100 Pine St · Garysburg, NC
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to restore this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in Garysburg. Featuring approximately 1,572 square feet, this property offers a spacious floor plan and solid potential for renovation. Home is in need of repairs and is being sold As-Is, making it ideal for investors or buyers looking for a project. With the right improvements, this property could be transformed into a strong income-producing asset or primary residence. Priced to reflect condition.
Key facts
- Spacious floor plan
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space); Unpaved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Water available; Electric service
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
- Construction: Asbestos construction materials; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built with no basement
- Exterior features: Screened front porch; Front porch; Back yard fencing; Storage outbuilding; Has view; No additional listed exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedrooms and other rooms combined)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($976 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#615 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Northampton County Schools (rural): math 15% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #176 of 178 in NC (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Central Elementary (math 32% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,410 statewide, top 82%, 275 students, 99% FRL); Northampton County High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #530 of 535 statewide, top 99%, 240 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 78% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
- Northampton County population projected at -40% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.68%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $39,394
- Equity at exit
- $52,842
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.66×
- Total profit
- $104,471
- Equity at exit
- $98,108
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27831
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $976 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $80,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $80,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-02-25$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,709
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$937
- − Management
- −$937
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,427
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$343
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,273/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northampton County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703420
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,548
- Composite
- 13.24/100
- National rank
- #9551
- State rank
- #176 of 178 in NC
Livability — Garysburg
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #615
- US rank
- #22318
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Garysburg, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,640
Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,395 people
- By 2030
- 15,794 · -9.2%
- By 2040
- 12,810 · -26.4%
- By 2050
- 10,488 · -39.7%
- By 2075
- 7,778 · -55.3%
- By 2100
- 7,019 · -59.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 79% White 10% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Northampton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.5) · D 57.0% · R 42.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: 30.4pp · 2024: 14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.5 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+30.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.50%
- Current HPI
- 195.7421
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Listed $80,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
-14.6%/yrLatest (2025): $105 · -84.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…