor laundry; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 240 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $158,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 240 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.75%
Cash-on-cash
5.22%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-18,085
Equity at exit
$26,839
10-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-9,219
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State District of Columbia
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
County
— inherits STATE
City Washington
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
Rent Stabilization Program; TOPA gives tenants right of first refusal.

ZIP-level market 20011

Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
369
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,913 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $641/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$220
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$219

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,636
Max offer price $180,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $321 -5% $270 +0% $219 +5% $168 +10% $117
Rent -10% $68 -5% $144 +0% $219 +5% $295 +10% $370
Rate -1.0pp $310 -0.5pp $265 base $219 +0.5pp $173 +1.0pp $125

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
220 Hamilton St NW Washington, DC 2.0 1.0–2.0 723 $2,225 $3.08 25d 1 0.12mi
317 Kennedy St NW Unit 104 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 561 $1,999 $3.56 25d 1 0.19mi
317 Kennedy St NW Unit 501 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 738 $2,500 $3.39 25d 1 0.19mi
317 Kennedy St NW Unit 403 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 626 $2,250 $3.59 25d 1 0.19mi
103 Kennedy St NW Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 500 $1,415 $2.83 25d 1 0.29mi
5041 1st St NW Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 600 $1,545 $2.58 5d 1 0.30mi
301 Delafield Pl NW Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 600 $1,595 $2.66 25d 1 0.31mi
5303 7th St NW Unit B Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 723 $1,950 $2.70 25d 1 0.32mi
5303 7th St NW Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 723 $1,950 $2.70 18d 1 0.32mi
531 Kennedy St NW #3 Washington, DC 1.0 1.5 586 $1,800 $3.07 16d 1 0.33mi
5408 1st Pl NW Unit 204 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 445 $1,549 $3.48 16d 1 0.33mi
5408 1st Pl NW Unit 202 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 515 $2,050 $3.98 16d 1 0.33mi
531 Kennedy St NW Washington, DC 1.0 1.5 665 $1,850 $2.78 25d 1 0.33mi
5611 5th St NW #21 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 548 $1,650 $3.01 25d 1 0.34mi
4809 3rd St NW #4 Washington, DC 2.0 2.0 715 $2,700 $3.78 20d 1 0.35mi
700 Jefferson St NW Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 569 $1,528 $2.69 25d 1 0.35mi
21 Kennedy St NW Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 640 $1,395 $2.18 25d 1 0.36mi
5400 7th St NW Unit 002 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 650 $1,326 $2.04 25d 1 0.37mi
710 Kennedy St NW Unit 11 Washington, DC 2.0 2.0 637 $2,399 $3.77 25d 1 0.40mi
5508 7th St NW Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 536 $1,900 $3.54 6d 3 0.40mi
5110 Fort Totten Dr NE #4 Washington, DC 2.0 2.0 715 $2,195 $3.07 25d 1 0.43mi
21 Riggs Rd NE Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 595 $1,625 $2.73 4d 6 0.45mi
5524 8th St NW Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 650 $1,395 $2.15 21d 1 0.50mi
820 Kennedy St NW Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 602 $2,000 $3.32 20d 1 0.50mi
4900 Fort Totten Dr NE Washington, DC 1.0–2.0 1.0 706 $1,427 $2.02 13d 7 0.51mi
4832 Illinois Ave NW Washington, DC 2.0 2.0 750 $1,950 $2.60 25d 1 0.51mi
810 Longfellow St NW Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 500 $1,300 $2.60 25d 1 0.52mi
5401 9th St NW #201 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 590 $1,825 $3.09 25d 1 0.52mi
5405 9th St NW #306 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 720 $2,900 $4.03 9d 1 0.52mi
5405 9th St NW #106 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 644 $1,800 $2.80 20d 1 0.52mi
4818 Fort Totten Dr NE Washington, DC 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,595 $2.20 4d 4 0.60mi
927 Kennedy St NW Washington, DC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 728 $2,500 $3.43 20d 2 0.61mi
930 Kennedy St NW Washington, DC 1.0 1.0–1.5 590 $2,300 $3.90 25d 2 0.61mi
220 Allison St NW Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 725 $1,495 $2.06 25d 1 0.62mi
4905 Georgia Ave NW Unit 203 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 528 $2,950 $5.59 25d 1 0.64mi
4905 Georgia Ave NW Unit 203 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 528 $2,950 $5.59 9d 1 0.64mi
501 Peabody St NW Unit 2 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 690 $1,995 $2.89 25d 1 0.65mi
129 Webster St NW Unit 8 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 424 $1,499 $3.54 25d 1 0.66mi
5551 Illinois Ave NW Washington, DC 2.0 2.0 716 $1,972 $2.75 25d 2 0.66mi
5551 Illinois Ave NW #304 Washington, DC 2.0 2.0 683 $2,150 $3.15 21d 1 0.66mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$220 · $2,640/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $180,000 Active 240 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $180,000 Active 237 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,000 Active 236 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,000 Active 235 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $180,000 Active 234 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $180,000 Active 232 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $180,000 Active 228 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,000 Active 227 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 226 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $180,000 Active 223 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $180,000 Active 222 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,000 Active 221 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Active 220 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 219 DOM
  15. 2026-03-24
    price $180,000
  16. 2026-01-14
    status Active
  17. 2025-12-31
    historical
  18. 2025-11-24
    price $200,000
  19. 2025-11-24
    status Active
  20. 2025-09-03
    status Pending
  21. 2025-08-20
    status Pending
  22. 2025-08-20
    historical
  23. 2025-08-20
    historical
  24. 2025-07-06
    listed $190,000 Active
  25. 2022-07-05
    price $220,000
  26. 2022-07-05
    historical
  27. 2022-05-03
    status Active
  28. 2022-04-01
    historical
  29. 2022-01-23
    price $215,000
  30. 2022-01-06
    status Active
  31. 2021-12-31
    historical
  32. 2021-08-19
    price $220,000
  33. 2021-07-30
    status Active
  34. 2021-07-23
    historical
  35. 2021-05-12
    listed $230,000 Active
  36. 2007-10-26
    soldstatus $187,000
  37. 2007-10-26
    soldstatus $187,000
  38. 2007-09-30
    soldstatus $187,000 Sold 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Main level unit w/ few steps in a lovely Art Deco building that's close to bus stop & metrorail. The shiny hardwood floors will impress as will the completly new kitchen w/ table space. New carpet in the bedroom leads to the all new bathroom. Washer/Dryer in basement & Foyer/Halls renovated next. 3 units to choose from. Seller pays $6,000 closing help to buyer. Ready to move into

