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216 Canterbrook Dr
C Composite 56.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$365,000

216 Canterbrook Dr · Hemlock Farms, PA 18328
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,705 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 274 Days on market
Built 1989 1.19 ac lot Est $286k · 27% over $243/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New House? No, But with All the FRESH Paint and Appliance Allowance it Feels like New Construction. Want Privacy? House sits on Over an Acre, Backs to Green Belt which Adjoins Green Belt. 4 Bedrooms and 2.5 Baths, Open Floor Plan with Modern Eat-in-Kitchen and Enclosed Sun Room, Master on 1st Floor with Spa Bath Tub, In addition to the beds/bath on the 2nd floor it has an Unbelievable 11' x 13' Cedar Closet. Walk-Out-Lower Level has a 13' x 24' Family Room, 13' x 16' Pool Room Complete with Pool Table, 12' x 14' Workshop and 8' x 10' Storage Room. Oversized Garage for Plenty of Storage. Come Relax on the Spacious Back Deck and Enjoy Quiet Seclusion of Beautiful Trees. Very Well Maintained - Move in Ready, Beds Description: Primary1st, Baths: 1 Bath Level 1, Baths: 1 Bath Level 2, Baths: 1/2 Bath Lev 1, Beds Description: 2+BED 2nd

Key facts

  • Privacy
  • Views of woods
  • Finished basement

Tags

1 ACRESPRIVACYVIEWS OF WOODS250 ACRES OF GREENBELTENCLOSED PORCHFINISHED BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $365k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $531 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $365k).
  • Recommended offer: $321k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#884 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 211 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $102k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($321k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $155k; list at $365k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $321,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.04%
Cash-on-cash
6.23%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$286,440
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
145 Gaskin Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,720 (+1%) 15mo $290,000 $169 77
130 Canterbrook Dr 0.28mi 3/2.5 1,550 (-9%) 1mo $260,000 $168 71
130 Canterbrook Dr #130 0.28mi 3/2.5 1,550 (-9%) 1mo $260,000 $168 71
128 Horseshoe Ln 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,485 (-13%) 1mo $190,000 $128 64
111 Horseshoe Ln 0.31mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (-12%) 1mo $178,500 $119 58
121 Canterbrook Dr 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,892 (+11%) 1mo $285,000 $151 53
126 Eisenhower Dr 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,940 (+14%) 6mo $175,000 $90 51
109 Canterbrook Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,536 (-10%) 11mo $275,000 $179 46
115 Jackson Dr 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,496 (-12%) 6mo $355,000 $237 43
805 Jefferson Ct 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,540 (-10%) 12mo $295,000 $192 40
107 Canterbrook Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,860 (+9%) 20mo $329,000 $177 38
103 Fairway Ln 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,548 (-9%) 14mo $249,000 $161 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.8%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$232,725
Equity at exit
$328,821
10-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
7.45×
Total profit
$659,000
Equity at exit
$709,115

Cash invested: $102,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18328

Home prices YoY
18.1%
Active inventory
211
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,001 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,914
Tax from tax record
$321 /mo · $3,851/yr
Insurance
$152
HOA
$243
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$840
Net cashflow
$531

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,329
Max offer price $365,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,250
Closing costs
$10,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
113 Portage Ln Milford, PA 3.0 2.0 1400 $4,000 $2.86 1d 1 1.04mi
101 Pommel Dr Hawley, PA 3.0 2.0 1691 $4,400 $2.60 1d 1 1.28mi
402 Canoe Brook Dr Hawley, PA 3.0 2.0 2055 $3,500 $1.70 1d 1 1.35mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$243 · $2,916/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-04
    status Active
  3. 2025-12-03
    price $365,000
  4. 2025-11-03
    price $375,000
  5. 2025-08-17
    price $380,000
  6. 2025-07-10
    listed $390,000 Active
  7. 2017-06-23
    soldstatus $155,000
  8. 2017-06-22
    soldstatus $155,000 841-char remark
    Show marketing remark (841 chars)

    New House? No, But with All the FRESH Paint and Appliance Allowance it Feels like New Construction. Want Privacy? House sits on Over an Acre, Backs to Green Belt which Adjoins Green Belt. 4 Bedrooms and 2.5 Baths, Open Floor Plan with Modern Eat-in-Kitchen and Enclosed Sun Room, Master on 1st Floor with Spa Bath Tub, In addition to the beds/bath on the 2nd floor it has an Unbelievable 11' x 13' Cedar Closet. Walk-Out-Lower Level has a 13' x 24' Family Room, 13' x 16' Pool Room Complete with Pool Table, 12' x 14' Workshop and 8' x 10' Storage Room. Oversized Garage for Plenty of Storage. Come Relax on the Spacious Back Deck and Enjoy Quiet Seclusion of Beautiful Trees. Very Well Maintained - Move in Ready, Beds Description: Primary1st, Baths: 1 Bath Level 1, Baths: 1 Bath Level 2, Baths: 1/2 Bath Lev 1, Beds Description: 2+BED 2nd

  9. 2017-04-06
    listed $167,000 841-char remark
    Show marketing remark (841 chars)

    New House? No, But with All the FRESH Paint and Appliance Allowance it Feels like New Construction. Want Privacy? House sits on Over an Acre, Backs to Green Belt which Adjoins Green Belt. 4 Bedrooms and 2.5 Baths, Open Floor Plan with Modern Eat-in-Kitchen and Enclosed Sun Room, Master on 1st Floor with Spa Bath Tub, In addition to the beds/bath on the 2nd floor it has an Unbelievable 11' x 13' Cedar Closet. Walk-Out-Lower Level has a 13' x 24' Family Room, 13' x 16' Pool Room Complete with Pool Table, 12' x 14' Workshop and 8' x 10' Storage Room. Oversized Garage for Plenty of Storage. Come Relax on the Spacious Back Deck and Enjoy Quiet Seclusion of Beautiful Trees. Very Well Maintained - Move in Ready, Beds Description: Primary1st, Baths: 1 Bath Level 1, Baths: 1 Bath Level 2, Baths: 1/2 Bath Lev 1, Beds Description: 2+BED 2nd

  10. 1987-11-02
    soldstatus $15,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,851 · $321/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,809 · $401/mo
Expected delta
+$958/yr (+$80/mo · 24.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,014
− Mortgage interest
−$20,446
− Property taxes
−$3,851
− Insurance
−$1,825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,841
− Management
−$3,841
− HOA
−$2,916
− Depreciation
−$10,618
Taxable income
$676
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$162
After-tax cash flow
$6,208/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wallenpaupack Area SD
NCES district ID
4224750
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,027
Composite
41.97/100
National rank
#3345
State rank
#192 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hemlock Farms

Score
68/100
State rank
#884
US rank
#9421

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemlock Farms, PA
Population (ZIP)
8,061

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 6% Romanian 6% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 38.13%
Current HPI
248.4494
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2195.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending PWMLS
  • 2026-01-04 Relisted PWMLS
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $365,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $375,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-08-17 Price Changed $380,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-07-10 Listed $390,000 PWMLS
  • 2017-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2017-06-22 Sold (MLS) $155,000 PWMLS
  • 2017-04-06 Listed $167,000 PWMLS
  • 1987-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $15,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,851 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…