93 Whispering Pines Rd · Jesup, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
$10k Price Drop!! If you've been searching for space, privacy, and a place that just feels like home the moment you pull in, 93 Whispering Pines Rd delivers. Tucked away on a full acre in Jesup, this is where life slows down in all the right ways. Mornings start on the covered front porch with a cup of coffee and quiet views, and evenings wind down with a breeze rolling across your own open yard. With a 10' x 14' covered porch, there's plenty of space to sit, relax, and enjoy the simple things.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 2006
- Listed 105 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $519 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.1% in Jesup — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#112 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Wayne County (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #68 of 174 in GA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Martha Rawls Smith Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #633 of 1,228 statewide, top 54%, 610 students, 75% FRL); Arthur Williams Middle School (math 33% / reading 39%, grade F, #178 of 470 statewide, top 39%, 650 students, 75% FRL); Wayne County High School (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #74 of 424 statewide, top 18%, 1,467 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 60% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 163 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,750/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.78%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $212,423
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -36.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 368 Whispering Pines Rd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,204 (-1%) | 2mo | $209,000 | $174 | 78 |
| 141 Pine Ridge Rd | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,204 (-1%) | 1mo | $204,900 | $170 | 76 |
| 483 Church Cir | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,238 (+2%) | 4mo | $208,000 | $168 | 72 |
| 249 Pine Ridge Rd | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,178 (-3%) | 6mo | $204,900 | $174 | 67 |
| 501 Church Cir | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,214 (-0%) | 24mo | $198,900 | $164 | 59 |
| 1392 Spring Grove Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-10%) | 23mo | $85,000 | $77 | 54 |
| 465 Church Cir | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,278 (+5%) | 24mo | $213,603 | $167 | 48 |
| 465 Church Cir | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,278 (+5%) | 24mo | $213,603 | $167 | 48 |
| 151 Bunion Rd | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,376 (+13%) | 24mo | $233,000 | $169 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $12,804
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $53,793
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.0 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $214,900 ($169/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 11 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +3.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 31545
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,750 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $519
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $605 | -5% $562 | +0% $519 | +5% $475 | +10% $432 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $380 | -5% $450 | +0% $519 | +5% $588 | +10% $657 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $582 | -0.5pp $550 | base $519 | +0.5pp $486 | +1.0pp $453 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 Arabian Ln Jesup, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 93d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Lot size: 1 acreRoad surface: dirtRoad frontage: unimprovedLocated in no subdivision
Exterior
- Parking
- No designated parking
- Security
- Smoke detectors
- Utilities
- Private well waterSeptic tankElectricity connected / electric on property
- Home design
- Manufactured houseSingle-family residenceResidential property
- Construction
- Metal siding and steel siding with frame constructionMetal roofPillar/post/pier foundationBuilt as a manufactured home
- Exterior features
- Cleared, level lotNo exterior special features listedNo fencing
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherElectric rangeRange hoodRefrigerator
- Flooring
- CarpetVinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatHeat pumpCentral airCeiling fans
- Interior features
- Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupElectric water heater
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $125,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-08-07pricedays on market $125,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $135,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $135,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $135,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $135,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-31statusdays on market $135,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-23status $135,000 Pending 97 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $135,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $135,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $135,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $135,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $135,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $135,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $135,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $135,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $135,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $135,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $135,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $135,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $135,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $135,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $135,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $135,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $135,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $135,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $135,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $135,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $135,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $135,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $135,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $135,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $135,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $135,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $135,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $149,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,680
- − Management
- −$1,680
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $4,502
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,080
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,143/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a spacious layout with a covered porch and ample outdoor space. While in average condition, it has potential for cosmetic upgrades to enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor deck — slight wear
- Minor porch railings — slight wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both replace carpet with hardwood — increases both resale and rental value ↑
- Both update kitchen appliances — modernizes the space and appeals to buyers ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne County
- NCES district ID
- 1305550
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,918
- Composite
- 29.3/100
- National rank
- #6554
- State rank
- #68 of 174 in GA
Livability — Jesup
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #112
- US rank
- #8442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wayne · 28,891 people
- City population
- 1,050
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,057
- Household income
- $44,260
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5% of renters
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,891 people
- By 2030
- 28,388 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 27,396 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 26,135 · -9.5%
- By 2075
- 23,253 · -19.5%
- By 2100
- 19,481 · -32.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.8) · D 20.0% · R 79.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -59.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.8 2020: R+57.1 2016: R+58.9 2012: R+48.3 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.10%
- Current HPI
- 249.3504
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-14.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Price Changed $135,000 HABR
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $149,900 HABR
- 2026-04-16 Listed $157,000 HABR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…