  39. 2007-07-17
    historical 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Main level unit w/ few steps in a lovely Art Deco building that's close to bus stop & metrorail. The shiny hardwood floors will impress as will the completly new kitchen w/ table space. New carpet in the bedroom leads to the all new bathroom. Washer/Dryer in basement & Foyer/Halls renovated next. 3 units to choose from. Seller pays $6,000 closing help to buyer. Ready to move into

  40. 2007-04-04
    listed $199,900 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Main level unit w/ few steps in a lovely Art Deco building that's close to bus stop & metrorail. The shiny hardwood floors will impress as will the completly new kitchen w/ table space. New carpet in the bedroom leads to the all new bathroom. Washer/Dryer in basement & Foyer/Halls renovated next. 3 units to choose from. Seller pays $6,000 closing help to buyer. Ready to move into

  41. 2007-04-01
    historical
  42. 2007-01-28
    listed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DC · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$641 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$869 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$229/yr (+$19/mo · 35.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,961
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$641
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,837
− Management
−$1,837
− HOA
−$2,640
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$213
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$51
After-tax cash flow
$2,682/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
District Of Columbia Public Schools
NCES district ID
1100030
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$67,671
Composite
35.84/100
National rank
#9606
State rank
#8 of 32 in DC

Livability — Washington

Score
73/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#5327

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Washington, DC
County
District of Columbia · 671,873 people
City population
671,873
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
67,434
Household income
$110,309
Rent vs Own
43.8% rent · 56.2% own
Severe rent burden
3020.0

Population outlook (District of Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
821,926 people
By 2030
899,517 · +9.4%
By 2040
1,061,162 · +29.1%
By 2050
1,231,493 · +49.8%
By 2075
1,603,312 · +95.1%
By 2100
1,847,141 · +124.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% Hispanic / Latino 23% White 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 20% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · District of Columbia

2024 margin
Solid D (+86.1) · D 91.2% · R 5.1% · Other 3.8%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 85.9pp · 2024: 86.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+86.1 2020: D+86.8 2016: D+88.7 2012: D+84.2 2008: D+85.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -755.96%
Current HPI
378.1083
Rent YoY
▲ 1.45%
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.33%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in DC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-14 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-24 Price Changed $200,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-24 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-03 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-20 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-20 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-20 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-06 Listed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-07-05 Price Changed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-07-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-05-03 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-04-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-01-23 Price Changed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-01-06 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-12-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-08-19 Price Changed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-07-30 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-07-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-05-12 Listed $230,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $187,000 Public Records
  • 2007-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $187,000 Public Records
  • 2007-09-30 Sold (MLS) $187,000 MRIS
  • 2007-07-17 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-04-04 Listed $199,900 MRIS
  • 2007-04-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-01-28 Listed MRIS

Property tax history

-5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $641 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…