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100 Pine St
B- Composite 68.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$80,000

100 Pine St · Garysburg, NC 27831
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 114 Days on market
Built 1954 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to restore this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in Garysburg. Featuring approximately 1,572 square feet, this property offers a spacious floor plan and solid potential for renovation. Home is in need of repairs and is being sold As-Is, making it ideal for investors or buyers looking for a project. With the right improvements, this property could be transformed into a strong income-producing asset or primary residence. Priced to reflect condition.

Key facts

  • Spacious floor plan
  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Parking

Tags

SPACIOUS FLOOR PLANSTRONG INCOME-PRODUCING ASSET

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space); Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Water available; Electric service
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Asbestos construction materials; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built with no basement
  • Exterior features: Screened front porch; Front porch; Back yard fencing; Storage outbuilding; Has view; No additional listed exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedrooms and other rooms combined)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($976 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#615 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Northampton County Schools (rural): math 15% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #176 of 178 in NC (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Central Elementary (math 32% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,410 statewide, top 82%, 275 students, 99% FRL); Northampton County High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #530 of 535 statewide, top 99%, 240 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 78% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
  • Northampton County population projected at -40% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,800 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.56%
Cash-on-cash
11.68%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
2.76×
Total profit
$39,394
Equity at exit
$52,842
10-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
5.66×
Total profit
$104,471
Equity at exit
$98,108

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27831

Home prices YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$976 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 114 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 113 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Active 107 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 104 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 103 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 102 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 101 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 95 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 94 DOM
  17. 2026-02-25
    listed $80,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,709
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$937
− Management
−$937
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$1,427
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$343
After-tax cash flow
$2,273/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northampton County Schools
NCES district ID
3703420
Math proficiency
15% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$31,548
Composite
13.24/100
National rank
#9551
State rank
#176 of 178 in NC

Livability — Garysburg

Score
57/100
State rank
#615
US rank
#22318

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Garysburg, NC
Population (ZIP)
2,640

Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,395 people
By 2030
15,794 · -9.2%
By 2040
12,810 · -26.4%
By 2050
10,488 · -39.7%
By 2075
7,778 · -55.3%
By 2100
7,019 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 79% White 10% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Northampton

2024 margin
D (+14.5) · D 57.0% · R 42.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 30.4pp · 2024: 14.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.5 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+30.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.50%
Current HPI
195.7421
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $80,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

-14.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $105 · -84.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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